Start Rhamondre Stevenson or Aaron Jones Sr.? Week 8

Updated Oct 27, 2:26 PM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 9 answer posts Tuesday.

Latest

Oct 25, 3:43 PM ET: Aaron Jones Sr.: Listed Questionable (Undisclosed) (Sleeper injury feed)

Start Rhamondre Stevenson over Aaron Jones Sr.

Stevenson projects lower, 12.6 to 13.7, and still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player: ADP 61 for Stevenson, 110 for Jones.

Start

Rhamondre Stevenson

RB · NE · at MIA

Market projects: 12.6; recent weeks avg
MIA D vs RB: 26.4; 4th most to RBs (2026)
Upside: High; 85 of 100 at RB
Snap share: 64%; Through Week 7
Target share: 11%; Through Week 7

Sit

Aaron Jones Sr.

RB · MIN · at DET · Questionable

Market projects: 13.7; recent weeks avg
DET D vs RB: 19.8; 10th fewest to RBs (2026)
Upside: Limited; 20 of 100 at RB
Snap share: 25%; Through Week 7
Target share: 4%; Through Week 7

Should I drop Rhamondre Stevenson for Aaron Jones Sr.?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Aaron Jones Sr. projects 153 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (15.3 a game over 10 games), Rhamondre Stevenson 96 (10.7 a game over 9 games). For Week 8 the call starts Rhamondre Stevenson over Aaron Jones Sr. So make the move after his Week 8 game. Aaron Jones Sr. is listed questionable.

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Our Week 8 call

Start Rhamondre Stevenson over Aaron Jones Sr. in Week 8.

Market-based projections have Rhamondre Stevenson at 12.6 points and Aaron Jones Sr. at 13.7, a gap of 1.2. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Rhamondre Stevenson still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player, ADP 61 against 110, and that outweighs a gap this size. No player market is posted for Rhamondre Stevenson this week yet, so his 12.6 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 5, 6 and 7 (11.2, 14.1 and 12.4); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for Aaron Jones Sr. this week yet, so his 13.7 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 5 and 7 (16.2 and 11.3); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.

What the market projects

No Week 8 player market is posted for Aaron Jones Sr. yet. His market-based projections were 16.2 and 11.3 points in Weeks 5 and 7, an average of 13.7, which stands in until his Week 8 market posts.

The market-based projection for Aaron Jones Sr. is 0.6 touchdowns (12 market sources).

No Week 8 player market is posted for Rhamondre Stevenson yet. His market-based projections were 11.2, 14.1 and 12.5 points in Weeks 5, 6 and 7, an average of 12.6, which stands in until his Week 8 market posts.

The market-based projection for Rhamondre Stevenson is 0.8 touchdowns (7 market sources).

That puts Aaron Jones Sr. 1.2 points ahead of Rhamondre Stevenson on these projections.

Week 8 matchups

Aaron Jones Sr. and MIN visit DET on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

DET allowed 19.8 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 6 games, the 10th fewest in the league.

Running backs ran for 80 yards and 0.7 touchdowns a game against DET and caught passes for 25 more yards.

Rhamondre Stevenson and NE visit MIA on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET.

MIA allowed 26.4 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 6 games, the 4th most in the league.

Running backs ran for 103 yards and 0-1 touchdowns a game against MIA and caught passes for 46 more yards.

By points allowed to the position, Rhamondre Stevenson has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Aaron Jones Sr. is listed as questionable with a undisclosed injury.

Rhamondre Stevenson is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 8

Through Week 7, Aaron Jones Sr. played 25 percent of MIN snaps, took 30 percent of the carries, drew 4 percent of the targets and had 20 percent of the red zone chances.

Aaron Jones Sr., Week 7 against IND: 15 of 59 snaps, 8 carries for 26 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 0 yards.

Through Week 7, Rhamondre Stevenson played 64 percent of NE snaps, took 39 percent of the carries, drew 11 percent of the targets and had 19 percent of the red zone chances.

Rhamondre Stevenson, Week 4 against BUF: 50 of 76 snaps, 13 carries for 47 yards, 5 targets and 3 catches for 27 yards, 1 touchdown.

Rhamondre Stevenson, Week 5 against LV: 53 of 75 snaps, 13 carries for 64 yards, 3 targets and 3 catches for 21 yards, 1 touchdown.

Rhamondre Stevenson, Week 6 against NYJ: 41 of 68 snaps, 14 carries for 36 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Rhamondre Stevenson, Week 7 against CHI: 37 of 54 snaps, 6 carries for 22 yards, 5 targets and 5 catches for 93 yards, 1 touchdown.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Aaron Jones Sr. played 12 games for MIN and scored 118.7 PPR points, 9.9 a game, finishing RB41.

He ran 132 times for 548 yards and 2 touchdowns, and caught 28 of 41 targets for 199 yards.

He was on the field for 55 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Aaron Jones Sr., Week 17 of 2025 against DET: 35 of 54 snaps, 18 carries for 53 yards, 4 targets and 3 catches for 10 yards, 1 touchdown, 15.3 PPR points.

Aaron Jones Sr., Week 16 of 2025 against NYG: 39 of 61 snaps, 21 carries for 85 yards, 3 targets and 2 catches for 8 yards, 11.3 PPR points.

In 2025, Rhamondre Stevenson played 14 games for NE and scored 178.8 PPR points, 12.8 a game, finishing RB25.

He ran 130 times for 603 yards and 7 touchdowns, and caught 32 of 37 targets for 345 yards.

He was on the field for 60 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 8 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 8, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop Rhamondre Stevenson for Aaron Jones Sr.?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Aaron Jones Sr. projects 153 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (15.3 a game over 10 games), Rhamondre Stevenson 96 (10.7 a game over 9 games). For Week 8 the call starts Rhamondre Stevenson over Aaron Jones Sr. So make the move after his Week 8 game. Aaron Jones Sr. is listed questionable.
Should I drop Aaron Jones Sr. for Rhamondre Stevenson?
No. Keep Aaron Jones Sr.: he projects 153 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (15.3 a game over 10 games), Rhamondre Stevenson 96 (10.7 a game over 9 games). For Week 8 the call starts Rhamondre Stevenson over Aaron Jones Sr. Aaron Jones Sr. is listed questionable.

Should I drop Aaron Jones Sr.?