Start Aaron Rodgers or Patrick Mahomes? Week 10
Updated Nov 10, 11:41 AM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 11 answer posts Tuesday.
Latest
- : Patrick Mahomes: Listed Questionable (Elbow) (Sleeper injury feed)
Start Patrick Mahomes over Aaron Rodgers
- Market projects
- 18.0
- recent weeks avg
- ATL D vs QB
- 15.9
- 11th fewest to QBs (2026)
- Snap share
- 99%
- Through Week 9
- Market projects
- 16.5
- fantasy pts
- CIN D vs QB
- 18.4
- 14th most to QBs (2026)
- Snap share
- 98%
- Through Week 8
Should I drop Aaron Rodgers for Patrick Mahomes?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Patrick Mahomes projects 139 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (17.4 a game over 8 games), Aaron Rodgers 115 (14.4 a game over 8 games). For Week 10 the call starts Patrick Mahomes over Aaron Rodgers. Patrick Mahomes is listed questionable.
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Our Week 10 call
Start Patrick Mahomes over Aaron Rodgers in Week 10.
Market-based projections have Patrick Mahomes at 18.0 points and Aaron Rodgers at 16.5, a gap of 1.5. Aaron Rodgers's number is scaled up from a partial market: not every stat the position needs is posted yet, so the rest is estimated from what is. No player market is posted for Patrick Mahomes this week yet, so his 18.0 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 7, 8 and 9 (16.3, 16.0 and 21.9); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. Drafters take Patrick Mahomes at ADP 107 and Aaron Rodgers at 231.
What the market projects
No Week 10 player market is posted for Patrick Mahomes yet. His market-based projections were 16.3, 16.0 and 21.9 points in Weeks 7, 8 and 9, an average of 18.0, which stands in until his Week 10 market posts.
Player markets imply 16.5 fantasy points for Aaron Rodgers, with 80 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.
The market-based projection for Aaron Rodgers is 238 passing yards, 1-2 passing touchdowns and 0.1 rushing touchdowns (10, 11 and 11 market sources).
That puts Patrick Mahomes 1.5 points ahead of Aaron Rodgers on these projections.
Week 10 matchups
Patrick Mahomes and KC visit ATL on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.
ATL allowed 16.0 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 8 games, the 11th fewest in the league.
Quarterbacks threw for 238 yards and 1.4 touchdowns a game against ATL, with 0.4 interceptions a game.
Aaron Rodgers and PIT visit CIN on Sunday at 8:20 PM ET.
CIN allowed 18.4 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 7 games, the 14th most in the league.
Quarterbacks threw for 261 yards and 1.1 touchdowns a game against CIN, with 0.6 interceptions a game.
By points allowed to the position, Aaron Rodgers has the softer matchup.
Injury status
Patrick Mahomes is listed as questionable with a elbow injury.
Aaron Rodgers is not on the injury report.
Usage before Week 10
Through Week 9, Patrick Mahomes played 99 percent of KC snaps, dropped back 289 times and threw an average of 5.6 air yards per attempt.
Patrick Mahomes, Week 6 against LAC: 61 of 61 snaps, 23 of 30 passes for 272 yards, 0 touchdowns and 1 interception, 3 carries for 19 yards.
Patrick Mahomes, Week 7 against SEA: 53 of 53 snaps, 19 of 33 passes for 165 yards, 0 touchdowns and 1 interception, 2 carries for 14 yards.
Patrick Mahomes, Week 8 against DEN: 69 of 69 snaps, 30 of 41 passes for 321 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 6 yards.
Patrick Mahomes, Week 9 against NYJ: 62 of 66 snaps, 23 of 31 passes for 242 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 8 yards.
Through Week 8, Aaron Rodgers played 98 percent of PIT snaps, dropped back 311 times and threw an average of 7.5 air yards per attempt.
Aaron Rodgers, Week 5 against IND: 58 of 60 snaps, 22 of 31 passes for 235 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 1 carry for 6 yards.
Aaron Rodgers, Week 6 against TB: 79 of 79 snaps, 33 of 47 passes for 253 yards, 2 touchdowns and 1 interception.
Aaron Rodgers, Week 7 against NO: 64 of 64 snaps, 19 of 30 passes for 212 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 1 carry for 8 yards.
Aaron Rodgers, Week 8 against CLE: 56 of 59 snaps, 13 of 24 passes for 172 yards, 0 touchdowns and 1 interception.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, Patrick Mahomes played 14 games for KC and scored 296.7 PPR points, 21.2 a game, finishing QB11.
He completed 315 of 502 passes for 3587 yards, 22 touchdowns and 11 interceptions, and ran 64 times for 422 yards and 5 touchdowns.
He was on the field for 97 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
In 2025, Aaron Rodgers played 16 games for PIT and scored 234.1 PPR points, 14.6 a game, finishing QB18.
He completed 327 of 498 passes for 3322 yards, 24 touchdowns and 7 interceptions, and ran 21 times for 61 yards and 1 touchdown.
He was on the field for 95 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Their other Week 10 calls
Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 10, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.
Drop or keep
Should I drop Aaron Rodgers for Patrick Mahomes?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Patrick Mahomes projects 139 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (17.4 a game over 8 games), Aaron Rodgers 115 (14.4 a game over 8 games). For Week 10 the call starts Patrick Mahomes over Aaron Rodgers. Patrick Mahomes is listed questionable.
Should I drop Patrick Mahomes for Aaron Rodgers?
No. Keep Patrick Mahomes: he projects 139 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (17.4 a game over 8 games), Aaron Rodgers 115 (14.4 a game over 8 games). For Week 10 the call starts Patrick Mahomes over Aaron Rodgers. Patrick Mahomes is listed questionable.
Week 10 on the board
- Is Aaron Rodgers playing Week 10?
- Is Patrick Mahomes playing Week 10?
- Steelers depth chart
- Chiefs depth chart
- Week 10 QB rankings
- Week 10 fantasy rankings
- Week 10 start or sit
- Week 10 waiver wire
- Week 10 trade value chart
- Trade deadline buy low, sell high
- Fantasy football rankings
- Start 'em sit 'em Week 10
- Waiver wire pickups
- Fantasy sleepers
- Rest of season rankings
- Week 10 kicker rankings
- Week 10 defense rankings