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Start Dalton Kincaid or T.J. Hockenson? Week 10

Updated Nov 10, 3:16 PM ET.

Latest

  • : Dalton Kincaid: Listed Questionable (Chest) (Sleeper injury feed)

Start Dalton Kincaid over T.J. Hockenson

Kincaid projects lower, 9.7 to 10.4, and still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player: ADP 158 for Kincaid, 224 for Hockenson.

Start

Dalton Kincaid

TE · BUF · at NYJ

Market projects
9.7
recent weeks avg
NYJ D vs TE
13.9
15th most to TEs (2026)
Upside
Rising
79 of 100 at TE
Snap share
66%
Through Week 9
Target share
17%
Through Week 9
Sit

T.J. Hockenson

TE · MIN · at GB

Market projects
10.4
recent weeks avg
GB D vs TE
9.0
2nd fewest to TEs (2026)
Upside
Moderate
51 of 100 at TE
Snap share
65%
Through Week 9
Target share
21%
Through Week 9

Should I drop T.J. Hockenson for Dalton Kincaid?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Dalton Kincaid projects 94 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (11.7 a game over 8 games), T.J. Hockenson 82 (10.2 a game over 8 games). For Week 10 the call starts Dalton Kincaid over T.J. Hockenson.

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Our Week 10 call

Start Dalton Kincaid over T.J. Hockenson in Week 10.

Market-based projections have Dalton Kincaid at 9.7 points and T.J. Hockenson at 10.4, a gap of 0.7. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Dalton Kincaid still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player, ADP 158 against 224, and that outweighs a gap this size. No player market is posted for Dalton Kincaid this week yet, so his 9.7 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 8 and 9 (10.2 and 9.2); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for T.J. Hockenson this week yet, so his 10.4 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 7, 8 and 9 (10.0, 10.6 and 10.5); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.

What the market projects

No Week 10 player market is posted for T.J. Hockenson yet. His market-based projections were 10.0, 10.6 and 10.5 points in Weeks 7, 8 and 9, an average of 10.4, which stands in until his Week 10 market posts.

No Week 10 player market is posted for Dalton Kincaid yet. His market-based projections were 10.2 and 9.2 points in Weeks 8 and 9, an average of 9.7, which stands in until his Week 10 market posts.

The market-based projection for Dalton Kincaid is 0.4 touchdowns (6 market sources).

That puts T.J. Hockenson 0.7 points ahead of Dalton Kincaid on these projections.

Week 10 matchups

T.J. Hockenson and MIN visit GB on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

GB allowed 9.0 fantasy points a game to TEs this season over 8 games, the 2nd fewest in the league.

Tight ends caught passes for 35 yards and 0.3 touchdowns a game against GB.

Dalton Kincaid and BUF visit NYJ on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

NYJ allowed 13.9 fantasy points a game to TEs this season over 8 games, the 15th most in the league.

Tight ends caught passes for 60 yards and 0.4 touchdowns a game against NYJ.

By points allowed to the position, Dalton Kincaid has the softer matchup.

Injury status

T.J. Hockenson is not on the injury report.

Dalton Kincaid is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 10

Through Week 9, T.J. Hockenson played 65 percent of MIN snaps, drew 21 percent of the targets, earned 18 percent of the air yards and had 18 percent of the red zone chances.

T.J. Hockenson, Week 5 against NO: 2 of 71 snaps, 1 target and 1 catch for 7 yards.

T.J. Hockenson, Week 7 against IND: 45 of 59 snaps, 5 targets and 4 catches for 35 yards, 1 touchdown.

T.J. Hockenson, Week 8 against DET: 44 of 53 snaps, 5 targets and 4 catches for 58 yards, 1 touchdown.

T.J. Hockenson, Week 9 against BUF: 7 targets and 4 catches for 33 yards.

Through Week 9, Dalton Kincaid played 66 percent of BUF snaps, drew 17 percent of the targets, earned 17 percent of the air yards and had 7 percent of the red zone chances.

Dalton Kincaid, Week 5 against LAR: 45 of 64 snaps, 2 targets and 1 catch for 7 yards.

Dalton Kincaid, Week 6 against LV: 49 of 68 snaps, 8 targets and 7 catches for 38 yards.

Dalton Kincaid, Week 8 against BAL: 47 of 82 snaps, 6 targets and 4 catches for 86 yards, 1 touchdown.

Dalton Kincaid, Week 9 against MIN: 3 targets and 3 catches for 28 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, T.J. Hockenson played 15 games for MIN and scored 112.8 PPR points, 7.5 a game, finishing TE26.

He caught 51 of 66 targets for 438 yards and 3 touchdowns, with 11 red zone targets and 224 air yards.

He was on the field for 79 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Dalton Kincaid played 12 games for BUF and scored 126.1 PPR points, 10.5 a game, finishing TE20.

He caught 39 of 49 targets for 571 yards and 5 touchdowns, with 6 red zone targets and 312 air yards.

He was on the field for 40 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 10 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 10, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop T.J. Hockenson for Dalton Kincaid?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Dalton Kincaid projects 94 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (11.7 a game over 8 games), T.J. Hockenson 82 (10.2 a game over 8 games). For Week 10 the call starts Dalton Kincaid over T.J. Hockenson.

  • Should I drop Dalton Kincaid for T.J. Hockenson?

    No. Keep Dalton Kincaid: he projects 94 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (11.7 a game over 8 games), T.J. Hockenson 82 (10.2 a game over 8 games). For Week 10 the call starts Dalton Kincaid over T.J. Hockenson.

Should I drop Dalton Kincaid?

Week 10 on the board

Elsewhere on the board