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Start Sam Darnold or Deshaun Watson? Week 10

Updated Nov 11, 8:56 PM ET.

Latest

  • : Deshaun Watson: Questionable to Out (Concussion) (Sleeper injury feed)
  • : Seahawks' Quenton Nelson, Sam Darnold among starters ruled out (ESPN)

Start Deshaun Watson over Sam Darnold

Sam Darnold is listed out, so Deshaun Watson starts despite the lower projection.

Start

Deshaun Watson

QB · CLE · vs HOU

Market projects
13.0
fantasy pts
HOU D vs QB
18.5
12th most to QBs (2026)
Upside
High
87 of 100 at QB
Snap share
99%
Through Week 8
Sit

Sam Darnold

QB · SEA · at LV · Out

Market projects
15.4
recent weeks avg
LV D vs QB
20.6
5th most to QBs (2026)
Snap share
90%
Through Week 8

Should I drop Deshaun Watson for Sam Darnold?

Not on these numbers alone. Deshaun Watson projects 105 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (15.0 a game over 7 games) and Sam Darnold 106 (15.1 a game over 7 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 10 the call starts Deshaun Watson over Sam Darnold. Sam Darnold is listed out.

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Our Week 10 call

Start Deshaun Watson over Sam Darnold in Week 10.

Sam Darnold is listed out on the injury report, so this is not a close call: start Deshaun Watson.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 13.0 fantasy points for Deshaun Watson, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Deshaun Watson is 210 passing yards, 0-1 passing touchdowns, 28 rushing yards and 0.2 rushing touchdowns (13, 14, 13 and 13 market sources).

No Week 10 player market is posted for Sam Darnold yet. His market-based projections were 15.1 and 15.8 points in Weeks 7 and 8, an average of 15.4, which stands in until his Week 10 market posts.

That puts Sam Darnold 2.4 points ahead of Deshaun Watson on these projections.

Week 10 matchups

Deshaun Watson and CLE host HOU on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

HOU allowed 18.5 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 7 games, the 12th most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 263 yards and 1.4 touchdowns a game against HOU, with 0.4 interceptions a game.

Sam Darnold and SEA visit LV on Sunday at 4:05 PM ET.

LV allowed 20.6 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 8 games, the 5th most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 251 yards and 2.3 touchdowns a game against LV, with 0.8 interceptions a game.

By points allowed to the position, Sam Darnold has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Deshaun Watson is not on the injury report.

Sam Darnold is listed as out with a quadriceps injury.

Usage before Week 10

Through Week 8, Deshaun Watson played 99 percent of CLE snaps, dropped back 306 times and threw an average of 7.2 air yards per attempt.

Deshaun Watson, Week 5 against NYJ: 68 of 68 snaps, 15 of 33 passes for 155 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 6 carries for 40 yards.

Deshaun Watson, Week 6 against BAL: 62 of 62 snaps, 16 of 26 passes for 164 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 8 carries for 29 yards.

Deshaun Watson, Week 7 against TEN: 70 of 70 snaps, 25 of 36 passes for 308 yards, 0 touchdowns and 1 interception, 3 carries for 19 yards.

Deshaun Watson, Week 8 against PIT: 66 of 70 snaps, 27 of 39 passes for 324 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 3 yards.

Through Week 8, Sam Darnold played 90 percent of SEA snaps, dropped back 235 times and threw an average of 6.9 air yards per attempt.

Sam Darnold, Week 5 against SF: 63 of 63 snaps, 18 of 29 passes for 195 yards, 1 touchdown and 2 interceptions, 1 carry for 5 yards.

Sam Darnold, Week 6 against DEN: 85 of 85 snaps, 27 of 49 passes for 278 yards, 0 touchdowns and 2 interceptions, 2 carries for 19 yards.

Sam Darnold, Week 7 against KC: 69 of 69 snaps, 20 of 28 passes for 257 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 2 carries for 17 yards.

Sam Darnold, Week 8 against CHI: 63 of 63 snaps, 17 of 34 passes for 188 yards, 2 touchdowns and 1 interception, 2 carries for 20 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Sam Darnold played 17 games for SEA and scored 249.4 PPR points, 14.7 a game, finishing QB13.

He completed 323 of 477 passes for 4048 yards, 25 touchdowns and 14 interceptions, and ran 35 times for 95 yards and 0 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 96 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 10 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 10, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Deshaun Watson for Sam Darnold?

    Not on these numbers alone. Deshaun Watson projects 105 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (15.0 a game over 7 games) and Sam Darnold 106 (15.1 a game over 7 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 10 the call starts Deshaun Watson over Sam Darnold. Sam Darnold is listed out.

  • Should I drop Sam Darnold for Deshaun Watson?

    Not on these numbers alone. Sam Darnold projects 106 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (15.1 a game over 7 games) and Deshaun Watson 105 (15.0 a game over 7 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 10 the call starts Deshaun Watson over Sam Darnold. Sam Darnold is listed out.

Week 10 on the board

Elsewhere on the board