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Start Geno Smith or Aaron Rodgers? Week 8

Updated Oct 27, 11:56 AM ET.

Start

QB · PIT · vs CLE

Market projects
14.6
recent weeks avg
CLE D vs QB
15.4
8th fewest to QBs (2026)
Upside
Limited
13 of 100 at QB
Snap share
99%
Through Week 7
Sit

QB · NYJ · vs LV

Market projects
13.3
recent weeks avg
LV D vs QB
20.8
5th most to QBs (2026)
Upside
Moderate
47 of 100 at QB
Snap share
100%
Through Week 7

Should I drop Aaron Rodgers for Geno Smith?

Not on these numbers alone. Aaron Rodgers projects 131 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (14.5 a game over 9 games) and Geno Smith 135 (15.0 a game over 9 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 8 the call starts Aaron Rodgers over Geno Smith.

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Our Week 8 call

Start Aaron Rodgers over Geno Smith in Week 8.

Market-based projections have Aaron Rodgers at 14.6 points and Geno Smith at 13.3, a gap of 1.3. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. No player market is posted for Aaron Rodgers this week yet, so his 14.6 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 5, 6 and 7 (14.5, 14.3 and 14.8); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for Geno Smith this week yet, so his 13.3 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 5, 6 and 7 (14.2, 10.6 and 15.0); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.

What the market projects

No Week 8 player market is posted for Aaron Rodgers yet. His market-based projections were 14.5, 14.4 and 14.8 points in Weeks 5, 6 and 7, an average of 14.6, which stands in until his Week 8 market posts.

No Week 8 player market is posted for Geno Smith yet. His market-based projections were 14.2, 10.6 and 15.0 points in Weeks 5, 6 and 7, an average of 13.3, which stands in until his Week 8 market posts.

That puts Aaron Rodgers 1.3 points ahead of Geno Smith on these projections.

Week 8 matchups

Aaron Rodgers and PIT host CLE on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

CLE allowed 15.4 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 7 games, the 8th fewest in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 221 yards and 1.6 touchdowns a game against CLE, with 0.7 interceptions a game.

Geno Smith and NYJ host LV on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

LV allowed 20.8 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 7 games, the 5th most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 245 yards and 2.3 touchdowns a game against LV, with 0.7 interceptions a game.

By points allowed to the position, Geno Smith has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Aaron Rodgers is not on the injury report.

Geno Smith is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 8

Through Week 7, Aaron Rodgers played 99 percent of PIT snaps, dropped back 286 times and threw an average of 7.5 air yards per attempt.

Aaron Rodgers, Week 4 against CLE: 72 of 72 snaps, 22 of 40 passes for 299 yards, 3 touchdowns and 2 interceptions.

Aaron Rodgers, Week 5 against IND: 58 of 60 snaps, 22 of 31 passes for 235 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 1 carry for 6 yards.

Aaron Rodgers, Week 6 against TB: 79 of 79 snaps, 33 of 47 passes for 253 yards, 2 touchdowns and 1 interception.

Aaron Rodgers, Week 7 against NO: 64 of 64 snaps, 19 of 30 passes for 212 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 1 carry for 8 yards.

Through Week 7, Geno Smith played 100 percent of NYJ snaps, dropped back 237 times and threw an average of 6.8 air yards per attempt.

Geno Smith, Week 4 against CHI: 32 of 32 snaps, 8 of 15 passes for 119 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions.

Geno Smith, Week 5 against CLE: 70 of 70 snaps, 17 of 30 passes for 182 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 3 carries for 9 yards.

Geno Smith, Week 6 against NE: 62 of 62 snaps, 20 of 30 passes for 252 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 1 carry for 0 yards.

Geno Smith, Week 7 against MIA: 59 of 59 snaps, 23 of 30 passes for 287 yards, 3 touchdowns and 1 interception, 1 carry for 1 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Aaron Rodgers played 16 games for PIT and scored 234.1 PPR points, 14.6 a game, finishing QB18.

He completed 327 of 498 passes for 3322 yards, 24 touchdowns and 7 interceptions, and ran 21 times for 61 yards and 1 touchdown.

He was on the field for 95 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Geno Smith played 15 games for LV and scored 190.9 PPR points, 12.7 a game, finishing QB23.

He completed 302 of 448 passes for 3025 yards, 19 touchdowns and 17 interceptions, and ran 41 times for 109 yards and 0 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 97 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 8 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 8, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Aaron Rodgers for Geno Smith?

    Not on these numbers alone. Aaron Rodgers projects 131 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (14.5 a game over 9 games) and Geno Smith 135 (15.0 a game over 9 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 8 the call starts Aaron Rodgers over Geno Smith.

  • Should I drop Geno Smith for Aaron Rodgers?

    Not on these numbers alone. Geno Smith projects 135 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (15.0 a game over 9 games) and Aaron Rodgers 131 (14.5 a game over 9 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 8 the call starts Aaron Rodgers over Geno Smith.

Should I drop Aaron Rodgers?Should I drop Geno Smith?

Week 8 on the board

Elsewhere on the board