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Start Jake Ferguson or Brenton Strange? Week 8

Updated Oct 27, 2:06 PM ET.

Start Jake Ferguson over Brenton Strange

Ferguson projects lower, 6.8 to 8.6, and still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player: ADP 141 for Ferguson, 202 for Strange.

Start

TE · DAL · vs ARI

Market projects
6.8
recent weeks avg
ARI D vs TE
16.6
7th most to TEs (2026)
Upside
Rising
83 of 100 at TE
Snap share
66%
Through Week 7
Target share
9%
Through Week 7
Sit

TE · JAX · vs IND

Market projects
8.6
recent weeks avg
IND D vs TE
13.7
13th most to TEs (2026)
Upside
High
94 of 100 at TE
Snap share
79%
Through Week 6
Target share
19%
Through Week 6

Should I drop Jake Ferguson for Brenton Strange?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Brenton Strange projects 87 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (8.7 a game over 10 games), Jake Ferguson 70 (7.8 a game over 9 games). For Week 8 the call starts Jake Ferguson over Brenton Strange. So make the move after his Week 8 game.

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Our Week 8 call

Start Jake Ferguson over Brenton Strange in Week 8.

Market-based projections have Jake Ferguson at 6.8 points and Brenton Strange at 8.6, a gap of 1.7. Jake Ferguson still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player, ADP 141 against 202, and that outweighs a gap this size. No player market is posted for Jake Ferguson this week yet, so his 6.8 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 5, 6 and 7 (6.9, 7.5 and 6.1); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for Brenton Strange this week yet, so his 8.6 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 5 and 6 (8.3 and 8.8); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.

What the market projects

No Week 8 player market is posted for Brenton Strange yet. His market-based projections were 8.3 and 8.8 points in Weeks 5 and 6, an average of 8.6, which stands in until his Week 8 market posts.

The market-based projection for Brenton Strange is 0.4 touchdowns (7 market sources).

No Week 8 player market is posted for Jake Ferguson yet. His market-based projections were 6.9, 7.6 and 6.1 points in Weeks 5, 6 and 7, an average of 6.8, which stands in until his Week 8 market posts.

That puts Brenton Strange 1.7 points ahead of Jake Ferguson on these projections.

Week 8 matchups

Brenton Strange and JAX host IND on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

IND allowed 13.7 fantasy points a game to TEs this season over 7 games, the 13th most in the league.

Tight ends caught passes for 45 yards and 0.7 touchdowns a game against IND.

Jake Ferguson and DAL host ARI on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

ARI allowed 16.6 fantasy points a game to TEs this season over 7 games, the 7th most in the league.

Tight ends caught passes for 60 yards and 0.7 touchdowns a game against ARI.

By points allowed to the position, Jake Ferguson has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Brenton Strange is not on the injury report.

Jake Ferguson is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 8

Through Week 6, Brenton Strange played 79 percent of JAX snaps, drew 19 percent of the targets, earned 17 percent of the air yards and had 5 percent of the red zone chances.

Brenton Strange, Week 3 against NE: 48 of 62 snaps, 5 targets and 3 catches for 32 yards.

Brenton Strange, Week 4 against CIN: 53 of 61 snaps, 8 targets and 7 catches for 95 yards.

Brenton Strange, Week 5 against PHI: 58 of 72 snaps, 8 targets and 7 catches for 68 yards.

Brenton Strange, Week 6 against HOU: 54 of 71 snaps, 7 targets and 5 catches for 44 yards.

Through Week 7, Jake Ferguson played 66 percent of DAL snaps, drew 9 percent of the targets, earned 6 percent of the air yards and had 6 percent of the red zone chances.

Jake Ferguson, Week 4 against HOU: 55 of 78 snaps, 4 targets and 3 catches for 11 yards.

Jake Ferguson, Week 5 against TB: 50 of 60 snaps, 6 targets and 3 catches for 19 yards.

Jake Ferguson, Week 6 against GB: 42 of 78 snaps, 3 targets and 2 catches for 13 yards.

Jake Ferguson, Week 7 against PHI: 38 of 68 snaps, 1 target and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Brenton Strange played 12 games for JAX and scored 118.0 PPR points, 9.8 a game, finishing TE23.

He caught 46 of 60 targets for 540 yards and 3 touchdowns, with 9 red zone targets and 293 air yards.

He was on the field for 76 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Jake Ferguson played 17 games for DAL and scored 188.1 PPR points, 11.1 a game, finishing TE5.

He caught 82 of 102 targets for 600 yards and 8 touchdowns, with 23 red zone targets and 293 air yards.

He was on the field for 67 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 8 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 8, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Jake Ferguson for Brenton Strange?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Brenton Strange projects 87 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (8.7 a game over 10 games), Jake Ferguson 70 (7.8 a game over 9 games). For Week 8 the call starts Jake Ferguson over Brenton Strange. So make the move after his Week 8 game.

  • Should I drop Brenton Strange for Jake Ferguson?

    No. Keep Brenton Strange: he projects 87 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (8.7 a game over 10 games), Jake Ferguson 70 (7.8 a game over 9 games). For Week 8 the call starts Jake Ferguson over Brenton Strange.

Should I drop Brenton Strange?Should I drop Jake Ferguson?

Week 8 on the board

Elsewhere on the board