Start Bo Nix or Justin Herbert? Week 8

Updated Oct 27, 11:56 AM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 9 answer posts Tuesday.

Start Bo Nix over Justin Herbert

Start

Bo Nix

QB · DEN · vs KC

Market projects: 15.8; recent weeks avg
KC D vs QB: 13.0; 3rd fewest to QBs (2026)
Upside: Limited; 38 of 100 at QB
Snap share: 100%; Through Week 7

Sit

Justin Herbert

QB · LAC · at LAR

Market projects: 14.9; recent weeks avg
LAR D vs QB: 17.9; 14th most to QBs (2026)
Upside: Rising; 75 of 100 at QB
Snap share: 100%; Through Week 6

Should I drop Justin Herbert for Bo Nix?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Bo Nix projects 148 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (16.4 a game over 9 games), Justin Herbert 136 (13.6 a game over 10 games). For Week 8 the call starts Bo Nix over Justin Herbert.

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Our Week 8 call

Start Bo Nix over Justin Herbert in Week 8.

Market-based projections have Bo Nix at 15.8 points and Justin Herbert at 14.9, a gap of 1.0. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. No player market is posted for Bo Nix this week yet, so his 15.8 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 5, 6 and 7 (16.3, 14.9 and 16.3); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for Justin Herbert this week yet, so his 14.9 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 5 and 6 (15.9 and 13.8); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. Drafters take Bo Nix at ADP 116 and Justin Herbert at 112.

What the market projects

No Week 8 player market is posted for Bo Nix yet. His market-based projections were 16.3, 14.9 and 16.3 points in Weeks 5, 6 and 7, an average of 15.8, which stands in until his Week 8 market posts.

No Week 8 player market is posted for Justin Herbert yet. His market-based projections were 15.9 and 13.8 points in Weeks 5 and 6, an average of 14.9, which stands in until his Week 8 market posts.

That puts Bo Nix 1.0 points ahead of Justin Herbert on these projections.

Week 8 matchups

Bo Nix and DEN host KC on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET.

KC allowed 13.0 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 6 games, the 3rd fewest in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 230 yards and 0.8 touchdowns a game against KC, with an interception a game.

Justin Herbert and LAC visit LAR on Sunday at 4:05 PM ET.

LAR allowed 17.9 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 7 games, the 14th most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 191 yards and 1.4 touchdowns a game against LAR, with 0.7 interceptions a game.

By points allowed to the position, Justin Herbert has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Bo Nix is not on the injury report.

Justin Herbert is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 8

Through Week 7, Bo Nix played 100 percent of DEN snaps, dropped back 234 times and threw an average of 5.7 air yards per attempt.

Bo Nix, Week 4 against SF: 65 of 65 snaps, 25 of 42 passes for 214 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 10 yards.

Bo Nix, Week 5 against LAC: 62 of 62 snaps, 16 of 27 passes for 123 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 4 carries for 10 yards.

Bo Nix, Week 6 against SEA: 60 of 60 snaps, 17 of 27 passes for 107 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 3 carries for 3 yards.

Bo Nix, Week 7 against ARI: 61 of 61 snaps, 15 of 29 passes for 222 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 5 carries for 75 yards.

Through Week 6, Justin Herbert played 100 percent of LAC snaps, dropped back 219 times and threw an average of 7.8 air yards per attempt.

Justin Herbert, Week 3 against BUF: 69 of 69 snaps, 20 of 34 passes for 226 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 4 carries for 17 yards.

Justin Herbert, Week 4 against SEA: 71 of 71 snaps, 19 of 31 passes for 189 yards, 1 touchdown and 2 interceptions, 6 carries for 40 yards.

Justin Herbert, Week 5 against DEN: 67 of 67 snaps, 14 of 23 passes for 121 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 6 carries for 54 yards.

Justin Herbert, Week 6 against KC: 68 of 68 snaps, 22 of 37 passes for 204 yards, 0 touchdowns and 1 interception, 5 carries for 26 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Bo Nix played 17 games for DEN and scored 315.8 PPR points, 18.6 a game, finishing QB7.

He completed 388 of 612 passes for 3931 yards, 25 touchdowns and 11 interceptions, and ran 83 times for 356 yards and 5 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 100 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Justin Herbert played 16 games for LAC and scored 299.9 PPR points, 18.7 a game, finishing QB10.

He completed 340 of 512 passes for 3727 yards, 26 touchdowns and 13 interceptions, and ran 83 times for 498 yards and 2 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 97 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 8 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 8, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop Justin Herbert for Bo Nix?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Bo Nix projects 148 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (16.4 a game over 9 games), Justin Herbert 136 (13.6 a game over 10 games). For Week 8 the call starts Bo Nix over Justin Herbert.
Should I drop Bo Nix for Justin Herbert?
No. Keep Bo Nix: he projects 148 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (16.4 a game over 9 games), Justin Herbert 136 (13.6 a game over 10 games). For Week 8 the call starts Bo Nix over Justin Herbert.

Should I drop Bo Nix?