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Start Trevor Lawrence or C.J. Stroud? Week 10

Updated Nov 10, 1:11 PM ET.

Start Trevor Lawrence over C.J. Stroud

Start

Trevor Lawrence

QB · JAX · at TEN

Market projects
17.4
recent weeks avg
TEN D vs QB
19.4
9th most to QBs (2026)
Upside
Moderate
63 of 100 at QB
Snap share
96%
Through Week 9
Sit

C.J. Stroud

QB · HOU · at CLE

Market projects
17.4
recent weeks avg
CLE D vs QB
14.8
8th fewest to QBs (2026)
Upside
Moderate
53 of 100 at QB
Snap share
98%
Through Week 9

Should I drop C.J. Stroud for Trevor Lawrence?

Not on these numbers alone. C.J. Stroud projects 134 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (16.8 a game over 8 games) and Trevor Lawrence 138 (17.2 a game over 8 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 10 the call starts Trevor Lawrence over C.J. Stroud.

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Our Week 10 call

Start Trevor Lawrence over C.J. Stroud in Week 10.

Market-based projections have Trevor Lawrence at 17.4 points and C.J. Stroud at 17.4, a gap of 0.0. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. No player market is posted for Trevor Lawrence this week yet, so his 17.4 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 8 and 9 (17.5 and 17.2); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for C.J. Stroud this week yet, so his 17.4 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 7 and 9 (17.8 and 16.9); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. Drafters take Trevor Lawrence at ADP 97 and C.J. Stroud at 185.

What the market projects

No Week 10 player market is posted for Trevor Lawrence yet. His market-based projections were 17.5 and 17.2 points in Weeks 8 and 9, an average of 17.4, which stands in until his Week 10 market posts.

No Week 10 player market is posted for C.J. Stroud yet. His market-based projections were 17.8 and 16.9 points in Weeks 7 and 9, an average of 17.4, which stands in until his Week 10 market posts.

That puts Trevor Lawrence 0.0 points ahead of C.J. Stroud on these projections.

Week 10 matchups

Trevor Lawrence and JAX visit TEN on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

TEN allowed 19.4 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 8 games, the 9th most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 273 yards and 1.4 touchdowns a game against TEN, with an interception a game.

C.J. Stroud and HOU visit CLE on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

CLE allowed 14.8 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 9 games, the 8th fewest in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 220 yards and 1.3 touchdowns a game against CLE, with 0.7 interceptions a game.

By points allowed to the position, Trevor Lawrence has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Trevor Lawrence is not on the injury report.

C.J. Stroud is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 10

Through Week 9, Trevor Lawrence played 96 percent of JAX snaps, dropped back 245 times and threw an average of 8.2 air yards per attempt.

Trevor Lawrence, Week 5 against PHI: 72 of 72 snaps, 24 of 39 passes for 331 yards, 2 touchdowns and 1 interception, 3 carries for 25 yards.

Trevor Lawrence, Week 6 against HOU: 71 of 71 snaps, 24 of 41 passes for 306 yards, 4 touchdowns and 1 interception, 2 carries for 12 yards.

Trevor Lawrence, Week 8 against IND: 44 of 54 snaps, 10 of 14 passes for 210 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 3 carries for 10 yards.

Trevor Lawrence, Week 9 against BAL: 56 of 56 snaps, 16 of 26 passes for 242 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions.

Through Week 9, C.J. Stroud played 98 percent of HOU snaps, dropped back 304 times and threw an average of 9.7 air yards per attempt.

C.J. Stroud, Week 5 against TEN: 66 of 66 snaps, 26 of 34 passes for 261 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 4 carries for 7 yards.

C.J. Stroud, Week 6 against JAX: 63 of 63 snaps, 24 of 34 passes for 312 yards, 3 touchdowns and 1 interception, 1 carry for 5 yards.

C.J. Stroud, Week 7 against NYG: 61 of 61 snaps, 17 of 28 passes for 153 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 4 yards.

C.J. Stroud, Week 9 against LAC: 62 of 70 snaps, 21 of 35 passes for 384 yards, 5 touchdowns and 1 interception, 2 carries for 20 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Trevor Lawrence played 17 games for JAX and scored 350.2 PPR points, 20.6 a game, finishing QB4.

He completed 341 of 560 passes for 4007 yards, 29 touchdowns and 12 interceptions, and ran 82 times for 359 yards and 9 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 98 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, C.J. Stroud played 14 games for HOU and scored 216.5 PPR points, 15.5 a game, finishing QB21.

He completed 273 of 423 passes for 3041 yards, 19 touchdowns and 8 interceptions, and ran 48 times for 209 yards and 1 touchdown.

He was on the field for 93 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 10 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 10, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop C.J. Stroud for Trevor Lawrence?

    Not on these numbers alone. C.J. Stroud projects 134 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (16.8 a game over 8 games) and Trevor Lawrence 138 (17.2 a game over 8 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 10 the call starts Trevor Lawrence over C.J. Stroud.

  • Should I drop Trevor Lawrence for C.J. Stroud?

    Not on these numbers alone. Trevor Lawrence projects 138 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (17.2 a game over 8 games) and C.J. Stroud 134 (16.8 a game over 8 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 10 the call starts Trevor Lawrence over C.J. Stroud.

Week 10 on the board

Elsewhere on the board