Start C.J. Stroud or Patrick Mahomes? Week 10
Updated Nov 10, 1:11 PM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 11 answer posts Tuesday.
Latest
- : Patrick Mahomes: Listed Questionable (Elbow) (Sleeper injury feed)
Start Patrick Mahomes over C.J. Stroud
- Market projects
- 18.0
- recent weeks avg
- ATL D vs QB
- 15.9
- 11th fewest to QBs (2026)
- Snap share
- 99%
- Through Week 9
- Market projects
- 17.4
- recent weeks avg
- CLE D vs QB
- 14.8
- 8th fewest to QBs (2026)
- Snap share
- 98%
- Through Week 9
Should I drop C.J. Stroud for Patrick Mahomes?
Not on these numbers alone. C.J. Stroud projects 134 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (16.8 a game over 8 games) and Patrick Mahomes 139 (17.4 a game over 8 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 10 the call starts Patrick Mahomes over C.J. Stroud. Patrick Mahomes is listed questionable.
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Our Week 10 call
Start Patrick Mahomes over C.J. Stroud in Week 10.
Market-based projections have Patrick Mahomes at 18.0 points and C.J. Stroud at 17.4, a gap of 0.7. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. No player market is posted for Patrick Mahomes this week yet, so his 18.0 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 7, 8 and 9 (16.3, 16.0 and 21.9); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for C.J. Stroud this week yet, so his 17.4 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 7 and 9 (17.8 and 16.9); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. Drafters take Patrick Mahomes at ADP 107 and C.J. Stroud at 185.
What the market projects
No Week 10 player market is posted for Patrick Mahomes yet. His market-based projections were 16.3, 16.0 and 21.9 points in Weeks 7, 8 and 9, an average of 18.0, which stands in until his Week 10 market posts.
No Week 10 player market is posted for C.J. Stroud yet. His market-based projections were 17.8 and 16.9 points in Weeks 7 and 9, an average of 17.4, which stands in until his Week 10 market posts.
That puts Patrick Mahomes 0.7 points ahead of C.J. Stroud on these projections.
Week 10 matchups
Patrick Mahomes and KC visit ATL on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.
ATL allowed 16.0 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 8 games, the 11th fewest in the league.
Quarterbacks threw for 238 yards and 1.4 touchdowns a game against ATL, with 0.4 interceptions a game.
C.J. Stroud and HOU visit CLE on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.
CLE allowed 14.8 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 9 games, the 8th fewest in the league.
Quarterbacks threw for 220 yards and 1.3 touchdowns a game against CLE, with 0.7 interceptions a game.
By points allowed to the position, Patrick Mahomes has the softer matchup.
Injury status
Patrick Mahomes is listed as questionable with a elbow injury.
C.J. Stroud is not on the injury report.
Usage before Week 10
Through Week 9, Patrick Mahomes played 99 percent of KC snaps, dropped back 289 times and threw an average of 5.6 air yards per attempt.
Patrick Mahomes, Week 6 against LAC: 61 of 61 snaps, 23 of 30 passes for 272 yards, 0 touchdowns and 1 interception, 3 carries for 19 yards.
Patrick Mahomes, Week 7 against SEA: 53 of 53 snaps, 19 of 33 passes for 165 yards, 0 touchdowns and 1 interception, 2 carries for 14 yards.
Patrick Mahomes, Week 8 against DEN: 69 of 69 snaps, 30 of 41 passes for 321 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 6 yards.
Patrick Mahomes, Week 9 against NYJ: 62 of 66 snaps, 23 of 31 passes for 242 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 8 yards.
Through Week 9, C.J. Stroud played 98 percent of HOU snaps, dropped back 304 times and threw an average of 9.7 air yards per attempt.
C.J. Stroud, Week 5 against TEN: 66 of 66 snaps, 26 of 34 passes for 261 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 4 carries for 7 yards.
C.J. Stroud, Week 6 against JAX: 63 of 63 snaps, 24 of 34 passes for 312 yards, 3 touchdowns and 1 interception, 1 carry for 5 yards.
C.J. Stroud, Week 7 against NYG: 61 of 61 snaps, 17 of 28 passes for 153 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 4 yards.
C.J. Stroud, Week 9 against LAC: 62 of 70 snaps, 21 of 35 passes for 384 yards, 5 touchdowns and 1 interception, 2 carries for 20 yards.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, Patrick Mahomes played 14 games for KC and scored 296.7 PPR points, 21.2 a game, finishing QB11.
He completed 315 of 502 passes for 3587 yards, 22 touchdowns and 11 interceptions, and ran 64 times for 422 yards and 5 touchdowns.
He was on the field for 97 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
In 2025, C.J. Stroud played 14 games for HOU and scored 216.5 PPR points, 15.5 a game, finishing QB21.
He completed 273 of 423 passes for 3041 yards, 19 touchdowns and 8 interceptions, and ran 48 times for 209 yards and 1 touchdown.
He was on the field for 93 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Their other Week 10 calls
Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 10, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.
Drop or keep
Should I drop C.J. Stroud for Patrick Mahomes?
Not on these numbers alone. C.J. Stroud projects 134 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (16.8 a game over 8 games) and Patrick Mahomes 139 (17.4 a game over 8 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 10 the call starts Patrick Mahomes over C.J. Stroud. Patrick Mahomes is listed questionable.
Should I drop Patrick Mahomes for C.J. Stroud?
Not on these numbers alone. Patrick Mahomes projects 139 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (17.4 a game over 8 games) and C.J. Stroud 134 (16.8 a game over 8 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 10 the call starts Patrick Mahomes over C.J. Stroud. Patrick Mahomes is listed questionable.
Week 10 on the board
- Is C.J. Stroud playing Week 10?
- Is Patrick Mahomes playing Week 10?
- Texans depth chart
- Chiefs depth chart
- Week 10 QB rankings
- Week 10 fantasy rankings
- Week 10 start or sit
- Week 10 waiver wire
- Week 10 trade value chart
- Trade deadline buy low, sell high
- Fantasy football rankings
- Start 'em sit 'em Week 10
- Waiver wire pickups
- Fantasy sleepers
- Rest of season rankings
- Week 10 kicker rankings
- Week 10 defense rankings