Start A.J. Brown or Garrett Wilson? Week 9
Updated Nov 4, 9:36 AM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 10 answer posts Tuesday.
Latest
Start A.J. Brown over Garrett Wilson
Brown projects lower, 13.7 to 14.9, and still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player: ADP 18 for Brown, 26 for Wilson.
- Market projects
- 13.7
- recent weeks avg
- GB D vs WR
- 34.8
- 9th most to WRs (2026)
- Snap share
- 68%
- Through Week 7
- Target share
- 22%
- Through Week 7
- Market projects
- 14.9
- recent weeks avg
- KC D vs WR
- 24.9
- 2nd fewest to WRs (2026)
- Snap share
- 88%
- Through Week 8
- Target share
- 28%
- Through Week 8
Should I drop A.J. Brown for Garrett Wilson?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Garrett Wilson projects 118 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (14.7 a game over 8 games), A.J. Brown 63 (7.9 a game over 8 games). For Week 9 the call starts A.J. Brown over Garrett Wilson. So make the move after his Week 9 game. A.J. Brown is listed questionable.
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Our Week 9 call
Start A.J. Brown over Garrett Wilson in Week 9.
Market-based projections have A.J. Brown at 13.7 points and Garrett Wilson at 14.9, a gap of 1.2. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. A.J. Brown still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player, ADP 18 against 26, and that outweighs a gap this size. No player market is posted for A.J. Brown this week yet, so his 13.7 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 6 and 7 (11.8 and 15.5); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for Garrett Wilson this week yet, so his 14.9 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 6, 7 and 8 (15.8, 14.5 and 14.4); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.
What the market projects
No Week 9 player market is posted for Garrett Wilson yet. His market-based projections were 15.8, 14.5 and 14.4 points in Weeks 6, 7 and 8, an average of 14.9, which stands in until his Week 9 market posts.
The market-based projection for Garrett Wilson is 0.4 touchdowns (9 market sources).
No Week 9 player market is posted for A.J. Brown yet. His market-based projections were 11.8 and 15.5 points in Weeks 6 and 7, an average of 13.7, which stands in until his Week 9 market posts.
The market-based projection for A.J. Brown is 0-1 touchdowns (3 market sources).
That puts Garrett Wilson 1.2 points ahead of A.J. Brown on these projections.
Week 9 matchups
Garrett Wilson and NYJ visit KC on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.
KC allowed 24.9 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 7 games, the 2nd fewest in the league.
Receivers caught passes for 121 yards and 0.3 touchdowns a game against KC.
A.J. Brown and NE host GB on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET.
GB allowed 34.8 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 8 games, the 9th most in the league.
Receivers caught passes for 152 yards and 0.9 touchdowns a game against GB.
By points allowed to the position, A.J. Brown has the softer matchup.
Injury status
Garrett Wilson is not on the injury report.
A.J. Brown is listed as questionable with a ankle injury.
Usage before Week 9
Through Week 8, Garrett Wilson played 88 percent of NYJ snaps, drew 28 percent of the targets, earned 35 percent of the air yards and had 10 percent of the red zone chances.
Garrett Wilson, Week 5 against CLE: 65 of 70 snaps, 11 targets and 7 catches for 104 yards, 1 touchdown.
Garrett Wilson, Week 6 against NE: 61 of 62 snaps, 6 targets and 4 catches for 44 yards.
Garrett Wilson, Week 7 against MIA: 50 of 59 snaps, 3 targets and 2 catches for 26 yards.
Garrett Wilson, Week 8 against LV: 52 of 64 snaps, 12 targets and 6 catches for 83 yards.
Through Week 7, A.J. Brown played 68 percent of NE snaps, drew 22 percent of the targets, earned 35 percent of the air yards and had 15 percent of the red zone chances.
A.J. Brown, Week 1 against SEA: 31 of 71 snaps, 4 targets and 3 catches for 26 yards.
A.J. Brown, Week 6 against NYJ: 52 of 68 snaps, 10 targets and 3 catches for 27 yards.
A.J. Brown, Week 7 against CHI: 49 of 54 snaps, 6 targets and 3 catches for 48 yards.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, Garrett Wilson played 7 games for NYJ and scored 99.5 PPR points, 14.2 a game, finishing WR62.
He caught 36 of 59 targets for 395 yards and 4 touchdowns, with 2 red zone targets and 291 air yards.
He was on the field for 89 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
In 2025, A.J. Brown played 15 games for PHI and scored 220.3 PPR points, 14.7 a game, finishing WR11.
He caught 78 of 121 targets for 1003 yards and 7 touchdowns, with 12 red zone targets and 735 air yards.
He was on the field for 91 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Their other Week 9 calls
Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 9, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.
Drop or keep
Should I drop A.J. Brown for Garrett Wilson?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Garrett Wilson projects 118 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (14.7 a game over 8 games), A.J. Brown 63 (7.9 a game over 8 games). For Week 9 the call starts A.J. Brown over Garrett Wilson. So make the move after his Week 9 game. A.J. Brown is listed questionable.
Should I drop Garrett Wilson for A.J. Brown?
No. Keep Garrett Wilson: he projects 118 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (14.7 a game over 8 games), A.J. Brown 63 (7.9 a game over 8 games). For Week 9 the call starts A.J. Brown over Garrett Wilson. A.J. Brown is listed questionable.
Week 9 on the board
- Is A.J. Brown playing Week 9?
- Is Garrett Wilson playing Week 9?
- Patriots depth chart
- Jets depth chart
- Week 9 WR rankings
- Week 9 fantasy rankings
- Week 9 start or sit
- Week 9 waiver wire
- Week 9 trade value chart
- Trade deadline buy low, sell high
- Fantasy football rankings
- Start 'em sit 'em Week 9
- Waiver wire pickups
- Fantasy sleepers
- Rest of season rankings
- Week 9 kicker rankings
- Week 9 defense rankings