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Start Aaron Rodgers or C.J. Stroud? Week 10

Updated Nov 10, 1:36 PM ET.

Start C.J. Stroud over Aaron Rodgers

Start

C.J. Stroud

QB · HOU · at CLE

Market projects
17.4
recent weeks avg
CLE D vs QB
14.8
8th fewest to QBs (2026)
Upside
Moderate
53 of 100 at QB
Snap share
98%
Through Week 9
Sit

Aaron Rodgers

QB · PIT · at CIN

Market projects
16.5
fantasy pts
CIN D vs QB
18.4
14th most to QBs (2026)
Upside
Moderate
43 of 100 at QB
Snap share
98%
Through Week 8

Should I drop Aaron Rodgers for C.J. Stroud?

Yes, on the rest of the season. C.J. Stroud projects 134 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (16.8 a game over 8 games), Aaron Rodgers 115 (14.4 a game over 8 games). For Week 10 the call starts C.J. Stroud over Aaron Rodgers.

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C.J. Stroud rookie cards

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Our Week 10 call

Start C.J. Stroud over Aaron Rodgers in Week 10.

Market-based projections have C.J. Stroud at 17.4 points and Aaron Rodgers at 16.5, a gap of 0.8. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Aaron Rodgers's number is scaled up from a partial market: not every stat the position needs is posted yet, so the rest is estimated from what is. No player market is posted for C.J. Stroud this week yet, so his 17.4 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 7 and 9 (17.8 and 16.9); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. Drafters take C.J. Stroud at ADP 185 and Aaron Rodgers at 231.

What the market projects

No Week 10 player market is posted for C.J. Stroud yet. His market-based projections were 17.8 and 16.9 points in Weeks 7 and 9, an average of 17.4, which stands in until his Week 10 market posts.

Player markets imply 16.5 fantasy points for Aaron Rodgers, with 80 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Aaron Rodgers is 238 passing yards, 1-2 passing touchdowns and 0.1 rushing touchdowns (10, 11 and 11 market sources).

That puts C.J. Stroud 0.8 points ahead of Aaron Rodgers on these projections.

Week 10 matchups

C.J. Stroud and HOU visit CLE on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

CLE allowed 14.8 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 9 games, the 8th fewest in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 220 yards and 1.3 touchdowns a game against CLE, with 0.7 interceptions a game.

Aaron Rodgers and PIT visit CIN on Sunday at 8:20 PM ET.

CIN allowed 18.4 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 7 games, the 14th most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 261 yards and 1.1 touchdowns a game against CIN, with 0.6 interceptions a game.

By points allowed to the position, Aaron Rodgers has the softer matchup.

Injury status

C.J. Stroud is not on the injury report.

Aaron Rodgers is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 10

Through Week 9, C.J. Stroud played 98 percent of HOU snaps, dropped back 304 times and threw an average of 9.7 air yards per attempt.

C.J. Stroud, Week 5 against TEN: 66 of 66 snaps, 26 of 34 passes for 261 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 4 carries for 7 yards.

C.J. Stroud, Week 6 against JAX: 63 of 63 snaps, 24 of 34 passes for 312 yards, 3 touchdowns and 1 interception, 1 carry for 5 yards.

C.J. Stroud, Week 7 against NYG: 61 of 61 snaps, 17 of 28 passes for 153 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 4 yards.

C.J. Stroud, Week 9 against LAC: 62 of 70 snaps, 21 of 35 passes for 384 yards, 5 touchdowns and 1 interception, 2 carries for 20 yards.

Through Week 8, Aaron Rodgers played 98 percent of PIT snaps, dropped back 311 times and threw an average of 7.5 air yards per attempt.

Aaron Rodgers, Week 5 against IND: 58 of 60 snaps, 22 of 31 passes for 235 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 1 carry for 6 yards.

Aaron Rodgers, Week 6 against TB: 79 of 79 snaps, 33 of 47 passes for 253 yards, 2 touchdowns and 1 interception.

Aaron Rodgers, Week 7 against NO: 64 of 64 snaps, 19 of 30 passes for 212 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 1 carry for 8 yards.

Aaron Rodgers, Week 8 against CLE: 56 of 59 snaps, 13 of 24 passes for 172 yards, 0 touchdowns and 1 interception.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, C.J. Stroud played 14 games for HOU and scored 216.5 PPR points, 15.5 a game, finishing QB21.

He completed 273 of 423 passes for 3041 yards, 19 touchdowns and 8 interceptions, and ran 48 times for 209 yards and 1 touchdown.

He was on the field for 93 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Aaron Rodgers played 16 games for PIT and scored 234.1 PPR points, 14.6 a game, finishing QB18.

He completed 327 of 498 passes for 3322 yards, 24 touchdowns and 7 interceptions, and ran 21 times for 61 yards and 1 touchdown.

He was on the field for 95 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 10 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 10, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Aaron Rodgers for C.J. Stroud?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. C.J. Stroud projects 134 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (16.8 a game over 8 games), Aaron Rodgers 115 (14.4 a game over 8 games). For Week 10 the call starts C.J. Stroud over Aaron Rodgers.

  • Should I drop C.J. Stroud for Aaron Rodgers?

    No. Keep C.J. Stroud: he projects 134 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (16.8 a game over 8 games), Aaron Rodgers 115 (14.4 a game over 8 games). For Week 10 the call starts C.J. Stroud over Aaron Rodgers.

Week 10 on the board

Elsewhere on the board