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Start Javonte Williams or Ashton Jeanty? Week 9

Updated Nov 3, 4:41 AM ET.

Start Ashton Jeanty over Javonte Williams

Jeanty projects lower, 15.8 to 16.5, and still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player: ADP 24 for Jeanty, 33 for Williams.

Start

Ashton Jeanty

RB · LV · at SF

Market projects
15.8
recent weeks avg
SF D vs RB
22.7
10th most to RBs (2026)
Snap share
70%
Through Week 8
Target share
17%
Through Week 8
Sit

Javonte Williams

RB · DAL · at IND

Market projects
16.5
recent weeks avg
IND D vs RB
22.0
13th most to RBs (2026)
Snap share
75%
Through Week 8
Target share
8%
Through Week 8

Should I drop Ashton Jeanty for Javonte Williams?

Not on these numbers alone. Ashton Jeanty projects 130 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (16.2 a game over 8 games) and Javonte Williams 133 (16.6 a game over 8 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 9 the call starts Ashton Jeanty over Javonte Williams.

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Our Week 9 call

Start Ashton Jeanty over Javonte Williams in Week 9.

Market-based projections have Ashton Jeanty at 15.8 points and Javonte Williams at 16.5, a gap of 0.7. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Ashton Jeanty still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player, ADP 24 against 33, and that outweighs a gap this size. No player market is posted for Ashton Jeanty this week yet, so his 15.8 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 6, 7 and 8 (16.1, 16.0 and 15.2); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for Javonte Williams this week yet, so his 16.5 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 6, 7 and 8 (17.3, 15.1 and 17.2); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.

What the market projects

No Week 9 player market is posted for Javonte Williams yet. His market-based projections were 17.3, 15.1 and 17.2 points in Weeks 6, 7 and 8, an average of 16.5, which stands in until his Week 9 market posts.

The market-based projection for Javonte Williams is 1.2 touchdowns (5 market sources).

No Week 9 player market is posted for Ashton Jeanty yet. His market-based projections were 16.1, 16.0 and 15.2 points in Weeks 6, 7 and 8, an average of 15.8, which stands in until his Week 9 market posts.

The market-based projection for Ashton Jeanty is 0.6 touchdowns (5 market sources).

That puts Javonte Williams 0.7 points ahead of Ashton Jeanty on these projections.

Week 9 matchups

Javonte Williams and DAL visit IND on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

IND allowed 22.0 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 7 games, the 13th most in the league.

Running backs ran for 96 yards and 0.7 touchdowns a game against IND and caught passes for 39 more yards.

Ashton Jeanty and LV visit SF on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET.

SF allowed 22.7 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 7 games, the 10th most in the league.

Running backs ran for 79 yards and 0.3 touchdowns a game against SF and caught passes for 48 more yards.

By points allowed to the position, Ashton Jeanty has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Javonte Williams is not on the injury report.

Ashton Jeanty is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 9

Through Week 8, Javonte Williams played 75 percent of DAL snaps, took 68 percent of the carries, drew 8 percent of the targets and had 40 percent of the red zone chances.

Javonte Williams, Week 5 against TB: 51 of 60 snaps, 12 carries for 45 yards, 3 targets and 2 catches for 17 yards, 1 touchdown.

Javonte Williams, Week 6 against GB: 57 of 78 snaps, 11 carries for 41 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 9 yards, 1 touchdown.

Javonte Williams, Week 7 against PHI: 44 of 68 snaps, 25 carries for 155 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards, 1 touchdown.

Javonte Williams, Week 8 against ARI: 24 carries for 56 yards, 2 targets and 1 catch for 1 yards.

Through Week 8, Ashton Jeanty played 70 percent of LV snaps, took 55 percent of the carries, drew 17 percent of the targets and had 36 percent of the red zone chances.

Ashton Jeanty, Week 5 against NE: 32 of 60 snaps, 10 carries for 27 yards, 6 targets and 3 catches for 50 yards.

Ashton Jeanty, Week 6 against BUF: 38 of 66 snaps, 10 carries for 22 yards, 6 targets and 4 catches for 36 yards, 1 touchdown.

Ashton Jeanty, Week 7 against LAR: 49 of 68 snaps, 8 carries for 15 yards, 8 targets and 8 catches for 61 yards, 1 touchdown.

Ashton Jeanty, Week 8 against NYJ: 2 carries for 9 yards, 4 targets and 3 catches for 64 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Javonte Williams played 16 games for DAL and scored 242.8 PPR points, 15.2 a game, finishing RB12.

He ran 252 times for 1201 yards and 11 touchdowns, and caught 35 of 51 targets for 137 yards.

He was on the field for 68 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Ashton Jeanty played 17 games for LV and scored 245.1 PPR points, 14.4 a game, finishing RB11.

He ran 266 times for 975 yards and 5 touchdowns, and caught 55 of 73 targets for 346 yards.

He was on the field for 76 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 9 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 9, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Ashton Jeanty for Javonte Williams?

    Not on these numbers alone. Ashton Jeanty projects 130 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (16.2 a game over 8 games) and Javonte Williams 133 (16.6 a game over 8 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 9 the call starts Ashton Jeanty over Javonte Williams.

  • Should I drop Javonte Williams for Ashton Jeanty?

    Not on these numbers alone. Javonte Williams projects 133 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (16.6 a game over 8 games) and Ashton Jeanty 130 (16.2 a game over 8 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 9 the call starts Ashton Jeanty over Javonte Williams.

Should I drop Ashton Jeanty?Should I drop Javonte Williams?

Week 8 on the board

Elsewhere on the board