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Start Kaleb Johnson or Aaron Jones Sr.? Week 10

Updated Nov 10, 11:36 PM ET.

Start Kaleb Johnson over Aaron Jones Sr.

Start

Kaleb Johnson

RB · GB · vs MIN

Market projects
9.1
fantasy pts
MIN D vs RB
18.4
5th fewest to RBs (2026)
Upside
Limited
38 of 100 at RB
Snap share
25%
Through Week 9
Target share
1%
Through Week 9
Sit

Aaron Jones Sr.

RB · MIN · at GB

Market projects
7.0
fantasy pts
GB D vs RB
25.0
7th most to RBs (2026)
Upside
Limited
32 of 100 at RB
Snap share
32%
Through Week 9
Target share
5%
Through Week 9

Should I drop Kaleb Johnson for Aaron Jones Sr.?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Aaron Jones Sr. projects 93 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (11.6 a game over 8 games), Kaleb Johnson 8 (1.1 a game over 7 games). For Week 10 the call starts Kaleb Johnson over Aaron Jones Sr., 9.1 to 7.0 projected PPR points. So make the move after his Week 10 game.

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Our Week 10 call

Start Kaleb Johnson over Aaron Jones Sr. in Week 10.

Market-based projections have Kaleb Johnson at 9.1 points and Aaron Jones Sr. at 7.0, a gap of 2.0. Kaleb Johnson's number is scaled up from a partial market: not every stat the position needs is posted yet, so the rest is estimated from what is. Market coverage on Kaleb Johnson is 70 percent of what his position needs, so the market side of this carries proportionally less weight.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 9.1 fantasy points for Kaleb Johnson, with 70 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Kaleb Johnson is 34 rushing yards and 0.4 touchdowns (7 and 7 market sources).

Player markets imply 7.0 fantasy points for Aaron Jones Sr., with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Aaron Jones Sr. is 28 rushing yards, 10 receiving yards, 1-2 receptions and 0.3 touchdowns (8, 7, 7 and 6 market sources).

That puts Kaleb Johnson 2.0 points ahead of Aaron Jones Sr. on the market projections.

Week 10 matchups

Kaleb Johnson and GB host MIN on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

MIN allowed 18.4 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 7 games, the 5th fewest in the league.

Running backs ran for 103 yards and 0.6 touchdowns a game against MIN and caught passes for 18 more yards.

Aaron Jones Sr. and MIN visit GB on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

GB allowed 25.0 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 8 games, the 7th most in the league.

Running backs ran for 94 yards and 1.3 touchdowns a game against GB and caught passes for 34 more yards.

By points allowed to the position, Aaron Jones Sr. has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Kaleb Johnson is not on the injury report.

Aaron Jones Sr. is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 10

Through Week 9, Kaleb Johnson played 25 percent of GB snaps, took 33 percent of the carries, drew 1 percent of the targets and had 6 percent of the red zone chances.

Kaleb Johnson, Week 4 against TB: 17 of 60 snaps, 8 carries for 42 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Kaleb Johnson, Week 5 against CHI: 9 of 61 snaps, 7 carries for 26 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Kaleb Johnson, Week 6 against DAL: 4 of 75 snaps, 1 carry for -2 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Kaleb Johnson, Week 9 against NE: 26 of 66 snaps, 14 carries for 68 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards, 1 touchdown.

Through Week 9, Aaron Jones Sr. played 32 percent of MIN snaps, took 32 percent of the carries, drew 5 percent of the targets and had 18 percent of the red zone chances.

Aaron Jones Sr., Week 7 against IND: 15 of 59 snaps, 8 carries for 26 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 0 yards.

Aaron Jones Sr., Week 8 against DET: 21 of 53 snaps, 5 carries for 22 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 18 yards.

Aaron Jones Sr., Week 9 against BUF: 5 carries for 16 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 5 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Kaleb Johnson played 10 games for PIT and scored 8.8 PPR points, 0.9 a game, finishing RB115.

He ran 28 times for 69 yards and 0 touchdowns, and caught 1 of 2 targets for 9 yards.

He was on the field for 6 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Aaron Jones Sr. played 12 games for MIN and scored 118.7 PPR points, 9.9 a game, finishing RB41.

He ran 132 times for 548 yards and 2 touchdowns, and caught 28 of 41 targets for 199 yards.

He was on the field for 55 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 10 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 10, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Kaleb Johnson for Aaron Jones Sr.?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Aaron Jones Sr. projects 93 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (11.6 a game over 8 games), Kaleb Johnson 8 (1.1 a game over 7 games). For Week 10 the call starts Kaleb Johnson over Aaron Jones Sr., 9.1 to 7.0 projected PPR points. So make the move after his Week 10 game.

  • Should I drop Aaron Jones Sr. for Kaleb Johnson?

    No. Keep Aaron Jones Sr.: he projects 93 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (11.6 a game over 8 games), Kaleb Johnson 8 (1.1 a game over 7 games). For Week 10 the call starts Kaleb Johnson over Aaron Jones Sr., 9.1 to 7.0 projected PPR points.

Should I drop Aaron Jones Sr.?

Week 10 on the board

Elsewhere on the board