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Start T.J. Hockenson or Brenton Strange? Week 10

Updated Nov 10, 9:36 AM ET.

Start Brenton Strange over T.J. Hockenson

Strange projects lower, 9.3 to 10.4, and still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player: ADP 202 for Strange, 224 for Hockenson.

Start

TE · JAX · at TEN

Market projects
9.3
recent weeks avg
TEN D vs TE
12.6
12th fewest to TEs (2026)
Upside
Rising
69 of 100 at TE
Snap share
76%
Through Week 9
Target share
17%
Through Week 9
Sit

TE · MIN · at GB

Market projects
10.4
recent weeks avg
GB D vs TE
9.0
2nd fewest to TEs (2026)
Upside
Moderate
51 of 100 at TE
Snap share
65%
Through Week 9
Target share
21%
Through Week 9

Should I drop Brenton Strange for T.J. Hockenson?

Yes, on the rest of the season. T.J. Hockenson projects 82 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (10.2 a game over 8 games), Brenton Strange 70 (8.8 a game over 8 games). For Week 10 the call starts Brenton Strange over T.J. Hockenson. So make the move after his Week 10 game.

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Our Week 10 call

Start Brenton Strange over T.J. Hockenson in Week 10.

Market-based projections have Brenton Strange at 9.3 points and T.J. Hockenson at 10.4, a gap of 1.0. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Brenton Strange still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player, ADP 202 against 224, and that outweighs a gap this size. No player market is posted for Brenton Strange this week yet, so his 9.3 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 8 and 9 (10.0 and 8.7); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for T.J. Hockenson this week yet, so his 10.4 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 7, 8 and 9 (10.0, 10.6 and 10.5); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.

What the market projects

No Week 10 player market is posted for T.J. Hockenson yet. His market-based projections were 10.0, 10.6 and 10.5 points in Weeks 7, 8 and 9, an average of 10.4, which stands in until his Week 10 market posts.

No Week 10 player market is posted for Brenton Strange yet. His market-based projections were 10.0 and 8.7 points in Weeks 8 and 9, an average of 9.3, which stands in until his Week 10 market posts.

The market-based projection for Brenton Strange is 0.3 touchdowns (7 market sources).

That puts T.J. Hockenson 1.0 points ahead of Brenton Strange on these projections.

Week 10 matchups

T.J. Hockenson and MIN visit GB on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

GB allowed 9.0 fantasy points a game to TEs this season over 8 games, the 2nd fewest in the league.

Tight ends caught passes for 35 yards and 0.3 touchdowns a game against GB.

Brenton Strange and JAX visit TEN on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

TEN allowed 12.6 fantasy points a game to TEs this season over 8 games, the 12th fewest in the league.

Tight ends caught passes for 43 yards and 0-1 touchdowns a game against TEN.

By points allowed to the position, Brenton Strange has the softer matchup.

Injury status

T.J. Hockenson is not on the injury report.

Brenton Strange is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 10

Through Week 9, T.J. Hockenson played 65 percent of MIN snaps, drew 21 percent of the targets, earned 18 percent of the air yards and had 18 percent of the red zone chances.

T.J. Hockenson, Week 5 against NO: 2 of 71 snaps, 1 target and 1 catch for 7 yards.

T.J. Hockenson, Week 7 against IND: 45 of 59 snaps, 5 targets and 4 catches for 35 yards, 1 touchdown.

T.J. Hockenson, Week 8 against DET: 44 of 53 snaps, 5 targets and 4 catches for 58 yards, 1 touchdown.

T.J. Hockenson, Week 9 against BUF: 7 targets and 4 catches for 33 yards.

Through Week 9, Brenton Strange played 76 percent of JAX snaps, drew 17 percent of the targets, earned 16 percent of the air yards and had 4 percent of the red zone chances.

Brenton Strange, Week 5 against PHI: 58 of 72 snaps, 8 targets and 7 catches for 68 yards.

Brenton Strange, Week 6 against HOU: 54 of 71 snaps, 7 targets and 5 catches for 44 yards.

Brenton Strange, Week 8 against IND: 28 of 54 snaps, 2 targets and 2 catches for 55 yards.

Brenton Strange, Week 9 against BAL: 44 of 56 snaps, 2 targets and 2 catches for 22 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, T.J. Hockenson played 15 games for MIN and scored 112.8 PPR points, 7.5 a game, finishing TE26.

He caught 51 of 66 targets for 438 yards and 3 touchdowns, with 11 red zone targets and 224 air yards.

He was on the field for 79 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Brenton Strange played 12 games for JAX and scored 118.0 PPR points, 9.8 a game, finishing TE23.

He caught 46 of 60 targets for 540 yards and 3 touchdowns, with 9 red zone targets and 293 air yards.

He was on the field for 76 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 10 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 10, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Brenton Strange for T.J. Hockenson?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. T.J. Hockenson projects 82 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (10.2 a game over 8 games), Brenton Strange 70 (8.8 a game over 8 games). For Week 10 the call starts Brenton Strange over T.J. Hockenson. So make the move after his Week 10 game.

  • Should I drop T.J. Hockenson for Brenton Strange?

    No. Keep T.J. Hockenson: he projects 82 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (10.2 a game over 8 games), Brenton Strange 70 (8.8 a game over 8 games). For Week 10 the call starts Brenton Strange over T.J. Hockenson.

Should I drop Brenton Strange?

Week 10 on the board

Elsewhere on the board