Start Jake Ferguson or Cade Otton? Week 8
Updated Oct 27, 11:56 AM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 9 answer posts Tuesday.
Start Cade Otton over Jake Ferguson
- Market projects
- 8.1
- recent weeks avg
- ATL D vs TE
- 15.8
- 10th most to TEs (2026)
- Snap share
- 94%
- Through Week 7
- Target share
- 15%
- Through Week 7
- Market projects
- 6.8
- recent weeks avg
- ARI D vs TE
- 16.6
- 7th most to TEs (2026)
- Snap share
- 66%
- Through Week 7
- Target share
- 9%
- Through Week 7
Should I drop Cade Otton for Jake Ferguson?
Not on these numbers alone. Cade Otton projects 69 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (7.7 a game over 9 games) and Jake Ferguson 70 (7.8 a game over 9 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 8 the call starts Cade Otton over Jake Ferguson.
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Our Week 8 call
Start Cade Otton over Jake Ferguson in Week 8.
Market-based projections have Cade Otton at 8.1 points and Jake Ferguson at 6.8, a gap of 1.3. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. No player market is posted for Cade Otton this week yet, so his 8.1 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 5, 6 and 7 (7.7, 7.2 and 9.5); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for Jake Ferguson this week yet, so his 6.8 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 5, 6 and 7 (6.9, 7.5 and 6.1); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.
What the market projects
No Week 8 player market is posted for Cade Otton yet. His market-based projections were 7.7, 7.2 and 9.5 points in Weeks 5, 6 and 7, an average of 8.1, which stands in until his Week 8 market posts.
No Week 8 player market is posted for Jake Ferguson yet. His market-based projections were 6.9, 7.6 and 6.1 points in Weeks 5, 6 and 7, an average of 6.8, which stands in until his Week 8 market posts.
That puts Cade Otton 1.3 points ahead of Jake Ferguson on these projections.
Week 8 matchups
Cade Otton and TB host ATL on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.
ATL allowed 15.8 fantasy points a game to TEs this season over 7 games, the 10th most in the league.
Tight ends caught passes for 63 yards and 0.6 touchdowns a game against ATL.
Jake Ferguson and DAL host ARI on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.
ARI allowed 16.6 fantasy points a game to TEs this season over 7 games, the 7th most in the league.
Tight ends caught passes for 60 yards and 0.7 touchdowns a game against ARI.
By points allowed to the position, Jake Ferguson has the softer matchup.
Injury status
Cade Otton is not on the injury report.
Jake Ferguson is not on the injury report.
Usage before Week 8
Through Week 7, Cade Otton played 94 percent of TB snaps, drew 15 percent of the targets, earned 13 percent of the air yards and had 4 percent of the red zone chances.
Cade Otton, Week 4 against GB: 60 of 64 snaps, 6 targets and 4 catches for 37 yards.
Cade Otton, Week 5 against DAL: 66 of 72 snaps, 4 targets and 3 catches for 25 yards.
Cade Otton, Week 6 against PIT: 74 of 74 snaps, 2 targets and 1 catch for 4 yards.
Cade Otton, Week 7 against CAR: 56 of 63 snaps, 1 target and 0 catches for 0 yards.
Through Week 7, Jake Ferguson played 66 percent of DAL snaps, drew 9 percent of the targets, earned 6 percent of the air yards and had 6 percent of the red zone chances.
Jake Ferguson, Week 4 against HOU: 55 of 78 snaps, 4 targets and 3 catches for 11 yards.
Jake Ferguson, Week 5 against TB: 50 of 60 snaps, 6 targets and 3 catches for 19 yards.
Jake Ferguson, Week 6 against GB: 42 of 78 snaps, 3 targets and 2 catches for 13 yards.
Jake Ferguson, Week 7 against PHI: 38 of 68 snaps, 1 target and 0 catches for 0 yards.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, Cade Otton played 16 games for TB and scored 122.2 PPR points, 7.6 a game, finishing TE22.
He caught 59 of 81 targets for 572 yards and 1 touchdown, with 5 red zone targets and 261 air yards.
He was on the field for 93 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
In 2025, Jake Ferguson played 17 games for DAL and scored 188.1 PPR points, 11.1 a game, finishing TE5.
He caught 82 of 102 targets for 600 yards and 8 touchdowns, with 23 red zone targets and 293 air yards.
He was on the field for 67 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Their other Week 8 calls
Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 8, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.
Drop or keep
Should I drop Cade Otton for Jake Ferguson?
Not on these numbers alone. Cade Otton projects 69 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (7.7 a game over 9 games) and Jake Ferguson 70 (7.8 a game over 9 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 8 the call starts Cade Otton over Jake Ferguson.
Should I drop Jake Ferguson for Cade Otton?
Not on these numbers alone. Jake Ferguson projects 70 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (7.8 a game over 9 games) and Cade Otton 69 (7.7 a game over 9 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 8 the call starts Cade Otton over Jake Ferguson.
Should I drop Cade Otton?Should I drop Jake Ferguson?
Week 8 on the board
- Is Jake Ferguson playing Week 8?
- Is Cade Otton playing Week 8?
- Cowboys depth chart
- Buccaneers depth chart
- Week 8 TE rankings
- Week 8 fantasy rankings
- Week 8 start or sit
- Week 8 waiver wire
- Week 8 trade value chart
- Trade deadline buy low, sell high
- Fantasy football rankings
- Start 'em sit 'em Week 8
- Waiver wire pickups
- Fantasy sleepers
- Rest of season rankings
- Week 8 kicker rankings
- Week 8 defense rankings