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Start Deebo Samuel Sr. or Caleb Douglas? Week 10

Updated Nov 11, 6:26 PM ET.

Latest

  • : Deebo Samuel Sr.: Questionable to Out (Hamstring) (Sleeper injury feed)

Start Deebo Samuel Sr. over Caleb Douglas

Start

Deebo Samuel Sr.

WR · SF · at DAL · Questionable

Market projects
9.9
fantasy pts
DAL D vs WR
35.6
7th most to WRs (2026)
Upside
Moderate
59 of 100 at WR
Sit

Caleb Douglas

WR · MIA · at IND

Market projects
9.2
fantasy pts
IND D vs WR
27.4
7th fewest to WRs (2026)
Upside
Rising
78 of 100 at WR
Snap share
81%
Through Week 9
Target share
22%
Through Week 9

Should I drop Deebo Samuel Sr. for Caleb Douglas?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Caleb Douglas projects 74 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (9.3 a game over 8 games), Deebo Samuel Sr. 31 (3.9 a game over 8 games). For Week 10 the call starts Deebo Samuel Sr. over Caleb Douglas, 9.9 to 9.2 projected PPR points. So make the move after his Week 10 game. Deebo Samuel Sr. is listed questionable.

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Our Week 10 call

Start Deebo Samuel Sr. over Caleb Douglas in Week 10.

Market-based projections have Deebo Samuel Sr. at 9.9 points and Caleb Douglas at 9.2, a gap of 0.7. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Drafters take Deebo Samuel Sr. at ADP 118 and Caleb Douglas at 215.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 9.9 fantasy points for Deebo Samuel Sr., with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The market-based projection for Deebo Samuel Sr. is 39 receiving yards, 3-4 receptions and 0.4 touchdowns (4, 5 and 7 market sources).

Player markets imply 9.2 fantasy points for Caleb Douglas, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The market-based projection for Caleb Douglas is 42 receiving yards, 3-4 receptions and 0.3 touchdowns (6, 6 and 6 market sources).

That puts Deebo Samuel Sr. 0.7 points ahead of Caleb Douglas on the market projections.

Week 10 matchups

Deebo Samuel Sr. and SF visit DAL on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET.

DAL allowed 35.6 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 8 games, the 7th most in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 164 yards and a touchdown a game against DAL.

Caleb Douglas and MIA visit IND on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

IND allowed 27.4 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 8 games, the 7th fewest in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 130 yards and 0.8 touchdowns a game against IND.

By points allowed to the position, Deebo Samuel Sr. has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Deebo Samuel Sr. is listed as questionable with a hamstring injury.

Caleb Douglas is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 10

Through Week 9, Caleb Douglas played 81 percent of MIA snaps, drew 22 percent of the targets, earned 31 percent of the air yards and had 6 percent of the red zone chances.

Caleb Douglas, Week 2 against SF: 51 of 59 snaps, 3 targets and 2 catches for 19 yards.

Caleb Douglas, Week 7 against NYJ: 44 of 65 snaps, 3 targets and 2 catches for 70 yards, 2 touchdowns.

Caleb Douglas, Week 8 against NE: 56 of 65 snaps, 6 targets and 4 catches for 43 yards.

Caleb Douglas, Week 9 against DET: 42 of 57 snaps, 8 targets and 6 catches for 70 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Deebo Samuel Sr. played 16 games for WAS and scored 188.2 PPR points, 11.8 a game, finishing WR25.

He caught 72 of 99 targets for 727 yards and 5 touchdowns, with 11 red zone targets and 261 air yards.

He was on the field for 72 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Deebo Samuel Sr., Week 18 of 2025 against PHI: 2 carries for 1 yards, 5 targets and 2 catches for 20 yards, 4.1 PPR points.

Deebo Samuel Sr., Week 17 of 2025 against DAL: 36 of 44 snaps, 2 carries for 25 yards, 4 targets and 2 catches for 68 yards, 11.3 PPR points.

Deebo Samuel Sr., Week 16 of 2025 against PHI: 44 of 54 snaps, 4 targets and 3 catches for 35 yards, 6.5 PPR points.

Their other Week 10 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 10, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Deebo Samuel Sr. for Caleb Douglas?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Caleb Douglas projects 74 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (9.3 a game over 8 games), Deebo Samuel Sr. 31 (3.9 a game over 8 games). For Week 10 the call starts Deebo Samuel Sr. over Caleb Douglas, 9.9 to 9.2 projected PPR points. So make the move after his Week 10 game. Deebo Samuel Sr. is listed questionable.

  • Should I drop Caleb Douglas for Deebo Samuel Sr.?

    No. Keep Caleb Douglas: he projects 74 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (9.3 a game over 8 games), Deebo Samuel Sr. 31 (3.9 a game over 8 games). For Week 10 the call starts Deebo Samuel Sr. over Caleb Douglas, 9.9 to 9.2 projected PPR points. Deebo Samuel Sr. is listed questionable.

Should I drop Caleb Douglas?

Week 10 on the board

Elsewhere on the board