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Start Brian Thomas Jr. or Tez Johnson? Week 8

Updated Oct 27, 12:21 PM ET.

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Start

WR · TB · vs ATL

Market projects
5.1
recent weeks avg
ATL D vs WR
34.4
11th most to WRs (2026)
Upside
Moderate
57 of 100 at WR
Snap share
38%
Through Week 7
Target share
8%
Through Week 7
Sit

WR · JAX · vs IND

Market projects
4.7
recent weeks avg
IND D vs WR
29.0
8th fewest to WRs (2026)
Upside
Limited
31 of 100 at WR

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Our Week 8 call

Start Tez Johnson over Brian Thomas Jr. in Week 8.

Market-based projections have Tez Johnson at 5.1 points and Brian Thomas Jr. at 4.7, a gap of 0.4. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. No player market is posted for Tez Johnson this week yet, so his 5.1 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 5 and 7 (3.6 and 6.6); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for Brian Thomas Jr. this week yet, so his 4.7 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 5 and 6 (5.1 and 4.4); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.

What the market projects

No Week 8 player market is posted for Tez Johnson yet. His market-based projections were 3.6 and 6.6 points in Weeks 5 and 7, an average of 5.1, which stands in until his Week 8 market posts.

No Week 8 player market is posted for Brian Thomas Jr. yet. His market-based projections were 5.1 and 4.4 points in Weeks 5 and 6, an average of 4.7, which stands in until his Week 8 market posts.

That puts Tez Johnson 0.4 points ahead of Brian Thomas Jr. on these projections.

Week 8 matchups

Tez Johnson and TB host ATL on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

ATL allowed 34.4 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 7 games, the 11th most in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 170 yards and 0.6 touchdowns a game against ATL.

Brian Thomas Jr. and JAX host IND on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

IND allowed 29.0 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 7 games, the 8th fewest in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 142 yards and 0.7 touchdowns a game against IND.

By points allowed to the position, Tez Johnson has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Tez Johnson is not on the injury report.

Brian Thomas Jr. is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 8

Through Week 7, Tez Johnson played 38 percent of TB snaps, drew 8 percent of the targets, earned 20 percent of the air yards and had 6 percent of the red zone chances.

Tez Johnson, Week 4 against GB: 35 of 64 snaps, 1 carry for 10 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 17 yards.

Tez Johnson, Week 5 against DAL: 28 of 72 snaps, 1 target and 1 catch for 64 yards.

Tez Johnson, Week 6 against PIT: 25 of 74 snaps, 3 targets and 2 catches for 7 yards.

Tez Johnson, Week 7 against CAR: 41 of 63 snaps, 1 carry for 14 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 33 yards, 1 touchdown.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Tez Johnson played 16 games for TB and scored 92.4 PPR points, 5.8 a game, finishing WR67.

He caught 28 of 44 targets for 322 yards and 5 touchdowns, with 4 red zone targets and 212 air yards.

He was on the field for 47 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Brian Thomas Jr. played 14 games for JAX and scored 138.8 PPR points, 9.9 a game, finishing WR42.

He caught 48 of 91 targets for 707 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 6 red zone targets and 548 air yards.

He was on the field for 79 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Brian Thomas Jr., Week 18 of 2025 against TEN: 5 targets and 3 catches for 49 yards, 7.9 PPR points.

Brian Thomas Jr., Week 17 of 2025 against IND: 54 of 69 snaps, 7 targets and 4 catches for 39 yards, 7.9 PPR points.

Brian Thomas Jr., Week 16 of 2025 against DEN: 51 of 70 snaps, 3 targets and 2 catches for 18 yards, 3.8 PPR points.

Their other Week 8 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 8, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Week 8 on the board

Elsewhere on the board