Start Michael Penix Jr. or Aaron Rodgers? Week 10

Our Week 10 call

Start Aaron Rodgers over Michael Penix Jr. in Week 10.

Market-based projections have Aaron Rodgers at 16.5 points and Michael Penix Jr. at 15.0, a gap of 1.5. Aaron Rodgers's number is scaled up from a partial market: not every stat the position needs is posted yet, so the rest is estimated from what is. No player market is posted for Michael Penix Jr. this week yet, so his 15.0 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 7, 8 and 9 (15.3, 14.6 and 15.0); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 16.5 fantasy points for Aaron Rodgers, with 80 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Aaron Rodgers is 238 passing yards, 1-2 passing touchdowns and 0.1 rushing touchdowns (10, 11 and 11 market sources).

No Week 10 player market is posted for Michael Penix Jr. yet. His market-based projections were 15.3, 14.6 and 15.0 points in Weeks 7, 8 and 9, an average of 15.0, which stands in until his Week 10 market posts.

That puts Aaron Rodgers 1.5 points ahead of Michael Penix Jr. on these projections.

Week 10 matchups

Aaron Rodgers and PIT visit CIN on Sunday at 8:20 PM ET.

CIN allowed 18.4 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 7 games, the 14th most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 261 yards and 1.1 touchdowns a game against CIN, with 0.6 interceptions a game.

Michael Penix Jr. and ATL host KC on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

KC allowed 13.9 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 7 games, the 7th fewest in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 228 yards and a touchdown a game against KC, with 0.9 interceptions a game.

By points allowed to the position, Aaron Rodgers has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Aaron Rodgers is not on the injury report.

Michael Penix Jr. is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 10

Through Week 8, Aaron Rodgers played 98 percent of PIT snaps, dropped back 311 times and threw an average of 7.5 air yards per attempt.

Aaron Rodgers, Week 5 against IND: 58 of 60 snaps, 22 of 31 passes for 235 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 1 carry for 6 yards.

Aaron Rodgers, Week 6 against TB: 79 of 79 snaps, 33 of 47 passes for 253 yards, 2 touchdowns and 1 interception.

Aaron Rodgers, Week 7 against NO: 64 of 64 snaps, 19 of 30 passes for 212 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 1 carry for 8 yards.

Aaron Rodgers, Week 8 against CLE: 56 of 59 snaps, 13 of 24 passes for 172 yards, 0 touchdowns and 1 interception.

Through Week 9, Michael Penix Jr. played 99 percent of ATL snaps, dropped back 93 times and threw an average of 7.1 air yards per attempt.

Michael Penix Jr., Week 7 against SF: 68 of 69 snaps, 25 of 33 passes for 213 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 2 yards.

Michael Penix Jr., Week 8 against TB: 53 of 53 snaps, 8 of 24 passes for 125 yards, 0 touchdowns and 4 interceptions, 5 carries for 11 yards.

Michael Penix Jr., Week 9 against CIN: 62 of 62 snaps, 20 of 31 passes for 162 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 3 carries for 50 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Aaron Rodgers played 16 games for PIT and scored 234.1 PPR points, 14.6 a game, finishing QB18.

He completed 327 of 498 passes for 3322 yards, 24 touchdowns and 7 interceptions, and ran 21 times for 61 yards and 1 touchdown.

He was on the field for 95 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Michael Penix Jr. played 9 games for ATL and scored 123.3 PPR points, 13.7 a game, finishing QB33.

He completed 166 of 276 passes for 1982 yards, 9 touchdowns and 3 interceptions, and ran 21 times for 70 yards and 1 touchdown.

He was on the field for 93 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 10 calls

• Start Brock Purdy over Aaron Rodgers.
• Start Aaron Rodgers over Bryce Young.
• Start Aaron Rodgers over Cam Ward.
• Start Bryce Young over Michael Penix Jr..
• Start Michael Penix Jr. over Cam Ward.
• Start C.J. Stroud over Michael Penix Jr..