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Start Tony Pollard or Aaron Jones Sr.? Week 10

Updated Nov 10, 11:56 AM ET.

Start

RB · TEN · vs JAX

Market projects
13.0
recent weeks avg
JAX D vs RB
17.7
2nd fewest to RBs (2026)
Upside
Moderate
55 of 100 at RB
Snap share
62%
Through Week 8
Target share
9%
Through Week 8
Sit

RB · MIN · at GB

Market projects
8.7
recent weeks avg
GB D vs RB
25.0
7th most to RBs (2026)
Upside
Limited
29 of 100 at RB
Snap share
32%
Through Week 9
Target share
5%
Through Week 9

Should I drop Tony Pollard for Aaron Jones Sr.?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Aaron Jones Sr. projects 102 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (12.8 a game over 8 games), Tony Pollard 80 (10.0 a game over 8 games). For Week 10 the call starts Tony Pollard over Aaron Jones Sr. So make the move after his Week 10 game.

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Our Week 10 call

Start Tony Pollard over Aaron Jones Sr. in Week 10.

Market-based projections have Tony Pollard at 13.0 points and Aaron Jones Sr. at 8.7, a gap of 4.3. No player market is posted for Tony Pollard this week yet, so his 13.0 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 7 and 8 (12.5 and 13.6); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for Aaron Jones Sr. this week yet, so his 8.7 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 7, 8 and 9 (11.3, 7.4 and 7.5); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. Drafters take Tony Pollard at ADP 68 and Aaron Jones Sr. at 110.

What the market projects

No Week 10 player market is posted for Aaron Jones Sr. yet. His market-based projections were 11.3, 7.4 and 7.5 points in Weeks 7, 8 and 9, an average of 8.7, which stands in until his Week 10 market posts.

No Week 10 player market is posted for Tony Pollard yet. His market-based projections were 12.5 and 13.6 points in Weeks 7 and 8, an average of 13.0, which stands in until his Week 10 market posts.

The market-based projection for Tony Pollard is 0-1 touchdowns (7 market sources).

That puts Tony Pollard 4.3 points ahead of Aaron Jones Sr. on these projections.

Week 10 matchups

Aaron Jones Sr. and MIN visit GB on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

GB allowed 25.0 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 8 games, the 7th most in the league.

Running backs ran for 94 yards and 1.3 touchdowns a game against GB and caught passes for 34 more yards.

Tony Pollard and TEN host JAX on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

JAX allowed 17.7 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 8 games, the 2nd fewest in the league.

Running backs ran for 68 yards and 0-1 touchdowns a game against JAX and caught passes for 33 more yards.

By points allowed to the position, Aaron Jones Sr. has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Aaron Jones Sr. is not on the injury report.

Tony Pollard is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 10

Through Week 9, Aaron Jones Sr. played 32 percent of MIN snaps, took 32 percent of the carries, drew 5 percent of the targets and had 18 percent of the red zone chances.

Aaron Jones Sr., Week 7 against IND: 15 of 59 snaps, 8 carries for 26 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 0 yards.

Aaron Jones Sr., Week 8 against DET: 21 of 53 snaps, 5 carries for 22 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 18 yards.

Aaron Jones Sr., Week 9 against BUF: 5 carries for 16 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 5 yards.

Through Week 8, Tony Pollard played 62 percent of TEN snaps, took 71 percent of the carries, drew 9 percent of the targets and had 41 percent of the red zone chances.

Tony Pollard, Week 5 against HOU: 30 of 63 snaps, 14 carries for 52 yards, 1 target and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Tony Pollard, Week 6 against IND: 35 of 46 snaps, 19 carries for 76 yards, 1 target and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Tony Pollard, Week 7 against CLE: 47 of 63 snaps, 25 carries for 129 yards, 3 targets and 3 catches for 26 yards, 3 touchdowns.

Tony Pollard, Week 8 against CIN: 63 of 77 snaps, 21 carries for 117 yards, 5 targets and 3 catches for 20 yards, 2 touchdowns.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Aaron Jones Sr. played 12 games for MIN and scored 118.7 PPR points, 9.9 a game, finishing RB41.

He ran 132 times for 548 yards and 2 touchdowns, and caught 28 of 41 targets for 199 yards.

He was on the field for 55 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Tony Pollard played 17 games for TEN and scored 185.8 PPR points, 10.9 a game, finishing RB23.

He ran 242 times for 1082 yards and 5 touchdowns, and caught 33 of 41 targets for 206 yards.

He was on the field for 62 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 10 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 10, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Tony Pollard for Aaron Jones Sr.?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Aaron Jones Sr. projects 102 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (12.8 a game over 8 games), Tony Pollard 80 (10.0 a game over 8 games). For Week 10 the call starts Tony Pollard over Aaron Jones Sr. So make the move after his Week 10 game.

  • Should I drop Aaron Jones Sr. for Tony Pollard?

    No. Keep Aaron Jones Sr.: he projects 102 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (12.8 a game over 8 games), Tony Pollard 80 (10.0 a game over 8 games). For Week 10 the call starts Tony Pollard over Aaron Jones Sr.

Should I drop Aaron Jones Sr.?Should I drop Tony Pollard?

Week 10 on the board

Elsewhere on the board