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Start Daniel Jones or Geno Smith? Week 8

Updated Oct 27, 11:56 AM ET.

Start Geno Smith over Daniel Jones

Start

Geno Smith

QB · NYJ · vs LV

Market projects
13.3
recent weeks avg
LV D vs QB
20.8
5th most to QBs (2026)
Upside
Moderate
47 of 100 at QB
Snap share
100%
Through Week 7
Sit

Daniel Jones

QB · IND · at JAX

Market projects
12.7
recent weeks avg
JAX D vs QB
16.7
14th fewest to QBs (2026)
Upside
Moderate
41 of 100 at QB
Snap share
100%
Through Week 7

Should I drop Geno Smith for Daniel Jones?

Not on these numbers alone. Geno Smith projects 135 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (15.0 a game over 9 games) and Daniel Jones 136 (15.1 a game over 9 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 8 the call starts Geno Smith over Daniel Jones.

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Our Week 8 call

Start Geno Smith over Daniel Jones in Week 8.

Market-based projections have Geno Smith at 13.3 points and Daniel Jones at 12.7, a gap of 0.6. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. No player market is posted for Geno Smith this week yet, so his 13.3 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 5, 6 and 7 (14.2, 10.6 and 15.0); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for Daniel Jones this week yet, so his 12.7 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 5, 6 and 7 (10.5, 16.0 and 11.5); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.

What the market projects

No Week 8 player market is posted for Geno Smith yet. His market-based projections were 14.2, 10.6 and 15.0 points in Weeks 5, 6 and 7, an average of 13.3, which stands in until his Week 8 market posts.

No Week 8 player market is posted for Daniel Jones yet. His market-based projections were 10.5, 16.0 and 11.5 points in Weeks 5, 6 and 7, an average of 12.7, which stands in until his Week 8 market posts.

That puts Geno Smith 0.6 points ahead of Daniel Jones on these projections.

Week 8 matchups

Geno Smith and NYJ host LV on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

LV allowed 20.8 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 7 games, the 5th most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 245 yards and 2.3 touchdowns a game against LV, with 0.7 interceptions a game.

Daniel Jones and IND visit JAX on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

JAX allowed 16.7 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 6 games, the 14th fewest in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 280 yards and 1.2 touchdowns a game against JAX, with 1.2 interceptions a game.

By points allowed to the position, Geno Smith has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Geno Smith is not on the injury report.

Daniel Jones is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 8

Through Week 7, Geno Smith played 100 percent of NYJ snaps, dropped back 237 times and threw an average of 6.8 air yards per attempt.

Geno Smith, Week 4 against CHI: 32 of 32 snaps, 8 of 15 passes for 119 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions.

Geno Smith, Week 5 against CLE: 70 of 70 snaps, 17 of 30 passes for 182 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 3 carries for 9 yards.

Geno Smith, Week 6 against NE: 62 of 62 snaps, 20 of 30 passes for 252 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 1 carry for 0 yards.

Geno Smith, Week 7 against MIA: 59 of 59 snaps, 23 of 30 passes for 287 yards, 3 touchdowns and 1 interception, 1 carry for 1 yards.

Through Week 7, Daniel Jones played 100 percent of IND snaps, dropped back 266 times and threw an average of 7.8 air yards per attempt.

Daniel Jones, Week 4 against WAS: 66 of 66 snaps, 19 of 34 passes for 143 yards, 0 touchdowns and 1 interception, 2 carries for 5 yards.

Daniel Jones, Week 5 against PIT: 71 of 71 snaps, 24 of 44 passes for 267 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 3 carries for 4 yards.

Daniel Jones, Week 6 against TEN: 83 of 83 snaps, 22 of 41 passes for 269 yards, 1 touchdown and 2 interceptions, 3 carries for 30 yards.

Daniel Jones, Week 7 against MIN: 58 of 58 snaps, 13 of 22 passes for 108 yards, 0 touchdowns and 1 interception, 4 carries for 13 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Geno Smith played 15 games for LV and scored 190.9 PPR points, 12.7 a game, finishing QB23.

He completed 302 of 448 passes for 3025 yards, 19 touchdowns and 17 interceptions, and ran 41 times for 109 yards and 0 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 97 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Daniel Jones played 13 games for IND and scored 234.4 PPR points, 18.0 a game, finishing QB17.

He completed 261 of 384 passes for 3101 yards, 19 touchdowns and 8 interceptions, and ran 45 times for 164 yards and 5 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 91 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 8 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 8, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Geno Smith for Daniel Jones?

    Not on these numbers alone. Geno Smith projects 135 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (15.0 a game over 9 games) and Daniel Jones 136 (15.1 a game over 9 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 8 the call starts Geno Smith over Daniel Jones.

  • Should I drop Daniel Jones for Geno Smith?

    Not on these numbers alone. Daniel Jones projects 136 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (15.1 a game over 9 games) and Geno Smith 135 (15.0 a game over 9 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 8 the call starts Geno Smith over Daniel Jones.

Should I drop Geno Smith?

Week 8 on the board

Elsewhere on the board