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Start Alvin Kamara or Rico Dowdle? Week 10

Updated Nov 10, 9:26 AM ET.

Latest

  • : Alvin Kamara: Listed Questionable (Back) (Sleeper injury feed)

Start Rico Dowdle over Alvin Kamara

Start

Rico Dowdle

RB · PIT · at CIN

Market projects
9.8
fantasy pts
CIN D vs RB
19.4
8th fewest to RBs (2026)
Upside
Moderate
64 of 100 at RB
Snap share
40%
Through Week 8
Target share
10%
Through Week 8
Sit

Alvin Kamara

RB · NO · vs CAR

Market projects
9.6
recent weeks avg
CAR D vs RB
28.3
most to RBs (2026)
Upside
High
85 of 100 at RB
Snap share
37%
Through Week 9
Target share
13%
Through Week 9

Should I drop Rico Dowdle for Alvin Kamara?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Alvin Kamara projects 60 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (7.5 a game over 8 games), Rico Dowdle 34 (4.2 a game over 8 games). For Week 10 the call starts Rico Dowdle over Alvin Kamara. So make the move after his Week 10 game.

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Rico Dowdle rookie cards

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Our Week 10 call

Start Rico Dowdle over Alvin Kamara in Week 10.

Market-based projections have Rico Dowdle at 9.8 points and Alvin Kamara at 9.6, a gap of 0.2. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. No player market is posted for Alvin Kamara this week yet, so his 9.6 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 7 and 9 (7.1 and 12.1); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. Drafters take Rico Dowdle at ADP 76 and Alvin Kamara at 164.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 9.8 fantasy points for Rico Dowdle, with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Rico Dowdle is 32 rushing yards, 14 receiving yards, 2-3 receptions and 0.4 touchdowns (10, 10, 10 and 11 market sources).

No Week 10 player market is posted for Alvin Kamara yet. His market-based projections were 7.1 and 12.1 points in Weeks 7 and 9, an average of 9.6, which stands in until his Week 10 market posts.

The market-based projection for Alvin Kamara is 0.4 touchdowns (8 market sources).

That puts Rico Dowdle 0.2 points ahead of Alvin Kamara on these projections.

Week 10 matchups

Rico Dowdle and PIT visit CIN on Sunday at 8:20 PM ET.

CIN allowed 19.4 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 7 games, the 8th fewest in the league.

Running backs ran for 86 yards and 0.7 touchdowns a game against CIN and caught passes for 30 more yards.

Alvin Kamara and NO host CAR on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

CAR allowed 28.3 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 7 games, the most in the league.

Running backs ran for 116 yards and 1.4 touchdowns a game against CAR and caught passes for 28 more yards.

By points allowed to the position, Alvin Kamara has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Rico Dowdle is not on the injury report.

Alvin Kamara is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 10

Through Week 8, Rico Dowdle played 40 percent of PIT snaps, took 37 percent of the carries, drew 10 percent of the targets and had 27 percent of the red zone chances.

Rico Dowdle, Week 2 against NE: 18 of 70 snaps, 7 carries for 22 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 22 yards.

Rico Dowdle, Week 6 against TB: 21 of 79 snaps, 7 carries for 40 yards, 4 targets and 3 catches for 9 yards.

Rico Dowdle, Week 7 against NO: 28 of 64 snaps, 9 carries for 41 yards, 6 targets and 6 catches for 45 yards.

Rico Dowdle, Week 8 against CLE: 28 of 59 snaps, 15 carries for 56 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards, 1 touchdown.

Through Week 9, Alvin Kamara played 37 percent of NO snaps, took 27 percent of the carries, drew 13 percent of the targets and had 15 percent of the red zone chances.

Alvin Kamara, Week 5 against MIN: 12 of 45 snaps, 3 carries for 12 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for -6 yards.

Alvin Kamara, Week 6 against NYG: 19 of 72 snaps, 7 carries for 34 yards, 4 targets and 2 catches for 35 yards, 1 touchdown.

Alvin Kamara, Week 7 against PIT: 32 of 57 snaps, 6 carries for 5 yards, 7 targets and 7 catches for 57 yards.

Alvin Kamara, Week 9 against CLE: 37 of 75 snaps, 6 carries for 32 yards, 4 targets and 3 catches for 17 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Rico Dowdle played 17 games for CAR and scored 216.3 PPR points, 12.7 a game, finishing RB18.

He ran 236 times for 1076 yards and 6 touchdowns, and caught 39 of 50 targets for 297 yards.

He was on the field for 56 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Alvin Kamara played 11 games for NO and scored 100.7 PPR points, 9.2 a game, finishing RB46.

He ran 131 times for 471 yards and 1 touchdown, and caught 33 of 39 targets for 186 yards.

He was on the field for 63 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 10 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 10, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Rico Dowdle for Alvin Kamara?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Alvin Kamara projects 60 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (7.5 a game over 8 games), Rico Dowdle 34 (4.2 a game over 8 games). For Week 10 the call starts Rico Dowdle over Alvin Kamara. So make the move after his Week 10 game.

  • Should I drop Alvin Kamara for Rico Dowdle?

    No. Keep Alvin Kamara: he projects 60 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (7.5 a game over 8 games), Rico Dowdle 34 (4.2 a game over 8 games). For Week 10 the call starts Rico Dowdle over Alvin Kamara.

Should I drop Alvin Kamara?Should I drop Rico Dowdle?

Week 10 on the board

Elsewhere on the board