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Start Derrick Henry or Braelon Allen? Week 10

Updated Nov 10, 9:16 AM ET.

Start Derrick Henry over Braelon Allen

Start

Derrick Henry

RB · BAL · vs LAC

Market projects
15.0
recent weeks avg
LAC D vs RB
22.5
11th most to RBs (2026)
Upside
Moderate
50 of 100 at RB
Snap share
55%
Through Week 9
Target share
6%
Through Week 9
Sit

Braelon Allen

RB · NYJ · vs BUF

Market projects
13.4
recent weeks avg
BUF D vs RB
26.5
3rd most to RBs (2026)
Upside
Moderate
47 of 100 at RB
Snap share
65%
Through Week 9
Target share
9%
Through Week 9

Should I drop Braelon Allen for Derrick Henry?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Derrick Henry projects 109 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (15.6 a game over 7 games), Braelon Allen 57 (8.2 a game over 7 games). For Week 10 the call starts Derrick Henry over Braelon Allen.

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Our Week 10 call

Start Derrick Henry over Braelon Allen in Week 10.

Market-based projections have Derrick Henry at 15.0 points and Braelon Allen at 13.4, a gap of 1.6. No player market is posted for Derrick Henry this week yet, so his 15.0 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 7, 8 and 9 (16.3, 16.5 and 12.3); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for Braelon Allen this week yet, so his 13.4 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 7, 8 and 9 (15.7, 16.8 and 7.7); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. Drafters take Derrick Henry at ADP 15 and Braelon Allen at 180.

What the market projects

No Week 10 player market is posted for Derrick Henry yet. His market-based projections were 16.3, 16.5 and 12.3 points in Weeks 7, 8 and 9, an average of 15.0, which stands in until his Week 10 market posts.

No Week 10 player market is posted for Braelon Allen yet. His market-based projections were 15.7, 16.8 and 7.7 points in Weeks 7, 8 and 9, an average of 13.4, which stands in until his Week 10 market posts.

The market-based projection for Braelon Allen is 0.4 touchdowns (6 market sources).

That puts Derrick Henry 1.6 points ahead of Braelon Allen on these projections.

Week 10 matchups

Derrick Henry and BAL host LAC on Monday at 8:15 PM ET.

LAC allowed 22.5 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 8 games, the 11th most in the league.

Running backs ran for 106 yards and a touchdown a game against LAC and caught passes for 22 more yards.

Braelon Allen and NYJ host BUF on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

BUF allowed 26.5 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 7 games, the 3rd most in the league.

Running backs ran for 81 yards and a touchdown a game against BUF and caught passes for 44 more yards.

By points allowed to the position, Braelon Allen has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Derrick Henry is not on the injury report.

Braelon Allen is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 10

Through Week 9, Derrick Henry played 55 percent of BAL snaps, took 68 percent of the carries, drew 6 percent of the targets and had 51 percent of the red zone chances.

Derrick Henry, Week 6 against CLE: 33 of 57 snaps, 17 carries for 58 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 2 yards.

Derrick Henry, Week 7 against CIN: 34 of 67 snaps, 17 carries for 45 yards, 2 targets and 1 catch for 4 yards.

Derrick Henry, Week 8 against BUF: 23 of 51 snaps, 11 carries for 53 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 7 yards, 1 touchdown.

Derrick Henry, Week 9 against JAX: 28 of 56 snaps, 17 carries for 57 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Through Week 9, Braelon Allen played 65 percent of NYJ snaps, took 54 percent of the carries, drew 9 percent of the targets and had 31 percent of the red zone chances.

Braelon Allen, Week 6 against NE: 54 of 62 snaps, 17 carries for 78 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 26 yards.

Braelon Allen, Week 7 against MIA: 46 of 59 snaps, 17 carries for 104 yards, 7 targets and 6 catches for 30 yards.

Braelon Allen, Week 8 against LV: 53 of 64 snaps, 21 carries for 147 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 6 yards, 1 touchdown.

Braelon Allen, Week 9 against KC: 37 of 63 snaps, 8 carries for 33 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 21 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Derrick Henry played 17 games for BAL and scored 279.5 PPR points, 16.4 a game, finishing RB8.

He ran 307 times for 1595 yards and 16 touchdowns, and caught 15 of 21 targets for 150 yards.

He was on the field for 54 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Braelon Allen played 4 games for NYJ and scored 15.3 PPR points, 3.8 a game, finishing RB100.

He ran 18 times for 76 yards and 1 touchdown, and caught 2 of 3 targets for 17 yards.

He was on the field for 24 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 10 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 10, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Braelon Allen for Derrick Henry?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Derrick Henry projects 109 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (15.6 a game over 7 games), Braelon Allen 57 (8.2 a game over 7 games). For Week 10 the call starts Derrick Henry over Braelon Allen.

  • Should I drop Derrick Henry for Braelon Allen?

    No. Keep Derrick Henry: he projects 109 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (15.6 a game over 7 games), Braelon Allen 57 (8.2 a game over 7 games). For Week 10 the call starts Derrick Henry over Braelon Allen.

Should I drop Braelon Allen?Should I drop Derrick Henry?

Week 10 on the board

Elsewhere on the board