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Start Cam Ward or Geno Smith? Week 10

Updated Nov 10, 1:36 PM ET.

Start Geno Smith over Cam Ward

Start

QB · NYJ · vs BUF

Market projects
15.0
recent weeks avg
BUF D vs QB
19.0
10th most to QBs (2026)
Upside
Moderate
57 of 100 at QB
Snap share
100%
Through Week 9
Sit

QB · TEN · vs JAX

Market projects
12.0
recent weeks avg
JAX D vs QB
13.9
5th fewest to QBs (2026)
Upside
Moderate
50 of 100 at QB
Snap share
100%
Through Week 8

Should I drop Cam Ward for Geno Smith?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Geno Smith projects 105 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (15.0 a game over 7 games), Cam Ward 99 (12.4 a game over 8 games). For Week 10 the call starts Geno Smith over Cam Ward.

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Our Week 10 call

Start Geno Smith over Cam Ward in Week 10.

Market-based projections have Geno Smith at 15.0 points and Cam Ward at 12.0, a gap of 2.9. No player market is posted for Geno Smith this week yet, so his 15.0 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 7, 8 and 9 (15.0, 15.6 and 14.3); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for Cam Ward this week yet, so his 12.0 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 7 and 8 (12.1 and 11.9); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.

What the market projects

No Week 10 player market is posted for Geno Smith yet. His market-based projections were 15.0, 15.6 and 14.3 points in Weeks 7, 8 and 9, an average of 15.0, which stands in until his Week 10 market posts.

No Week 10 player market is posted for Cam Ward yet. His market-based projections were 12.1 and 11.9 points in Weeks 7 and 8, an average of 12.0, which stands in until his Week 10 market posts.

That puts Geno Smith 2.9 points ahead of Cam Ward on these projections.

Week 10 matchups

Geno Smith and NYJ host BUF on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

BUF allowed 19.0 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 7 games, the 10th most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 269 yards and 2.1 touchdowns a game against BUF, with 0.6 interceptions a game.

Cam Ward and TEN host JAX on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

JAX allowed 13.9 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 8 games, the 5th fewest in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 237 yards and a touchdown a game against JAX, with 1.4 interceptions a game.

By points allowed to the position, Geno Smith has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Geno Smith is not on the injury report.

Cam Ward is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 10

Through Week 9, Geno Smith played 100 percent of NYJ snaps, dropped back 310 times and threw an average of 7.5 air yards per attempt.

Geno Smith, Week 6 against NE: 62 of 62 snaps, 20 of 30 passes for 252 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 1 carry for 0 yards.

Geno Smith, Week 7 against MIA: 59 of 59 snaps, 23 of 30 passes for 287 yards, 3 touchdowns and 1 interception, 1 carry for 1 yards.

Geno Smith, Week 8 against LV: 64 of 64 snaps, 20 of 32 passes for 290 yards, 2 touchdowns and 1 interception, 1 carry for 4 yards.

Geno Smith, Week 9 against KC: 63 of 63 snaps, 18 of 32 passes for 165 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 1 carry for 8 yards.

Through Week 8, Cam Ward played 100 percent of TEN snaps, dropped back 278 times and threw an average of 7.0 air yards per attempt.

Cam Ward, Week 5 against HOU: 63 of 63 snaps, 23 of 36 passes for 170 yards, 0 touchdowns and 1 interception, 1 carry for 2 yards.

Cam Ward, Week 6 against IND: 46 of 46 snaps, 11 of 22 passes for 102 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 2 carries for 8 yards.

Cam Ward, Week 7 against CLE: 63 of 63 snaps, 20 of 31 passes for 181 yards, 0 touchdowns and 1 interception, 2 carries for 5 yards.

Cam Ward, Week 8 against CIN: 77 of 77 snaps, 26 of 40 passes for 304 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 7 carries for 41 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Geno Smith played 15 games for LV and scored 190.9 PPR points, 12.7 a game, finishing QB23.

He completed 302 of 448 passes for 3025 yards, 19 touchdowns and 17 interceptions, and ran 41 times for 109 yards and 0 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 97 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Cam Ward played 17 games for TEN and scored 193.7 PPR points, 11.4 a game, finishing QB22.

He completed 323 of 540 passes for 3169 yards, 15 touchdowns and 7 interceptions, and ran 39 times for 159 yards and 2 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 100 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 10 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 10, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Cam Ward for Geno Smith?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Geno Smith projects 105 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (15.0 a game over 7 games), Cam Ward 99 (12.4 a game over 8 games). For Week 10 the call starts Geno Smith over Cam Ward.

  • Should I drop Geno Smith for Cam Ward?

    No. Keep Geno Smith: he projects 105 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (15.0 a game over 7 games), Cam Ward 99 (12.4 a game over 8 games). For Week 10 the call starts Geno Smith over Cam Ward.

Should I drop Cam Ward?

Week 10 on the board

Elsewhere on the board