Start Ted Hurst III or Adonai Mitchell? Week 7

Updated Oct 24, 5:31 AM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 8 answer posts Tuesday.

Latest

Oct 21, 1:13 PM ET: Adonai Mitchell: Doubtful to Questionable (Finger, Surgery) (Sleeper injury feed)

Start Ted Hurst III over Adonai Mitchell

Start

Ted Hurst III

WR · TB · at CAR

Market projects: 8.0; fantasy pts
CAR D vs WR: 29.4; 8th fewest to WRs (2026)
Upside: Moderate; 54 of 100 at WR

Sit

Adonai Mitchell

WR · NYJ · vs MIA

Market projects: 6.5; fantasy pts
MIA D vs WR: 23.2; 3rd fewest to WRs (2026)
Upside: Rising; 80 of 100 at WR
Snap share: 76%; Through Week 2
Target share: 25%; Through Week 2

Should I drop Adonai Mitchell for Ted Hurst III?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Ted Hurst III projects 55 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (6.1 a game over 9 games), Adonai Mitchell 17 (1.9 a game over 9 games). For Week 7 the call starts Ted Hurst III over Adonai Mitchell, 8.0 to 6.5 projected PPR points.

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Our Week 7 call

Start Ted Hurst III over Adonai Mitchell in Week 7.

Market-based projections have Ted Hurst III at 8.0 points and Adonai Mitchell at 6.5, a gap of 1.5.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 8.0 fantasy points for Ted Hurst III, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The market-based projection for Ted Hurst III is 38 receiving yards, 2-3 receptions and 0.3 touchdowns (10, 10 and 13 market sources).

Player markets imply 6.5 fantasy points for Adonai Mitchell, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The market-based projection for Adonai Mitchell is 27 receiving yards, 2-3 receptions and 0.2 touchdowns (9, 8 and 12 market sources).

That puts Ted Hurst III 1.5 points ahead of Adonai Mitchell on the market projections.

Week 7 matchups

Ted Hurst III and TB visit CAR on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

CAR allowed 29.4 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 5 games, the 8th fewest in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 148 yards and 0.4 touchdowns a game against CAR.

Adonai Mitchell and NYJ host MIA on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

MIA allowed 23.2 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 5 games, the 3rd fewest in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 110 yards and 0.4 touchdowns a game against MIA.

By points allowed to the position, Ted Hurst III has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Ted Hurst III is not on the injury report.

Adonai Mitchell is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 7

Through Week 2, Adonai Mitchell played 76 percent of NYJ snaps, drew 25 percent of the targets, earned 56 percent of the air yards and had 7 percent of the red zone chances.

Adonai Mitchell, Week 1 against TEN: 46 of 67 snaps, 3 targets and 3 catches for 60 yards.

Adonai Mitchell, Week 2 against GB: 61 of 74 snaps, 12 targets and 6 catches for 63 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Adonai Mitchell played 16 games for NYJ and scored 87.9 PPR points, 5.5 a game, finishing WR73.

He caught 33 of 74 targets for 453 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 7 red zone targets and 373 air yards.

He was on the field for 50 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Adonai Mitchell, Week 18 of 2025 against BUF: 3 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Their other Week 7 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 7, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop Adonai Mitchell for Ted Hurst III?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Ted Hurst III projects 55 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (6.1 a game over 9 games), Adonai Mitchell 17 (1.9 a game over 9 games). For Week 7 the call starts Ted Hurst III over Adonai Mitchell, 8.0 to 6.5 projected PPR points.
Should I drop Ted Hurst III for Adonai Mitchell?
No. Keep Ted Hurst III: he projects 55 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (6.1 a game over 9 games), Adonai Mitchell 17 (1.9 a game over 9 games). For Week 7 the call starts Ted Hurst III over Adonai Mitchell, 8.0 to 6.5 projected PPR points.

Should I drop Adonai Mitchell?