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Start Derrick Henry or Ashton Jeanty? Week 10

Updated Nov 10, 1:11 PM ET.

Start

RB · BAL · vs LAC

Market projects
15.0
recent weeks avg
LAC D vs RB
22.5
11th most to RBs (2026)
Upside
Moderate
50 of 100 at RB
Snap share
55%
Through Week 9
Target share
6%
Through Week 9
Sit

RB · LV · vs SEA

Market projects
14.8
recent weeks avg
SEA D vs RB
22.2
13th most to RBs (2026)
Upside
Limited
33 of 100 at RB
Snap share
66%
Through Week 9
Target share
18%
Through Week 9

Should I drop Derrick Henry for Ashton Jeanty?

Not on these numbers alone. Derrick Henry projects 109 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (15.6 a game over 7 games) and Ashton Jeanty 113 (16.2 a game over 7 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 10 the call starts Derrick Henry over Ashton Jeanty.

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Our Week 10 call

Start Derrick Henry over Ashton Jeanty in Week 10.

Market-based projections have Derrick Henry at 15.0 points and Ashton Jeanty at 14.8, a gap of 0.2. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. No player market is posted for Derrick Henry this week yet, so his 15.0 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 7, 8 and 9 (16.3, 16.5 and 12.3); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for Ashton Jeanty this week yet, so his 14.8 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 7, 8 and 9 (16.0, 15.2 and 13.3); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. Drafters take Derrick Henry at ADP 15 and Ashton Jeanty at 24.

What the market projects

No Week 10 player market is posted for Derrick Henry yet. His market-based projections were 16.3, 16.5 and 12.3 points in Weeks 7, 8 and 9, an average of 15.0, which stands in until his Week 10 market posts.

No Week 10 player market is posted for Ashton Jeanty yet. His market-based projections were 16.0, 15.2 and 13.3 points in Weeks 7, 8 and 9, an average of 14.9, which stands in until his Week 10 market posts.

The market-based projection for Ashton Jeanty is 0-1 touchdowns (7 market sources).

That puts Derrick Henry 0.2 points ahead of Ashton Jeanty on these projections.

Week 10 matchups

Derrick Henry and BAL host LAC on Monday at 8:15 PM ET.

LAC allowed 22.5 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 8 games, the 11th most in the league.

Running backs ran for 106 yards and a touchdown a game against LAC and caught passes for 22 more yards.

Ashton Jeanty and LV host SEA on Sunday at 4:05 PM ET.

SEA allowed 22.2 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 8 games, the 13th most in the league.

Running backs ran for 73 yards and 0.9 touchdowns a game against SEA and caught passes for 31 more yards.

By points allowed to the position, Derrick Henry has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Derrick Henry is not on the injury report.

Ashton Jeanty is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 10

Through Week 9, Derrick Henry played 55 percent of BAL snaps, took 68 percent of the carries, drew 6 percent of the targets and had 51 percent of the red zone chances.

Derrick Henry, Week 6 against CLE: 33 of 57 snaps, 17 carries for 58 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 2 yards.

Derrick Henry, Week 7 against CIN: 34 of 67 snaps, 17 carries for 45 yards, 2 targets and 1 catch for 4 yards.

Derrick Henry, Week 8 against BUF: 23 of 51 snaps, 11 carries for 53 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 7 yards, 1 touchdown.

Derrick Henry, Week 9 against JAX: 28 of 56 snaps, 17 carries for 57 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Through Week 9, Ashton Jeanty played 66 percent of LV snaps, took 54 percent of the carries, drew 18 percent of the targets and had 36 percent of the red zone chances.

Ashton Jeanty, Week 6 against BUF: 38 of 66 snaps, 10 carries for 22 yards, 6 targets and 4 catches for 36 yards, 1 touchdown.

Ashton Jeanty, Week 7 against LAR: 49 of 68 snaps, 8 carries for 15 yards, 8 targets and 8 catches for 61 yards, 1 touchdown.

Ashton Jeanty, Week 8 against NYJ: 25 of 63 snaps, 2 carries for 9 yards, 4 targets and 3 catches for 64 yards.

Ashton Jeanty, Week 9 against SF: 32 of 50 snaps, 6 carries for 25 yards, 7 targets and 5 catches for -5 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Derrick Henry played 17 games for BAL and scored 279.5 PPR points, 16.4 a game, finishing RB8.

He ran 307 times for 1595 yards and 16 touchdowns, and caught 15 of 21 targets for 150 yards.

He was on the field for 54 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Ashton Jeanty played 17 games for LV and scored 245.1 PPR points, 14.4 a game, finishing RB11.

He ran 266 times for 975 yards and 5 touchdowns, and caught 55 of 73 targets for 346 yards.

He was on the field for 76 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 10 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 10, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Derrick Henry for Ashton Jeanty?

    Not on these numbers alone. Derrick Henry projects 109 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (15.6 a game over 7 games) and Ashton Jeanty 113 (16.2 a game over 7 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 10 the call starts Derrick Henry over Ashton Jeanty.

  • Should I drop Ashton Jeanty for Derrick Henry?

    Not on these numbers alone. Ashton Jeanty projects 113 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (16.2 a game over 7 games) and Derrick Henry 109 (15.6 a game over 7 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 10 the call starts Derrick Henry over Ashton Jeanty.

Should I drop Ashton Jeanty?Should I drop Derrick Henry?

Week 10 on the board

Elsewhere on the board