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Start Brian Thomas Jr. or Reggie Virgil? Week 10

Updated Nov 11, 6:46 PM ET.

Latest

  • : Michael Wilson: Out to IR (Neck, Fracture) (Sleeper injury feed)

Start Reggie Virgil over Brian Thomas Jr.

Start

Reggie Virgil

WR · ARI · vs LAR

Market projects
4.8
fantasy pts
LAR D vs WR
26.8
5th fewest to WRs (2026)
Snap share
21%
Through Week 9
Target share
6%
Through Week 9
Sit

Brian Thomas Jr.

WR · JAX · at TEN

Market projects
3.9
recent weeks avg
TEN D vs WR
40.7
most to WRs (2026)
Upside
Moderate
61 of 100 at WR
Snap share
43%
Through Week 9
Target share
5%
Through Week 9

Should I drop Reggie Virgil for Brian Thomas Jr.?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Brian Thomas Jr. projects 35 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (4.4 a game over 8 games), Reggie Virgil 30 (4.3 a game over 7 games). For Week 10 the call starts Reggie Virgil over Brian Thomas Jr. So make the move after his Week 10 game.

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Brian Thomas Jr. rookie cards

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Our Week 10 call

Start Reggie Virgil over Brian Thomas Jr. in Week 10.

Market-based projections have Reggie Virgil at 4.8 points and Brian Thomas Jr. at 3.9, a gap of 1.0. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. No player market is posted for Brian Thomas Jr. this week yet, so his 3.9 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 8 and 9 (3.7 and 4.0); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 4.8 fantasy points for Reggie Virgil, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The market-based projection for Reggie Virgil is 23 receiving yards, 1-2 receptions and 0.2 touchdowns (5, 6 and 8 market sources).

No Week 10 player market is posted for Brian Thomas Jr. yet. His market-based projections were 3.7 and 4.0 points in Weeks 8 and 9, an average of 3.9, which stands in until his Week 10 market posts.

The market-based projection for Brian Thomas Jr. is 0.2 touchdowns (14 market sources).

That puts Reggie Virgil 1.0 points ahead of Brian Thomas Jr. on these projections.

Week 10 matchups

Reggie Virgil and ARI host LAR on Sunday at 4:05 PM ET.

LAR allowed 26.8 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 8 games, the 5th fewest in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 112 yards and a touchdown a game against LAR.

Brian Thomas Jr. and JAX visit TEN on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

TEN allowed 40.7 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 8 games, the most in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 195 yards and 0.9 touchdowns a game against TEN.

By points allowed to the position, Brian Thomas Jr. has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Reggie Virgil is not on the injury report.

Brian Thomas Jr. is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 10

Through Week 9, Reggie Virgil played 21 percent of ARI snaps, drew 6 percent of the targets, earned 12 percent of the air yards and had 3 percent of the red zone chances.

Reggie Virgil, Week 6 against LAR: 3 of 72 snaps, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Reggie Virgil, Week 7 against DEN: 3 of 81 snaps, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Reggie Virgil, Week 8 against DAL: 38 of 81 snaps, 2 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Reggie Virgil, Week 9 against SEA: 18 of 53 snaps, 4 targets and 1 catch for 25 yards.

Through Week 9, Brian Thomas Jr. played 43 percent of JAX snaps, drew 5 percent of the targets, earned 10 percent of the air yards and had 7 percent of the red zone chances.

Brian Thomas Jr., Week 8 against IND: 28 of 54 snaps, 2 targets and 1 catch for 12 yards, 1 touchdown.

Brian Thomas Jr., Week 9 against BAL: 19 of 56 snaps, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Brian Thomas Jr. played 14 games for JAX and scored 138.8 PPR points, 9.9 a game, finishing WR42.

He caught 48 of 91 targets for 707 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 6 red zone targets and 548 air yards.

He was on the field for 79 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Brian Thomas Jr., Week 18 of 2025 against TEN: 5 targets and 3 catches for 49 yards, 7.9 PPR points.

Their other Week 10 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 10, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Reggie Virgil for Brian Thomas Jr.?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Brian Thomas Jr. projects 35 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (4.4 a game over 8 games), Reggie Virgil 30 (4.3 a game over 7 games). For Week 10 the call starts Reggie Virgil over Brian Thomas Jr. So make the move after his Week 10 game.

  • Should I drop Brian Thomas Jr. for Reggie Virgil?

    No. Keep Brian Thomas Jr.: he projects 35 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (4.4 a game over 8 games), Reggie Virgil 30 (4.3 a game over 7 games). For Week 10 the call starts Reggie Virgil over Brian Thomas Jr.

Should I drop Brian Thomas Jr.?

Week 10 on the board

Elsewhere on the board