Should I drop Justin Herbert for Aaron Rodgers?

Not on these numbers alone. Justin Herbert projects 136 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (13.6 a game over 10 games) and Aaron Rodgers 131 (14.5 a game over 9 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 8 the call starts Justin Herbert over Aaron Rodgers.

Start Justin Herbert or Aaron Rodgers? Week 8

Updated Oct 27, 11:56 AM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 9 answer posts Tuesday.

Start Justin Herbert over Aaron Rodgers

Start

Justin Herbert

QB · LAC · at LAR

Market projects: 14.9; recent weeks avg
LAR D vs QB: 17.9; 14th most to QBs (2026)
Upside: Rising; 75 of 100 at QB
Snap share: 100%; Through Week 6

Sit

Aaron Rodgers

QB · PIT · vs CLE

Market projects: 14.6; recent weeks avg
CLE D vs QB: 15.4; 8th fewest to QBs (2026)
Upside: Limited; 13 of 100 at QB
Snap share: 99%; Through Week 7

Should I drop Aaron Rodgers for Justin Herbert?

Not on these numbers alone. Aaron Rodgers projects 131 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (14.5 a game over 9 games) and Justin Herbert 136 (13.6 a game over 10 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 8 the call starts Justin Herbert over Aaron Rodgers.

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Our Week 8 call

Start Justin Herbert over Aaron Rodgers in Week 8.

Market-based projections have Justin Herbert at 14.9 points and Aaron Rodgers at 14.6, a gap of 0.3. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. No player market is posted for Justin Herbert this week yet, so his 14.9 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 5 and 6 (15.9 and 13.8); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for Aaron Rodgers this week yet, so his 14.6 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 5, 6 and 7 (14.5, 14.3 and 14.8); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. Drafters take Justin Herbert at ADP 112 and Aaron Rodgers at 231.

What the market projects

No Week 8 player market is posted for Justin Herbert yet. His market-based projections were 15.9 and 13.8 points in Weeks 5 and 6, an average of 14.9, which stands in until his Week 8 market posts.

No Week 8 player market is posted for Aaron Rodgers yet. His market-based projections were 14.5, 14.4 and 14.8 points in Weeks 5, 6 and 7, an average of 14.6, which stands in until his Week 8 market posts.

That puts Justin Herbert 0.3 points ahead of Aaron Rodgers on these projections.

Week 8 matchups

Justin Herbert and LAC visit LAR on Sunday at 4:05 PM ET.

LAR allowed 17.9 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 7 games, the 14th most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 191 yards and 1.4 touchdowns a game against LAR, with 0.7 interceptions a game.

Aaron Rodgers and PIT host CLE on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

CLE allowed 15.4 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 7 games, the 8th fewest in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 221 yards and 1.6 touchdowns a game against CLE, with 0.7 interceptions a game.

By points allowed to the position, Justin Herbert has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Justin Herbert is not on the injury report.

Aaron Rodgers is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 8

Through Week 6, Justin Herbert played 100 percent of LAC snaps, dropped back 219 times and threw an average of 7.8 air yards per attempt.

Justin Herbert, Week 3 against BUF: 69 of 69 snaps, 20 of 34 passes for 226 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 4 carries for 17 yards.

Justin Herbert, Week 4 against SEA: 71 of 71 snaps, 19 of 31 passes for 189 yards, 1 touchdown and 2 interceptions, 6 carries for 40 yards.

Justin Herbert, Week 5 against DEN: 67 of 67 snaps, 14 of 23 passes for 121 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 6 carries for 54 yards.

Justin Herbert, Week 6 against KC: 68 of 68 snaps, 22 of 37 passes for 204 yards, 0 touchdowns and 1 interception, 5 carries for 26 yards.

Through Week 7, Aaron Rodgers played 99 percent of PIT snaps, dropped back 286 times and threw an average of 7.5 air yards per attempt.

Aaron Rodgers, Week 4 against CLE: 72 of 72 snaps, 22 of 40 passes for 299 yards, 3 touchdowns and 2 interceptions.

Aaron Rodgers, Week 5 against IND: 58 of 60 snaps, 22 of 31 passes for 235 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 1 carry for 6 yards.

Aaron Rodgers, Week 6 against TB: 79 of 79 snaps, 33 of 47 passes for 253 yards, 2 touchdowns and 1 interception.

Aaron Rodgers, Week 7 against NO: 64 of 64 snaps, 19 of 30 passes for 212 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 1 carry for 8 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Justin Herbert played 16 games for LAC and scored 299.9 PPR points, 18.7 a game, finishing QB10.

He completed 340 of 512 passes for 3727 yards, 26 touchdowns and 13 interceptions, and ran 83 times for 498 yards and 2 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 97 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Aaron Rodgers played 16 games for PIT and scored 234.1 PPR points, 14.6 a game, finishing QB18.

He completed 327 of 498 passes for 3322 yards, 24 touchdowns and 7 interceptions, and ran 21 times for 61 yards and 1 touchdown.

He was on the field for 95 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 8 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 8, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop Aaron Rodgers for Justin Herbert?
Not on these numbers alone. Aaron Rodgers projects 131 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (14.5 a game over 9 games) and Justin Herbert 136 (13.6 a game over 10 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 8 the call starts Justin Herbert over Aaron Rodgers.
Should I drop Justin Herbert for Aaron Rodgers?
Not on these numbers alone. Justin Herbert projects 136 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (13.6 a game over 10 games) and Aaron Rodgers 131 (14.5 a game over 9 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 8 the call starts Justin Herbert over Aaron Rodgers.

Should I drop Aaron Rodgers?