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Start Malik Willis or Michael Penix Jr.? Week 10

Updated Nov 10, 9:26 AM ET.

Latest

  • : Malik Willis: Listed Questionable (Groin) (Sleeper injury feed)

Start Michael Penix Jr. over Malik Willis

Start

Michael Penix Jr.

QB · ATL · vs KC

Market projects
15.0
recent weeks avg
KC D vs QB
13.9
7th fewest to QBs (2026)
Upside
Limited
17 of 100 at QB
Snap share
99%
Through Week 9
Sit

Malik Willis

QB · MIA · at IND · Questionable

Market projects
14.1
recent weeks avg
IND D vs QB
18.3
15th most to QBs (2026)
Upside
Limited
33 of 100 at QB
Snap share
100%
Through Week 9

Should I drop Michael Penix Jr. for Malik Willis?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Malik Willis projects 119 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (14.9 a game over 8 games), Michael Penix Jr. 103 (14.7 a game over 7 games). For Week 10 the call starts Michael Penix Jr. over Malik Willis. So make the move after his Week 10 game. Malik Willis is listed questionable.

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Michael Penix Jr. rookie cards

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Our Week 10 call

Start Michael Penix Jr. over Malik Willis in Week 10.

Market-based projections have Michael Penix Jr. at 15.0 points and Malik Willis at 14.1, a gap of 0.9. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. No player market is posted for Michael Penix Jr. this week yet, so his 15.0 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 7, 8 and 9 (15.3, 14.6 and 15.0); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for Malik Willis this week yet, so his 14.1 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 7, 8 and 9 (14.1, 14.1 and 14.0); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.

What the market projects

No Week 10 player market is posted for Michael Penix Jr. yet. His market-based projections were 15.3, 14.6 and 15.0 points in Weeks 7, 8 and 9, an average of 15.0, which stands in until his Week 10 market posts.

No Week 10 player market is posted for Malik Willis yet. His market-based projections were 14.1, 14.1 and 14.0 points in Weeks 7, 8 and 9, an average of 14.1, which stands in until his Week 10 market posts.

That puts Michael Penix Jr. 0.9 points ahead of Malik Willis on these projections.

Week 10 matchups

Michael Penix Jr. and ATL host KC on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

KC allowed 13.9 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 7 games, the 7th fewest in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 228 yards and a touchdown a game against KC, with 0.9 interceptions a game.

Malik Willis and MIA visit IND on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

IND allowed 18.3 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 8 games, the 15th most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 226 yards and 1.8 touchdowns a game against IND, with 0.3 interceptions a game.

By points allowed to the position, Malik Willis has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Michael Penix Jr. is not on the injury report.

Malik Willis is listed as questionable with a groin injury.

Usage before Week 10

Through Week 9, Michael Penix Jr. played 99 percent of ATL snaps, dropped back 93 times and threw an average of 7.1 air yards per attempt.

Michael Penix Jr., Week 7 against SF: 68 of 69 snaps, 25 of 33 passes for 213 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 2 yards.

Michael Penix Jr., Week 8 against TB: 53 of 53 snaps, 8 of 24 passes for 125 yards, 0 touchdowns and 4 interceptions, 5 carries for 11 yards.

Michael Penix Jr., Week 9 against CIN: 62 of 62 snaps, 20 of 31 passes for 162 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 3 carries for 50 yards.

Through Week 9, Malik Willis played 100 percent of MIA snaps, dropped back 254 times and threw an average of 9.4 air yards per attempt.

Malik Willis, Week 5 against CIN: 66 of 66 snaps, 15 of 26 passes for 137 yards, 1 touchdown and 2 interceptions, 8 carries for 74 yards.

Malik Willis, Week 7 against NYJ: 65 of 65 snaps, 14 of 21 passes for 208 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 6 carries for 39 yards.

Malik Willis, Week 8 against NE: 65 of 65 snaps, 21 of 32 passes for 211 yards, 2 touchdowns and 1 interception, 1 carry for 2 yards.

Malik Willis, Week 9 against DET: 57 of 57 snaps, 13 of 24 passes for 128 yards, 0 touchdowns and 1 interception, 2 carries for 7 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Michael Penix Jr. played 9 games for ATL and scored 123.3 PPR points, 13.7 a game, finishing QB33.

He completed 166 of 276 passes for 1982 yards, 9 touchdowns and 3 interceptions, and ran 21 times for 70 yards and 1 touchdown.

He was on the field for 93 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Malik Willis played 4 games for GB and scored 51.2 PPR points, 12.8 a game, finishing QB45.

He completed 30 of 35 passes for 422 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, and ran 22 times for 123 yards and 2 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 10 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 10 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 10, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Michael Penix Jr. for Malik Willis?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Malik Willis projects 119 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (14.9 a game over 8 games), Michael Penix Jr. 103 (14.7 a game over 7 games). For Week 10 the call starts Michael Penix Jr. over Malik Willis. So make the move after his Week 10 game. Malik Willis is listed questionable.

  • Should I drop Malik Willis for Michael Penix Jr.?

    No. Keep Malik Willis: he projects 119 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (14.9 a game over 8 games), Michael Penix Jr. 103 (14.7 a game over 7 games). For Week 10 the call starts Michael Penix Jr. over Malik Willis. Malik Willis is listed questionable.

Should I drop Malik Willis?

Week 10 on the board

Elsewhere on the board