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Start Brock Purdy or Patrick Mahomes? Week 10

Updated Nov 10, 11:41 AM ET.

Latest

  • : Patrick Mahomes: Listed Questionable (Elbow) (Sleeper injury feed)
Start

QB · SF · at DAL

Market projects
19.1
fantasy pts
DAL D vs QB
20.5
6th most to QBs (2026)
Upside
High
100 of 100 at QB
Snap share
97%
Through Week 9
Sit

QB · KC · at ATL · Questionable

Market projects
18.0
recent weeks avg
ATL D vs QB
15.9
11th fewest to QBs (2026)
Upside
Moderate
47 of 100 at QB
Snap share
99%
Through Week 9

Should I drop Patrick Mahomes for Brock Purdy?

Not on these numbers alone. Patrick Mahomes projects 139 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (17.4 a game over 8 games) and Brock Purdy 143 (17.9 a game over 8 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 10 the call starts Brock Purdy over Patrick Mahomes. Patrick Mahomes is listed questionable.

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Our Week 10 call

Start Brock Purdy over Patrick Mahomes in Week 10.

Market-based projections have Brock Purdy at 19.1 points and Patrick Mahomes at 18.0, a gap of 1.1. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. No player market is posted for Patrick Mahomes this week yet, so his 18.0 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 7, 8 and 9 (16.3, 16.0 and 21.9); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. Drafters take Brock Purdy at ADP 86 and Patrick Mahomes at 107.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 19.1 fantasy points for Brock Purdy, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Brock Purdy is 256 passing yards, 1-2 passing touchdowns, 18 rushing yards and 0.3 rushing touchdowns (8, 9, 8 and 7 market sources).

No Week 10 player market is posted for Patrick Mahomes yet. His market-based projections were 16.3, 16.0 and 21.9 points in Weeks 7, 8 and 9, an average of 18.0, which stands in until his Week 10 market posts.

That puts Brock Purdy 1.1 points ahead of Patrick Mahomes on these projections.

Week 10 matchups

Brock Purdy and SF visit DAL on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET.

DAL allowed 20.5 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 8 games, the 6th most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 244 yards and 1.9 touchdowns a game against DAL, with 0.4 interceptions a game.

Patrick Mahomes and KC visit ATL on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

ATL allowed 16.0 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 8 games, the 11th fewest in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 238 yards and 1.4 touchdowns a game against ATL, with 0.4 interceptions a game.

By points allowed to the position, Brock Purdy has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Brock Purdy is not on the injury report.

Patrick Mahomes is listed as questionable with a elbow injury.

Usage before Week 10

Through Week 9, Brock Purdy played 97 percent of SF snaps, dropped back 261 times and threw an average of 8.1 air yards per attempt.

Brock Purdy, Week 5 against SEA: 60 of 60 snaps, 19 of 29 passes for 189 yards, 2 touchdowns and 1 interception, 3 carries for 8 yards.

Brock Purdy, Week 6 against WAS: 62 of 62 snaps, 21 of 29 passes for 264 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 5 carries for 28 yards.

Brock Purdy, Week 7 against ATL: 66 of 66 snaps, 27 of 39 passes for 288 yards, 1 touchdown and 2 interceptions, 2 carries for 5 yards.

Brock Purdy, Week 9 against LV: 67 of 73 snaps, 17 of 25 passes for 232 yards, 2 touchdowns and 1 interception, 7 carries for 40 yards.

Through Week 9, Patrick Mahomes played 99 percent of KC snaps, dropped back 289 times and threw an average of 5.6 air yards per attempt.

Patrick Mahomes, Week 6 against LAC: 61 of 61 snaps, 23 of 30 passes for 272 yards, 0 touchdowns and 1 interception, 3 carries for 19 yards.

Patrick Mahomes, Week 7 against SEA: 53 of 53 snaps, 19 of 33 passes for 165 yards, 0 touchdowns and 1 interception, 2 carries for 14 yards.

Patrick Mahomes, Week 8 against DEN: 69 of 69 snaps, 30 of 41 passes for 321 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 6 yards.

Patrick Mahomes, Week 9 against NYJ: 62 of 66 snaps, 23 of 31 passes for 242 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 8 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Brock Purdy played 9 games for SF and scored 187.4 PPR points, 20.8 a game, finishing QB24.

He completed 197 of 284 passes for 2167 yards, 20 touchdowns and 10 interceptions, and ran 33 times for 147 yards and 3 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 98 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Patrick Mahomes played 14 games for KC and scored 296.7 PPR points, 21.2 a game, finishing QB11.

He completed 315 of 502 passes for 3587 yards, 22 touchdowns and 11 interceptions, and ran 64 times for 422 yards and 5 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 97 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 10 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 10, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Patrick Mahomes for Brock Purdy?

    Not on these numbers alone. Patrick Mahomes projects 139 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (17.4 a game over 8 games) and Brock Purdy 143 (17.9 a game over 8 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 10 the call starts Brock Purdy over Patrick Mahomes. Patrick Mahomes is listed questionable.

  • Should I drop Brock Purdy for Patrick Mahomes?

    Not on these numbers alone. Brock Purdy projects 143 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (17.9 a game over 8 games) and Patrick Mahomes 139 (17.4 a game over 8 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 10 the call starts Brock Purdy over Patrick Mahomes. Patrick Mahomes is listed questionable.

Week 10 on the board

Elsewhere on the board