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Start Cam Ward or Michael Penix Jr.? Week 10

Updated Nov 10, 9:51 AM ET.

Start Michael Penix Jr. over Cam Ward

Start

Michael Penix Jr.

QB · ATL · vs KC

Market projects
15.0
recent weeks avg
KC D vs QB
13.9
7th fewest to QBs (2026)
Upside
Limited
17 of 100 at QB
Snap share
99%
Through Week 9
Sit

Cam Ward

QB · TEN · vs JAX

Market projects
12.0
recent weeks avg
JAX D vs QB
13.9
5th fewest to QBs (2026)
Upside
Moderate
50 of 100 at QB
Snap share
100%
Through Week 8

Should I drop Cam Ward for Michael Penix Jr.?

Not on these numbers alone. Cam Ward projects 99 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (12.4 a game over 8 games) and Michael Penix Jr. 103 (14.7 a game over 7 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 10 the call starts Michael Penix Jr. over Cam Ward.

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Our Week 10 call

Start Michael Penix Jr. over Cam Ward in Week 10.

Market-based projections have Michael Penix Jr. at 15.0 points and Cam Ward at 12.0, a gap of 2.9. No player market is posted for Michael Penix Jr. this week yet, so his 15.0 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 7, 8 and 9 (15.3, 14.6 and 15.0); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for Cam Ward this week yet, so his 12.0 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 7 and 8 (12.1 and 11.9); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.

What the market projects

No Week 10 player market is posted for Michael Penix Jr. yet. His market-based projections were 15.3, 14.6 and 15.0 points in Weeks 7, 8 and 9, an average of 15.0, which stands in until his Week 10 market posts.

No Week 10 player market is posted for Cam Ward yet. His market-based projections were 12.1 and 11.9 points in Weeks 7 and 8, an average of 12.0, which stands in until his Week 10 market posts.

That puts Michael Penix Jr. 2.9 points ahead of Cam Ward on these projections.

Week 10 matchups

Michael Penix Jr. and ATL host KC on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

KC allowed 13.9 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 7 games, the 7th fewest in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 228 yards and a touchdown a game against KC, with 0.9 interceptions a game.

Cam Ward and TEN host JAX on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

JAX allowed 13.9 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 8 games, the 5th fewest in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 237 yards and a touchdown a game against JAX, with 1.4 interceptions a game.

By points allowed to the position, Michael Penix Jr. has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Michael Penix Jr. is not on the injury report.

Cam Ward is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 10

Through Week 9, Michael Penix Jr. played 99 percent of ATL snaps, dropped back 93 times and threw an average of 7.1 air yards per attempt.

Michael Penix Jr., Week 7 against SF: 68 of 69 snaps, 25 of 33 passes for 213 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 2 yards.

Michael Penix Jr., Week 8 against TB: 53 of 53 snaps, 8 of 24 passes for 125 yards, 0 touchdowns and 4 interceptions, 5 carries for 11 yards.

Michael Penix Jr., Week 9 against CIN: 62 of 62 snaps, 20 of 31 passes for 162 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 3 carries for 50 yards.

Through Week 8, Cam Ward played 100 percent of TEN snaps, dropped back 278 times and threw an average of 7.0 air yards per attempt.

Cam Ward, Week 5 against HOU: 63 of 63 snaps, 23 of 36 passes for 170 yards, 0 touchdowns and 1 interception, 1 carry for 2 yards.

Cam Ward, Week 6 against IND: 46 of 46 snaps, 11 of 22 passes for 102 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 2 carries for 8 yards.

Cam Ward, Week 7 against CLE: 63 of 63 snaps, 20 of 31 passes for 181 yards, 0 touchdowns and 1 interception, 2 carries for 5 yards.

Cam Ward, Week 8 against CIN: 77 of 77 snaps, 26 of 40 passes for 304 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 7 carries for 41 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Michael Penix Jr. played 9 games for ATL and scored 123.3 PPR points, 13.7 a game, finishing QB33.

He completed 166 of 276 passes for 1982 yards, 9 touchdowns and 3 interceptions, and ran 21 times for 70 yards and 1 touchdown.

He was on the field for 93 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Cam Ward played 17 games for TEN and scored 193.7 PPR points, 11.4 a game, finishing QB22.

He completed 323 of 540 passes for 3169 yards, 15 touchdowns and 7 interceptions, and ran 39 times for 159 yards and 2 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 100 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 10 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 10, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Cam Ward for Michael Penix Jr.?

    Not on these numbers alone. Cam Ward projects 99 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (12.4 a game over 8 games) and Michael Penix Jr. 103 (14.7 a game over 7 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 10 the call starts Michael Penix Jr. over Cam Ward.

  • Should I drop Michael Penix Jr. for Cam Ward?

    Not on these numbers alone. Michael Penix Jr. projects 103 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (14.7 a game over 7 games) and Cam Ward 99 (12.4 a game over 8 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 10 the call starts Michael Penix Jr. over Cam Ward.

Should I drop Cam Ward?

Week 10 on the board

Elsewhere on the board