Should I drop Tetairoa McMillan for Christian Watson?

Not on these numbers alone. Tetairoa McMillan projects 152 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (13.8 a game over 11 games) and Christian Watson 147 (14.7 a game over 10 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 7 the call starts Tetairoa McMillan over Christian Watson.

Start Christian Watson or Tetairoa McMillan? Week 7

Updated Oct 20, 4:16 PM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 8 answer posts Tuesday.

Start Tetairoa McMillan over Christian Watson

Start

Tetairoa McMillan

WR · CAR · vs TB

Market projects: 15.3; recent weeks avg
TB D vs WR: 32.9; 14th most to WRs (2026)
Upside: Rising; 83 of 100 at WR
Snap share: 85%; Through Week 6
Target share: 26%; Through Week 6

Sit

Christian Watson

WR · GB · at DET

Market projects: 15.3; fantasy pts
DET D vs WR: 41.0; 2nd most to WRs (2026)
Upside: High; 97 of 100 at WR
Snap share: 81%; Through Week 6
Target share: 22%; Through Week 6

Should I drop Christian Watson for Tetairoa McMillan?

Not on these numbers alone. Christian Watson projects 147 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (14.7 a game over 10 games) and Tetairoa McMillan 152 (13.8 a game over 11 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 7 the call starts Tetairoa McMillan over Christian Watson.

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Our Week 7 call

Start Tetairoa McMillan over Christian Watson in Week 7.

Market-based projections have Tetairoa McMillan at 15.3 points and Christian Watson at 15.3, a gap of 0.0. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. No player market is posted for Tetairoa McMillan this week yet, so his 15.3 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 4 and 6 (16.4 and 14.2); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. Drafters take Tetairoa McMillan at ADP 31 and Christian Watson at 58.

What the market projects

No Week 7 player market is posted for Tetairoa McMillan yet. His market-based projections were 16.4 and 14.2 points in Weeks 4 and 6, an average of 15.3, which stands in until his Week 7 market posts.

The market-based projection for Tetairoa McMillan is 0.4 touchdowns (9 market sources).

Player markets imply 15.3 fantasy points for Christian Watson, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The market-based projection for Christian Watson is 75 receiving yards, 4-5 receptions and 0.6 touchdowns (11, 9 and 13 market sources).

That puts Tetairoa McMillan 0.0 points ahead of Christian Watson on these projections.

Week 7 matchups

Tetairoa McMillan and CAR host TB on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

TB allowed 32.9 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 6 games, the 14th most in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 146 yards and 0.8 touchdowns a game against TB.

Christian Watson and GB visit DET on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET.

DET allowed 41.0 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 5 games, the 2nd most in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 195 yards and a touchdown a game against DET.

By points allowed to the position, Christian Watson has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Tetairoa McMillan is not on the injury report.

Christian Watson is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 7

Through Week 6, Tetairoa McMillan played 85 percent of CAR snaps, drew 26 percent of the targets, earned 30 percent of the air yards and had 14 percent of the red zone chances.

Tetairoa McMillan, Week 2 against ATL: 53 of 66 snaps, 10 targets and 5 catches for 101 yards.

Tetairoa McMillan, Week 3 against CLE: 73 of 77 snaps, 5 targets and 2 catches for 17 yards.

Tetairoa McMillan, Week 4 against DET: 67 of 75 snaps, 16 targets and 14 catches for 192 yards, 2 touchdowns.

Tetairoa McMillan, Week 6 against PHI: 60 of 79 snaps, 9 targets and 6 catches for 86 yards.

Through Week 6, Christian Watson played 81 percent of GB snaps, drew 22 percent of the targets, earned 33 percent of the air yards and had 11 percent of the red zone chances.

Christian Watson, Week 3 against ATL: 53 of 66 snaps, 10 targets and 7 catches for 96 yards, 1 touchdown.

Christian Watson, Week 4 against TB: 41 of 60 snaps, 3 targets and 3 catches for 47 yards.

Christian Watson, Week 5 against CHI: 49 of 61 snaps, 8 targets and 6 catches for 143 yards, 2 touchdowns.

Christian Watson, Week 6 against DAL: 66 of 75 snaps, 8 targets and 3 catches for 64 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Tetairoa McMillan played 17 games for CAR and scored 211.4 PPR points, 12.4 a game, finishing WR16.

He caught 70 of 122 targets for 1014 yards and 7 touchdowns, with 15 red zone targets and 745 air yards.

He was on the field for 87 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Christian Watson played 10 games for GB and scored 132.4 PPR points, 13.2 a game, finishing WR46.

He caught 35 of 55 targets for 611 yards and 6 touchdowns, with 6 red zone targets and 493 air yards.

He was on the field for 68 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 7 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 7, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop Christian Watson for Tetairoa McMillan?
Not on these numbers alone. Christian Watson projects 147 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (14.7 a game over 10 games) and Tetairoa McMillan 152 (13.8 a game over 11 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 7 the call starts Tetairoa McMillan over Christian Watson.
Should I drop Tetairoa McMillan for Christian Watson?
Not on these numbers alone. Tetairoa McMillan projects 152 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (13.8 a game over 11 games) and Christian Watson 147 (14.7 a game over 10 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 7 the call starts Tetairoa McMillan over Christian Watson.