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Start C.J. Stroud or Michael Penix Jr.? Week 10

Updated Nov 10, 9:06 AM ET.

Start C.J. Stroud over Michael Penix Jr.

Start

C.J. Stroud

QB · HOU · at CLE

Market projects
17.4
recent weeks avg
CLE D vs QB
14.8
8th fewest to QBs (2026)
Upside
Moderate
53 of 100 at QB
Snap share
98%
Through Week 9
Sit

Michael Penix Jr.

QB · ATL · vs KC

Market projects
15.0
recent weeks avg
KC D vs QB
13.9
7th fewest to QBs (2026)
Upside
Limited
17 of 100 at QB
Snap share
99%
Through Week 9

Should I drop Michael Penix Jr. for C.J. Stroud?

Yes, on the rest of the season. C.J. Stroud projects 134 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (16.8 a game over 8 games), Michael Penix Jr. 103 (14.7 a game over 7 games). For Week 10 the call starts C.J. Stroud over Michael Penix Jr.

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C.J. Stroud rookie cardsMichael Penix Jr. rookie cards

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Our Week 10 call

Start C.J. Stroud over Michael Penix Jr. in Week 10.

Market-based projections have C.J. Stroud at 17.4 points and Michael Penix Jr. at 15.0, a gap of 2.4. No player market is posted for C.J. Stroud this week yet, so his 17.4 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 7 and 9 (17.8 and 16.9); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for Michael Penix Jr. this week yet, so his 15.0 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 7, 8 and 9 (15.3, 14.6 and 15.0); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.

What the market projects

No Week 10 player market is posted for C.J. Stroud yet. His market-based projections were 17.8 and 16.9 points in Weeks 7 and 9, an average of 17.4, which stands in until his Week 10 market posts.

No Week 10 player market is posted for Michael Penix Jr. yet. His market-based projections were 15.3, 14.6 and 15.0 points in Weeks 7, 8 and 9, an average of 15.0, which stands in until his Week 10 market posts.

That puts C.J. Stroud 2.4 points ahead of Michael Penix Jr. on these projections.

Week 10 matchups

C.J. Stroud and HOU visit CLE on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

CLE allowed 14.8 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 9 games, the 8th fewest in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 220 yards and 1.3 touchdowns a game against CLE, with 0.7 interceptions a game.

Michael Penix Jr. and ATL host KC on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

KC allowed 13.9 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 7 games, the 7th fewest in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 228 yards and a touchdown a game against KC, with 0.9 interceptions a game.

By points allowed to the position, C.J. Stroud has the softer matchup.

Injury status

C.J. Stroud is not on the injury report.

Michael Penix Jr. is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 10

Through Week 9, C.J. Stroud played 98 percent of HOU snaps, dropped back 304 times and threw an average of 9.7 air yards per attempt.

C.J. Stroud, Week 5 against TEN: 66 of 66 snaps, 26 of 34 passes for 261 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 4 carries for 7 yards.

C.J. Stroud, Week 6 against JAX: 63 of 63 snaps, 24 of 34 passes for 312 yards, 3 touchdowns and 1 interception, 1 carry for 5 yards.

C.J. Stroud, Week 7 against NYG: 61 of 61 snaps, 17 of 28 passes for 153 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 4 yards.

C.J. Stroud, Week 9 against LAC: 62 of 70 snaps, 21 of 35 passes for 384 yards, 5 touchdowns and 1 interception, 2 carries for 20 yards.

Through Week 9, Michael Penix Jr. played 99 percent of ATL snaps, dropped back 93 times and threw an average of 7.1 air yards per attempt.

Michael Penix Jr., Week 7 against SF: 68 of 69 snaps, 25 of 33 passes for 213 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 2 yards.

Michael Penix Jr., Week 8 against TB: 53 of 53 snaps, 8 of 24 passes for 125 yards, 0 touchdowns and 4 interceptions, 5 carries for 11 yards.

Michael Penix Jr., Week 9 against CIN: 62 of 62 snaps, 20 of 31 passes for 162 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 3 carries for 50 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, C.J. Stroud played 14 games for HOU and scored 216.5 PPR points, 15.5 a game, finishing QB21.

He completed 273 of 423 passes for 3041 yards, 19 touchdowns and 8 interceptions, and ran 48 times for 209 yards and 1 touchdown.

He was on the field for 93 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Michael Penix Jr. played 9 games for ATL and scored 123.3 PPR points, 13.7 a game, finishing QB33.

He completed 166 of 276 passes for 1982 yards, 9 touchdowns and 3 interceptions, and ran 21 times for 70 yards and 1 touchdown.

He was on the field for 93 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 10 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 10, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Michael Penix Jr. for C.J. Stroud?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. C.J. Stroud projects 134 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (16.8 a game over 8 games), Michael Penix Jr. 103 (14.7 a game over 7 games). For Week 10 the call starts C.J. Stroud over Michael Penix Jr.

  • Should I drop C.J. Stroud for Michael Penix Jr.?

    No. Keep C.J. Stroud: he projects 134 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (16.8 a game over 8 games), Michael Penix Jr. 103 (14.7 a game over 7 games). For Week 10 the call starts C.J. Stroud over Michael Penix Jr.

Week 10 on the board

Elsewhere on the board