Start A.J. Brown or Carnell Tate? Week 8

Updated Oct 27, 5:51 PM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 9 answer posts Tuesday.

Start A.J. Brown over Carnell Tate

Start

A.J. Brown

WR · NE · at MIA

Market projects: 13.2; fantasy pts
MIA D vs WR: 23.8; 3rd fewest to WRs (2026)
Upside: Rising; 70 of 100 at WR
Snap share: 68%; Through Week 7
Target share: 22%; Through Week 7

Sit

Carnell Tate

WR · TEN · at CIN

Market projects: 11.9; fantasy pts
CIN D vs WR: 31.4; 15th most to WRs (2026)
Upside: Moderate; 48 of 100 at WR
Snap share: 82%; Through Week 7
Target share: 26%; Through Week 7

Should I drop Carnell Tate for A.J. Brown?

Yes, on the rest of the season. A.J. Brown projects 119 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (13.2 a game over 9 games), Carnell Tate 100 (11.1 a game over 9 games). For Week 8 the call starts A.J. Brown over Carnell Tate, 13.2 to 11.9 projected PPR points.

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A.J. Brown rookie cards Carnell Tate rookie cards

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Our Week 8 call

Start A.J. Brown over Carnell Tate in Week 8.

Market-based projections have A.J. Brown at 13.2 points and Carnell Tate at 11.9, a gap of 1.3. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Drafters take A.J. Brown at ADP 17 and Carnell Tate at 81.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 13.2 fantasy points for A.J. Brown, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The market-based projection for A.J. Brown is 55 receiving yards, 4-5 receptions and 0-1 touchdowns (4, 3 and 8 market sources).

Player markets imply 11.9 fantasy points for Carnell Tate, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The market-based projection for Carnell Tate is 0.3 touchdowns (4 market sources).

That puts A.J. Brown 1.3 points ahead of Carnell Tate on the market projections.

Week 8 matchups

A.J. Brown and NE visit MIA on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET.

MIA allowed 23.8 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 6 games, the 3rd fewest in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 116 yards and 0-1 touchdowns a game against MIA.

Carnell Tate and TEN visit CIN on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

CIN allowed 31.4 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 6 games, the 15th most in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 138 yards and a touchdown a game against CIN.

By points allowed to the position, Carnell Tate has the softer matchup.

Injury status

A.J. Brown is not on the injury report.

Carnell Tate is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 8

Through Week 7, A.J. Brown played 68 percent of NE snaps, drew 22 percent of the targets, earned 35 percent of the air yards and had 15 percent of the red zone chances.

A.J. Brown, Week 1 against SEA: 31 of 71 snaps, 4 targets and 3 catches for 26 yards.

A.J. Brown, Week 6 against NYJ: 52 of 68 snaps, 10 targets and 3 catches for 27 yards.

A.J. Brown, Week 7 against CHI: 49 of 54 snaps, 6 targets and 3 catches for 48 yards.

Through Week 7, Carnell Tate played 82 percent of TEN snaps, drew 26 percent of the targets, earned 45 percent of the air yards and had 5 percent of the red zone chances.

Carnell Tate, Week 4 against BAL: 54 of 64 snaps, 12 targets and 9 catches for 145 yards.

Carnell Tate, Week 5 against HOU: 48 of 63 snaps, 5 targets and 1 catch for 6 yards.

Carnell Tate, Week 6 against IND: 34 of 46 snaps, 7 targets and 6 catches for 70 yards, 1 touchdown.

Carnell Tate, Week 7 against CLE: 56 of 63 snaps, 7 targets and 5 catches for 69 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, A.J. Brown played 15 games for PHI and scored 220.3 PPR points, 14.7 a game, finishing WR11.

He caught 78 of 121 targets for 1003 yards and 7 touchdowns, with 12 red zone targets and 735 air yards.

He was on the field for 91 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 8 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 8, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop Carnell Tate for A.J. Brown?
Yes, on the rest of the season. A.J. Brown projects 119 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (13.2 a game over 9 games), Carnell Tate 100 (11.1 a game over 9 games). For Week 8 the call starts A.J. Brown over Carnell Tate, 13.2 to 11.9 projected PPR points.
Should I drop A.J. Brown for Carnell Tate?
No. Keep A.J. Brown: he projects 119 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (13.2 a game over 9 games), Carnell Tate 100 (11.1 a game over 9 games). For Week 8 the call starts A.J. Brown over Carnell Tate, 13.2 to 11.9 projected PPR points.