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Start Juwan Johnson or AJ Barner? Week 10

Updated Nov 10, 1:36 PM ET.

Start

TE · NO · vs CAR

Market projects
7.6
recent weeks avg
CAR D vs TE
14.0
14th most to TEs (2026)
Upside
Rising
71 of 100 at TE
Snap share
65%
Through Week 9
Target share
13%
Through Week 9
Sit

TE · SEA · at LV

Market projects
7.3
recent weeks avg
LV D vs TE
18.2
4th most to TEs (2026)
Upside
High
94 of 100 at TE
Snap share
87%
Through Week 9
Target share
14%
Through Week 9

Should I drop AJ Barner for Juwan Johnson?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Juwan Johnson projects 73 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (9.1 a game over 8 games), AJ Barner 47 (6.7 a game over 7 games). For Week 10 the call starts Juwan Johnson over AJ Barner.

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Our Week 10 call

Start Juwan Johnson over AJ Barner in Week 10.

Market-based projections have Juwan Johnson at 7.6 points and AJ Barner at 7.3, a gap of 0.2. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. No player market is posted for Juwan Johnson this week yet, so his 7.6 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 7 and 9 (8.2 and 6.9); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for AJ Barner this week yet, so his 7.3 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 7, 8 and 9 (7.0, 8.2 and 6.8); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.

What the market projects

No Week 10 player market is posted for Juwan Johnson yet. His market-based projections were 8.2 and 6.9 points in Weeks 7 and 9, an average of 7.6, which stands in until his Week 10 market posts.

No Week 10 player market is posted for AJ Barner yet. His market-based projections were 7.0, 8.2 and 6.9 points in Weeks 7, 8 and 9, an average of 7.4, which stands in until his Week 10 market posts.

That puts Juwan Johnson 0.2 points ahead of AJ Barner on these projections.

Week 10 matchups

Juwan Johnson and NO host CAR on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

CAR allowed 14.0 fantasy points a game to TEs this season over 7 games, the 14th most in the league.

Tight ends caught passes for 47 yards and 0.7 touchdowns a game against CAR.

AJ Barner and SEA visit LV on Sunday at 4:05 PM ET.

LV allowed 18.2 fantasy points a game to TEs this season over 8 games, the 4th most in the league.

Tight ends caught passes for 56 yards and a touchdown a game against LV.

By points allowed to the position, AJ Barner has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Juwan Johnson is not on the injury report.

AJ Barner is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 10

Through Week 9, Juwan Johnson played 65 percent of NO snaps, drew 13 percent of the targets, earned 8 percent of the air yards and had 11 percent of the red zone chances.

Juwan Johnson, Week 5 against MIN: 29 of 45 snaps, 5 targets and 4 catches for 16 yards.

Juwan Johnson, Week 6 against NYG: 42 of 72 snaps, 2 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Juwan Johnson, Week 7 against PIT: 32 of 57 snaps, 3 targets and 1 catch for 7 yards.

Juwan Johnson, Week 9 against CLE: 40 of 75 snaps, 2 targets and 2 catches for 34 yards, 1 touchdown.

Through Week 9, AJ Barner played 87 percent of SEA snaps, drew 14 percent of the targets, earned 5 percent of the air yards and had 15 percent of the red zone chances.

AJ Barner, Week 6 against DEN: 79 of 85 snaps, 4 targets and 3 catches for 16 yards.

AJ Barner, Week 7 against KC: 55 of 69 snaps, 3 carries for 4 yards, 5 targets and 4 catches for 42 yards.

AJ Barner, Week 8 against CHI: 60 of 63 snaps, 5 targets and 2 catches for 23 yards.

AJ Barner, Week 9 against ARI: 48 of 67 snaps, 3 carries for 3 yards, 4 targets and 2 catches for 7 yards, 2 touchdowns.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Juwan Johnson played 17 games for NO and scored 179.9 PPR points, 10.6 a game, finishing TE8.

He caught 77 of 102 targets for 889 yards and 3 touchdowns, with 8 red zone targets and 527 air yards.

He was on the field for 76 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, AJ Barner played 17 games for SEA and scored 147.3 PPR points, 8.7 a game, finishing TE14.

He caught 52 of 68 targets for 519 yards and 6 touchdowns, with 12 red zone targets and 248 air yards.

He was on the field for 78 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 10 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 10, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop AJ Barner for Juwan Johnson?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Juwan Johnson projects 73 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (9.1 a game over 8 games), AJ Barner 47 (6.7 a game over 7 games). For Week 10 the call starts Juwan Johnson over AJ Barner.

  • Should I drop Juwan Johnson for AJ Barner?

    No. Keep Juwan Johnson: he projects 73 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (9.1 a game over 8 games), AJ Barner 47 (6.7 a game over 7 games). For Week 10 the call starts Juwan Johnson over AJ Barner.

Should I drop Juwan Johnson?

Week 10 on the board

Elsewhere on the board