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Start Aaron Jones Sr. or Dylan Sampson? Week 10

Updated Nov 10, 9:21 PM ET.

Start Aaron Jones Sr. over Dylan Sampson

Jones projects lower, 7.0 to 9.0, and still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player: ADP 110 for Jones, 187 for Sampson.

Start

Aaron Jones Sr.

RB · MIN · at GB

Market projects
7.0
fantasy pts
GB D vs RB
25.0
7th most to RBs (2026)
Upside
Limited
32 of 100 at RB
Snap share
32%
Through Week 9
Target share
5%
Through Week 9
Sit

Dylan Sampson

RB · CLE · vs HOU

Market projects
9.0
fantasy pts
HOU D vs RB
22.3
12th most to RBs (2026)
Upside
Moderate
45 of 100 at RB
Snap share
55%
Through Week 9
Target share
16%
Through Week 9

Should I drop Dylan Sampson for Aaron Jones Sr.?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Aaron Jones Sr. projects 93 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (11.6 a game over 8 games), Dylan Sampson 29 (4.1 a game over 7 games). For Week 10 the call starts Aaron Jones Sr. over Dylan Sampson.

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Our Week 10 call

Start Aaron Jones Sr. over Dylan Sampson in Week 10.

Market-based projections have Aaron Jones Sr. at 7.0 points and Dylan Sampson at 9.0, a gap of 2.0. Aaron Jones Sr. still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player, ADP 110 against 187, and that outweighs a gap this size.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 9.0 fantasy points for Dylan Sampson, with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Dylan Sampson is 21 rushing yards, 22 receiving yards, 3-4 receptions and 0.2 touchdowns (4, 4, 3 and 6 market sources).

Player markets imply 7.0 fantasy points for Aaron Jones Sr., with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Aaron Jones Sr. is 28 rushing yards, 10 receiving yards, 1-2 receptions and 0.3 touchdowns (8, 7, 7 and 6 market sources).

That puts Dylan Sampson 2.0 points ahead of Aaron Jones Sr. on the market projections.

Week 10 matchups

Dylan Sampson and CLE host HOU on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

HOU allowed 22.3 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 7 games, the 12th most in the league.

Running backs ran for 91 yards and 0.9 touchdowns a game against HOU and caught passes for 21 more yards.

Aaron Jones Sr. and MIN visit GB on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

GB allowed 25.0 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 8 games, the 7th most in the league.

Running backs ran for 94 yards and 1.3 touchdowns a game against GB and caught passes for 34 more yards.

By points allowed to the position, Aaron Jones Sr. has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Dylan Sampson is not on the injury report.

Aaron Jones Sr. is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 10

Through Week 9, Dylan Sampson played 55 percent of CLE snaps, took 20 percent of the carries, drew 16 percent of the targets and had 8 percent of the red zone chances.

Dylan Sampson, Week 7 against TEN: 32 of 70 snaps, 6 carries for 45 yards, 3 targets and 3 catches for 32 yards.

Dylan Sampson, Week 8 against PIT: 39 of 70 snaps, 1 carry for 7 yards, 8 targets and 6 catches for 62 yards.

Dylan Sampson, Week 9 against NO: 47 of 73 snaps, 8 carries for 21 yards, 6 targets and 3 catches for 27 yards.

Through Week 9, Aaron Jones Sr. played 32 percent of MIN snaps, took 32 percent of the carries, drew 5 percent of the targets and had 18 percent of the red zone chances.

Aaron Jones Sr., Week 7 against IND: 15 of 59 snaps, 8 carries for 26 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 0 yards.

Aaron Jones Sr., Week 8 against DET: 21 of 53 snaps, 5 carries for 22 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 18 yards.

Aaron Jones Sr., Week 9 against BUF: 5 carries for 16 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 5 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Dylan Sampson played 15 games for CLE and scored 87.6 PPR points, 5.8 a game, finishing RB55.

He ran 65 times for 175 yards and 0 touchdowns, and caught 33 of 40 targets for 271 yards.

He was on the field for 25 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Aaron Jones Sr. played 12 games for MIN and scored 118.7 PPR points, 9.9 a game, finishing RB41.

He ran 132 times for 548 yards and 2 touchdowns, and caught 28 of 41 targets for 199 yards.

He was on the field for 55 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 10 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 10, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Dylan Sampson for Aaron Jones Sr.?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Aaron Jones Sr. projects 93 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (11.6 a game over 8 games), Dylan Sampson 29 (4.1 a game over 7 games). For Week 10 the call starts Aaron Jones Sr. over Dylan Sampson.

  • Should I drop Aaron Jones Sr. for Dylan Sampson?

    No. Keep Aaron Jones Sr.: he projects 93 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (11.6 a game over 8 games), Dylan Sampson 29 (4.1 a game over 7 games). For Week 10 the call starts Aaron Jones Sr. over Dylan Sampson.

Should I drop Aaron Jones Sr.?Should I drop Dylan Sampson?

Week 10 on the board

Elsewhere on the board