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Start Dylan Sampson or Alvin Kamara? Week 10

Updated Nov 11, 2:51 AM ET.

Latest

  • : Alvin Kamara: Listed Questionable (Back) (Sleeper injury feed)
Start

RB · NO · vs CAR

Market projects
9.6
recent weeks avg
CAR D vs RB
28.3
most to RBs (2026)
Upside
High
88 of 100 at RB
Snap share
37%
Through Week 9
Target share
13%
Through Week 9
Sit

RB · CLE · vs HOU

Market projects
8.8
fantasy pts
HOU D vs RB
22.3
12th most to RBs (2026)
Upside
Moderate
43 of 100 at RB
Snap share
55%
Through Week 9
Target share
16%
Through Week 9

Should I drop Dylan Sampson for Alvin Kamara?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Alvin Kamara projects 57 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (7.1 a game over 8 games), Dylan Sampson 29 (4.1 a game over 7 games). For Week 10 the call starts Alvin Kamara over Dylan Sampson.

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Our Week 10 call

Start Alvin Kamara over Dylan Sampson in Week 10.

Market-based projections have Alvin Kamara at 9.6 points and Dylan Sampson at 8.8, a gap of 0.8. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. No player market is posted for Alvin Kamara this week yet, so his 9.6 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 7 and 9 (7.1 and 12.1); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. Drafters take Alvin Kamara at ADP 164 and Dylan Sampson at 187.

What the market projects

No Week 10 player market is posted for Alvin Kamara yet. His market-based projections were 7.1 and 12.1 points in Weeks 7 and 9, an average of 9.6, which stands in until his Week 10 market posts.

The market-based projection for Alvin Kamara is 0-1 touchdowns (8 market sources).

Player markets imply 8.9 fantasy points for Dylan Sampson, with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Dylan Sampson is 21 rushing yards, 22 receiving yards, 3-4 receptions and 0.2 touchdowns (5, 5, 5 and 6 market sources).

That puts Alvin Kamara 0.8 points ahead of Dylan Sampson on these projections.

Week 10 matchups

Alvin Kamara and NO host CAR on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

CAR allowed 28.3 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 7 games, the most in the league.

Running backs ran for 116 yards and 1.4 touchdowns a game against CAR and caught passes for 28 more yards.

Dylan Sampson and CLE host HOU on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

HOU allowed 22.3 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 7 games, the 12th most in the league.

Running backs ran for 91 yards and 0.9 touchdowns a game against HOU and caught passes for 21 more yards.

By points allowed to the position, Alvin Kamara has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Alvin Kamara is not on the injury report.

Dylan Sampson is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 10

Through Week 9, Alvin Kamara played 37 percent of NO snaps, took 27 percent of the carries, drew 13 percent of the targets and had 15 percent of the red zone chances.

Alvin Kamara, Week 5 against MIN: 12 of 45 snaps, 3 carries for 12 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for -6 yards.

Alvin Kamara, Week 6 against NYG: 19 of 72 snaps, 7 carries for 34 yards, 4 targets and 2 catches for 35 yards, 1 touchdown.

Alvin Kamara, Week 7 against PIT: 32 of 57 snaps, 6 carries for 5 yards, 7 targets and 7 catches for 57 yards.

Alvin Kamara, Week 9 against CLE: 37 of 75 snaps, 6 carries for 32 yards, 4 targets and 3 catches for 17 yards.

Through Week 9, Dylan Sampson played 55 percent of CLE snaps, took 20 percent of the carries, drew 16 percent of the targets and had 8 percent of the red zone chances.

Dylan Sampson, Week 7 against TEN: 32 of 70 snaps, 6 carries for 45 yards, 3 targets and 3 catches for 32 yards.

Dylan Sampson, Week 8 against PIT: 39 of 70 snaps, 1 carry for 7 yards, 8 targets and 6 catches for 62 yards.

Dylan Sampson, Week 9 against NO: 47 of 73 snaps, 8 carries for 21 yards, 6 targets and 3 catches for 27 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Alvin Kamara played 11 games for NO and scored 100.7 PPR points, 9.2 a game, finishing RB46.

He ran 131 times for 471 yards and 1 touchdown, and caught 33 of 39 targets for 186 yards.

He was on the field for 63 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Dylan Sampson played 15 games for CLE and scored 87.6 PPR points, 5.8 a game, finishing RB55.

He ran 65 times for 175 yards and 0 touchdowns, and caught 33 of 40 targets for 271 yards.

He was on the field for 25 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 10 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 10, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Dylan Sampson for Alvin Kamara?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Alvin Kamara projects 57 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (7.1 a game over 8 games), Dylan Sampson 29 (4.1 a game over 7 games). For Week 10 the call starts Alvin Kamara over Dylan Sampson.

  • Should I drop Alvin Kamara for Dylan Sampson?

    No. Keep Alvin Kamara: he projects 57 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (7.1 a game over 8 games), Dylan Sampson 29 (4.1 a game over 7 games). For Week 10 the call starts Alvin Kamara over Dylan Sampson.

Should I drop Alvin Kamara?Should I drop Dylan Sampson?

Week 10 on the board

Elsewhere on the board