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Start Trevor Lawrence or Aaron Rodgers? Week 10

Updated Nov 10, 9:16 AM ET.

Start Trevor Lawrence over Aaron Rodgers

Start

Trevor Lawrence

QB · JAX · at TEN

Market projects
17.4
recent weeks avg
TEN D vs QB
19.4
9th most to QBs (2026)
Upside
Moderate
63 of 100 at QB
Snap share
96%
Through Week 9
Sit

Aaron Rodgers

QB · PIT · at CIN

Market projects
16.5
fantasy pts
CIN D vs QB
18.4
14th most to QBs (2026)
Upside
Moderate
43 of 100 at QB
Snap share
98%
Through Week 8

Should I drop Aaron Rodgers for Trevor Lawrence?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Trevor Lawrence projects 138 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (17.2 a game over 8 games), Aaron Rodgers 115 (14.4 a game over 8 games). For Week 10 the call starts Trevor Lawrence over Aaron Rodgers.

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Our Week 10 call

Start Trevor Lawrence over Aaron Rodgers in Week 10.

Market-based projections have Trevor Lawrence at 17.4 points and Aaron Rodgers at 16.5, a gap of 0.9. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Aaron Rodgers's number is scaled up from a partial market: not every stat the position needs is posted yet, so the rest is estimated from what is. No player market is posted for Trevor Lawrence this week yet, so his 17.4 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 8 and 9 (17.5 and 17.2); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. Drafters take Trevor Lawrence at ADP 97 and Aaron Rodgers at 231.

What the market projects

No Week 10 player market is posted for Trevor Lawrence yet. His market-based projections were 17.5 and 17.2 points in Weeks 8 and 9, an average of 17.4, which stands in until his Week 10 market posts.

Player markets imply 16.5 fantasy points for Aaron Rodgers, with 80 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Aaron Rodgers is 238 passing yards, 1-2 passing touchdowns and 0.1 rushing touchdowns (10, 11 and 11 market sources).

That puts Trevor Lawrence 0.9 points ahead of Aaron Rodgers on these projections.

Week 10 matchups

Trevor Lawrence and JAX visit TEN on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

TEN allowed 19.4 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 8 games, the 9th most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 273 yards and 1.4 touchdowns a game against TEN, with an interception a game.

Aaron Rodgers and PIT visit CIN on Sunday at 8:20 PM ET.

CIN allowed 18.4 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 7 games, the 14th most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 261 yards and 1.1 touchdowns a game against CIN, with 0.6 interceptions a game.

By points allowed to the position, Trevor Lawrence has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Trevor Lawrence is not on the injury report.

Aaron Rodgers is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 10

Through Week 9, Trevor Lawrence played 96 percent of JAX snaps, dropped back 245 times and threw an average of 8.2 air yards per attempt.

Trevor Lawrence, Week 5 against PHI: 72 of 72 snaps, 24 of 39 passes for 331 yards, 2 touchdowns and 1 interception, 3 carries for 25 yards.

Trevor Lawrence, Week 6 against HOU: 71 of 71 snaps, 24 of 41 passes for 306 yards, 4 touchdowns and 1 interception, 2 carries for 12 yards.

Trevor Lawrence, Week 8 against IND: 44 of 54 snaps, 10 of 14 passes for 210 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 3 carries for 10 yards.

Trevor Lawrence, Week 9 against BAL: 56 of 56 snaps, 16 of 26 passes for 242 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions.

Through Week 8, Aaron Rodgers played 98 percent of PIT snaps, dropped back 311 times and threw an average of 7.5 air yards per attempt.

Aaron Rodgers, Week 5 against IND: 58 of 60 snaps, 22 of 31 passes for 235 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 1 carry for 6 yards.

Aaron Rodgers, Week 6 against TB: 79 of 79 snaps, 33 of 47 passes for 253 yards, 2 touchdowns and 1 interception.

Aaron Rodgers, Week 7 against NO: 64 of 64 snaps, 19 of 30 passes for 212 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 1 carry for 8 yards.

Aaron Rodgers, Week 8 against CLE: 56 of 59 snaps, 13 of 24 passes for 172 yards, 0 touchdowns and 1 interception.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Trevor Lawrence played 17 games for JAX and scored 350.2 PPR points, 20.6 a game, finishing QB4.

He completed 341 of 560 passes for 4007 yards, 29 touchdowns and 12 interceptions, and ran 82 times for 359 yards and 9 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 98 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Aaron Rodgers played 16 games for PIT and scored 234.1 PPR points, 14.6 a game, finishing QB18.

He completed 327 of 498 passes for 3322 yards, 24 touchdowns and 7 interceptions, and ran 21 times for 61 yards and 1 touchdown.

He was on the field for 95 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 10 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 10, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Aaron Rodgers for Trevor Lawrence?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Trevor Lawrence projects 138 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (17.2 a game over 8 games), Aaron Rodgers 115 (14.4 a game over 8 games). For Week 10 the call starts Trevor Lawrence over Aaron Rodgers.

  • Should I drop Trevor Lawrence for Aaron Rodgers?

    No. Keep Trevor Lawrence: he projects 138 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (17.2 a game over 8 games), Aaron Rodgers 115 (14.4 a game over 8 games). For Week 10 the call starts Trevor Lawrence over Aaron Rodgers.

Week 10 on the board

Elsewhere on the board