Start Aaron Rodgers or Geno Smith? Week 10

Our Week 10 call

Start Aaron Rodgers over Geno Smith in Week 10.

Market-based projections have Aaron Rodgers at 16.5 points and Geno Smith at 15.0, a gap of 1.6. Aaron Rodgers's number is scaled up from a partial market: not every stat the position needs is posted yet, so the rest is estimated from what is. No player market is posted for Geno Smith this week yet, so his 15.0 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 7, 8 and 9 (15.0, 15.6 and 14.3); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 16.5 fantasy points for Aaron Rodgers, with 80 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Aaron Rodgers is 238 passing yards, 1-2 passing touchdowns and 0.1 rushing touchdowns (10, 11 and 11 market sources).

No Week 10 player market is posted for Geno Smith yet. His market-based projections were 15.0, 15.6 and 14.3 points in Weeks 7, 8 and 9, an average of 15.0, which stands in until his Week 10 market posts.

That puts Aaron Rodgers 1.6 points ahead of Geno Smith on these projections.

Week 10 matchups

Aaron Rodgers and PIT visit CIN on Sunday at 8:20 PM ET.

CIN allowed 18.4 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 7 games, the 14th most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 261 yards and 1.1 touchdowns a game against CIN, with 0.6 interceptions a game.

Geno Smith and NYJ host BUF on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

BUF allowed 19.0 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 7 games, the 10th most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 269 yards and 2.1 touchdowns a game against BUF, with 0.6 interceptions a game.

By points allowed to the position, Geno Smith has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Aaron Rodgers is not on the injury report.

Geno Smith is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 10

Through Week 8, Aaron Rodgers played 98 percent of PIT snaps, dropped back 311 times and threw an average of 7.5 air yards per attempt.

Aaron Rodgers, Week 5 against IND: 58 of 60 snaps, 22 of 31 passes for 235 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 1 carry for 6 yards.

Aaron Rodgers, Week 6 against TB: 79 of 79 snaps, 33 of 47 passes for 253 yards, 2 touchdowns and 1 interception.

Aaron Rodgers, Week 7 against NO: 64 of 64 snaps, 19 of 30 passes for 212 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 1 carry for 8 yards.

Aaron Rodgers, Week 8 against CLE: 56 of 59 snaps, 13 of 24 passes for 172 yards, 0 touchdowns and 1 interception.

Through Week 9, Geno Smith played 100 percent of NYJ snaps, dropped back 310 times and threw an average of 7.5 air yards per attempt.

Geno Smith, Week 6 against NE: 62 of 62 snaps, 20 of 30 passes for 252 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 1 carry for 0 yards.

Geno Smith, Week 7 against MIA: 59 of 59 snaps, 23 of 30 passes for 287 yards, 3 touchdowns and 1 interception, 1 carry for 1 yards.

Geno Smith, Week 8 against LV: 64 of 64 snaps, 20 of 32 passes for 290 yards, 2 touchdowns and 1 interception, 1 carry for 4 yards.

Geno Smith, Week 9 against KC: 63 of 63 snaps, 18 of 32 passes for 165 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 1 carry for 8 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Aaron Rodgers played 16 games for PIT and scored 234.1 PPR points, 14.6 a game, finishing QB18.

He completed 327 of 498 passes for 3322 yards, 24 touchdowns and 7 interceptions, and ran 21 times for 61 yards and 1 touchdown.

He was on the field for 95 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Geno Smith played 15 games for LV and scored 190.9 PPR points, 12.7 a game, finishing QB23.

He completed 302 of 448 passes for 3025 yards, 19 touchdowns and 17 interceptions, and ran 41 times for 109 yards and 0 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 97 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 10 calls

• Start Brock Purdy over Aaron Rodgers.
• Start Aaron Rodgers over Bryce Young.
• Start Aaron Rodgers over Cam Ward.
• Start Bryce Young over Geno Smith.
• Start Geno Smith over Cam Ward.
• Start C.J. Stroud over Geno Smith.