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Start Kaleb Johnson or Alvin Kamara? Week 10

Updated Nov 10, 9:21 PM ET.

Latest

  • : Alvin Kamara: Listed Questionable (Back) (Sleeper injury feed)

Start Alvin Kamara over Kaleb Johnson

Start

Alvin Kamara

RB · NO · vs CAR

Market projects
9.6
recent weeks avg
CAR D vs RB
28.3
most to RBs (2026)
Upside
High
88 of 100 at RB
Snap share
37%
Through Week 9
Target share
13%
Through Week 9
Sit

Kaleb Johnson

RB · GB · vs MIN

Market projects
9.1
fantasy pts
MIN D vs RB
18.4
5th fewest to RBs (2026)
Upside
Limited
38 of 100 at RB
Snap share
25%
Through Week 9
Target share
1%
Through Week 9

Should I drop Kaleb Johnson for Alvin Kamara?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Alvin Kamara projects 57 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (7.1 a game over 8 games), Kaleb Johnson 8 (1.1 a game over 7 games). For Week 10 the call starts Alvin Kamara over Kaleb Johnson.

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Our Week 10 call

Start Alvin Kamara over Kaleb Johnson in Week 10.

Market-based projections have Alvin Kamara at 9.6 points and Kaleb Johnson at 9.1, a gap of 0.5. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Kaleb Johnson's number is scaled up from a partial market: not every stat the position needs is posted yet, so the rest is estimated from what is. No player market is posted for Alvin Kamara this week yet, so his 9.6 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 7 and 9 (7.1 and 12.1); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.

What the market projects

No Week 10 player market is posted for Alvin Kamara yet. His market-based projections were 7.1 and 12.1 points in Weeks 7 and 9, an average of 9.6, which stands in until his Week 10 market posts.

The market-based projection for Alvin Kamara is 0-1 touchdowns (8 market sources).

Player markets imply 9.1 fantasy points for Kaleb Johnson, with 70 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Kaleb Johnson is 34 rushing yards and 0.4 touchdowns (7 and 7 market sources).

That puts Alvin Kamara 0.5 points ahead of Kaleb Johnson on these projections.

Week 10 matchups

Alvin Kamara and NO host CAR on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

CAR allowed 28.3 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 7 games, the most in the league.

Running backs ran for 116 yards and 1.4 touchdowns a game against CAR and caught passes for 28 more yards.

Kaleb Johnson and GB host MIN on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

MIN allowed 18.4 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 7 games, the 5th fewest in the league.

Running backs ran for 103 yards and 0.6 touchdowns a game against MIN and caught passes for 18 more yards.

By points allowed to the position, Alvin Kamara has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Alvin Kamara is not on the injury report.

Kaleb Johnson is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 10

Through Week 9, Alvin Kamara played 37 percent of NO snaps, took 27 percent of the carries, drew 13 percent of the targets and had 15 percent of the red zone chances.

Alvin Kamara, Week 5 against MIN: 12 of 45 snaps, 3 carries for 12 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for -6 yards.

Alvin Kamara, Week 6 against NYG: 19 of 72 snaps, 7 carries for 34 yards, 4 targets and 2 catches for 35 yards, 1 touchdown.

Alvin Kamara, Week 7 against PIT: 32 of 57 snaps, 6 carries for 5 yards, 7 targets and 7 catches for 57 yards.

Alvin Kamara, Week 9 against CLE: 37 of 75 snaps, 6 carries for 32 yards, 4 targets and 3 catches for 17 yards.

Through Week 9, Kaleb Johnson played 25 percent of GB snaps, took 33 percent of the carries, drew 1 percent of the targets and had 6 percent of the red zone chances.

Kaleb Johnson, Week 4 against TB: 17 of 60 snaps, 8 carries for 42 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Kaleb Johnson, Week 5 against CHI: 9 of 61 snaps, 7 carries for 26 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Kaleb Johnson, Week 6 against DAL: 4 of 75 snaps, 1 carry for -2 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Kaleb Johnson, Week 9 against NE: 26 of 66 snaps, 14 carries for 68 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards, 1 touchdown.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Alvin Kamara played 11 games for NO and scored 100.7 PPR points, 9.2 a game, finishing RB46.

He ran 131 times for 471 yards and 1 touchdown, and caught 33 of 39 targets for 186 yards.

He was on the field for 63 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Kaleb Johnson played 10 games for PIT and scored 8.8 PPR points, 0.9 a game, finishing RB115.

He ran 28 times for 69 yards and 0 touchdowns, and caught 1 of 2 targets for 9 yards.

He was on the field for 6 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 10 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 10, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Kaleb Johnson for Alvin Kamara?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Alvin Kamara projects 57 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (7.1 a game over 8 games), Kaleb Johnson 8 (1.1 a game over 7 games). For Week 10 the call starts Alvin Kamara over Kaleb Johnson.

  • Should I drop Alvin Kamara for Kaleb Johnson?

    No. Keep Alvin Kamara: he projects 57 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (7.1 a game over 8 games), Kaleb Johnson 8 (1.1 a game over 7 games). For Week 10 the call starts Alvin Kamara over Kaleb Johnson.

Should I drop Alvin Kamara?

Week 10 on the board

Elsewhere on the board