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Start C.J. Stroud or Dak Prescott? Week 10

Updated Nov 10, 12:06 PM ET.

Start Dak Prescott over C.J. Stroud

Start

Dak Prescott

QB · DAL · vs SF

Market projects
18.0
fantasy pts
SF D vs QB
15.7
9th fewest to QBs (2026)
Upside
Rising
67 of 100 at QB
Snap share
100%
Through Week 9
Sit

C.J. Stroud

QB · HOU · at CLE

Market projects
17.4
recent weeks avg
CLE D vs QB
14.8
8th fewest to QBs (2026)
Upside
Moderate
53 of 100 at QB
Snap share
98%
Through Week 9

Should I drop Dak Prescott for C.J. Stroud?

Not on these numbers alone. Dak Prescott projects 128 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (18.3 a game over 7 games) and C.J. Stroud 134 (16.8 a game over 8 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 10 the call starts Dak Prescott over C.J. Stroud.

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Our Week 10 call

Start Dak Prescott over C.J. Stroud in Week 10.

Market-based projections have Dak Prescott at 18.0 points and C.J. Stroud at 17.4, a gap of 0.6. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. No player market is posted for C.J. Stroud this week yet, so his 17.4 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 7 and 9 (17.8 and 16.9); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. Drafters take Dak Prescott at ADP 64 and C.J. Stroud at 185.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 18.0 fantasy points for Dak Prescott, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Dak Prescott is 264 passing yards, 1-2 passing touchdowns, 10 rushing yards and 0.2 rushing touchdowns (5, 5, 4 and 5 market sources).

No Week 10 player market is posted for C.J. Stroud yet. His market-based projections were 17.8 and 16.9 points in Weeks 7 and 9, an average of 17.4, which stands in until his Week 10 market posts.

That puts Dak Prescott 0.6 points ahead of C.J. Stroud on these projections.

Week 10 matchups

Dak Prescott and DAL host SF on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET.

SF allowed 15.7 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 8 games, the 9th fewest in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 223 yards and 1.4 touchdowns a game against SF, with 0.8 interceptions a game.

C.J. Stroud and HOU visit CLE on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

CLE allowed 14.8 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 9 games, the 8th fewest in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 220 yards and 1.3 touchdowns a game against CLE, with 0.7 interceptions a game.

By points allowed to the position, Dak Prescott has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Dak Prescott is not on the injury report.

C.J. Stroud is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 10

Through Week 9, Dak Prescott played 100 percent of DAL snaps, dropped back 368 times and threw an average of 8.2 air yards per attempt.

Dak Prescott, Week 6 against GB: 78 of 78 snaps, 34 of 54 passes for 258 yards, 1 touchdown and 2 interceptions, 2 carries for 7 yards.

Dak Prescott, Week 7 against PHI: 68 of 68 snaps, 15 of 27 passes for 212 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 8 yards.

Dak Prescott, Week 8 against ARI: 74 of 74 snaps, 19 of 29 passes for 195 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 6 carries for 21 yards.

Dak Prescott, Week 9 against IND: 79 of 79 snaps, 21 of 34 passes for 335 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 1 carry for 2 yards.

Through Week 9, C.J. Stroud played 98 percent of HOU snaps, dropped back 304 times and threw an average of 9.7 air yards per attempt.

C.J. Stroud, Week 5 against TEN: 66 of 66 snaps, 26 of 34 passes for 261 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 4 carries for 7 yards.

C.J. Stroud, Week 6 against JAX: 63 of 63 snaps, 24 of 34 passes for 312 yards, 3 touchdowns and 1 interception, 1 carry for 5 yards.

C.J. Stroud, Week 7 against NYG: 61 of 61 snaps, 17 of 28 passes for 153 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 4 yards.

C.J. Stroud, Week 9 against LAC: 62 of 70 snaps, 21 of 35 passes for 384 yards, 5 touchdowns and 1 interception, 2 carries for 20 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Dak Prescott played 17 games for DAL and scored 323.8 PPR points, 19.0 a game, finishing QB6.

He completed 404 of 600 passes for 4552 yards, 30 touchdowns and 10 interceptions, and ran 53 times for 177 yards and 2 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 98 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, C.J. Stroud played 14 games for HOU and scored 216.5 PPR points, 15.5 a game, finishing QB21.

He completed 273 of 423 passes for 3041 yards, 19 touchdowns and 8 interceptions, and ran 48 times for 209 yards and 1 touchdown.

He was on the field for 93 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 10 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 10, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Dak Prescott for C.J. Stroud?

    Not on these numbers alone. Dak Prescott projects 128 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (18.3 a game over 7 games) and C.J. Stroud 134 (16.8 a game over 8 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 10 the call starts Dak Prescott over C.J. Stroud.

  • Should I drop C.J. Stroud for Dak Prescott?

    Not on these numbers alone. C.J. Stroud projects 134 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (16.8 a game over 8 games) and Dak Prescott 128 (18.3 a game over 7 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 10 the call starts Dak Prescott over C.J. Stroud.

Week 10 on the board

Elsewhere on the board