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Start Joe Burrow or Brock Purdy? Week 10

Updated Nov 10, 1:36 PM ET.

Start Joe Burrow over Brock Purdy

Start

Joe Burrow

QB · CIN · vs PIT

Market projects
23.5
fantasy pts
PIT D vs QB
12.9
3rd fewest to QBs (2026)
Upside
Rising
77 of 100 at QB
Snap share
99%
Through Week 9
Sit

Brock Purdy

QB · SF · at DAL

Market projects
19.4
fantasy pts
DAL D vs QB
20.5
6th most to QBs (2026)
Upside
High
100 of 100 at QB
Snap share
97%
Through Week 9

Should I drop Joe Burrow for Brock Purdy?

Not on these numbers alone. Joe Burrow projects 138 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (17.3 a game over 8 games) and Brock Purdy 143 (17.9 a game over 8 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 10 the call starts Joe Burrow over Brock Purdy, 23.5 to 19.4 projected PPR points.

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Joe Burrow rookie cardsBrock Purdy rookie cards

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Our Week 10 call

Start Joe Burrow over Brock Purdy in Week 10.

Market-based projections have Joe Burrow at 23.5 points and Brock Purdy at 19.4, a gap of 4.1. Joe Burrow's number is scaled up from a partial market: not every stat the position needs is posted yet, so the rest is estimated from what is. Drafters take Joe Burrow at ADP 55 and Brock Purdy at 86.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 23.5 fantasy points for Joe Burrow, with 80 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Joe Burrow is 287 passing yards, 2-3 passing touchdowns and 0.1 rushing touchdowns (9, 11 and 11 market sources).

Player markets imply 19.4 fantasy points for Brock Purdy, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Brock Purdy is 255 passing yards, 1-2 passing touchdowns, 18 rushing yards and 0.3 rushing touchdowns (5, 5, 5 and 7 market sources).

That puts Joe Burrow 4.1 points ahead of Brock Purdy on the market projections.

Week 10 matchups

Joe Burrow and CIN host PIT on Sunday at 8:20 PM ET.

PIT allowed 12.9 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 8 games, the 3rd fewest in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 242 yards and 0.9 touchdowns a game against PIT, with 0.9 interceptions a game.

Brock Purdy and SF visit DAL on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET.

DAL allowed 20.5 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 8 games, the 6th most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 244 yards and 1.9 touchdowns a game against DAL, with 0.4 interceptions a game.

By points allowed to the position, Brock Purdy has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Joe Burrow is not on the injury report.

Brock Purdy is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 10

Through Week 9, Joe Burrow played 99 percent of CIN snaps, dropped back 321 times and threw an average of 7.5 air yards per attempt.

Joe Burrow, Week 5 against MIA: 65 of 65 snaps, 23 of 32 passes for 190 yards, 4 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 12 yards.

Joe Burrow, Week 7 against BAL: 50 of 53 snaps, 22 of 30 passes for 292 yards, 4 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 12 yards.

Joe Burrow, Week 8 against TEN: 74 of 74 snaps, 38 of 48 passes for 462 yards, 5 touchdowns and 3 interceptions, 3 carries for 10 yards.

Joe Burrow, Week 9 against ATL: 57 of 57 snaps, 24 of 29 passes for 271 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 8 yards.

Through Week 9, Brock Purdy played 97 percent of SF snaps, dropped back 261 times and threw an average of 8.1 air yards per attempt.

Brock Purdy, Week 5 against SEA: 60 of 60 snaps, 19 of 29 passes for 189 yards, 2 touchdowns and 1 interception, 3 carries for 8 yards.

Brock Purdy, Week 6 against WAS: 62 of 62 snaps, 21 of 29 passes for 264 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 5 carries for 28 yards.

Brock Purdy, Week 7 against ATL: 66 of 66 snaps, 27 of 39 passes for 288 yards, 1 touchdown and 2 interceptions, 2 carries for 5 yards.

Brock Purdy, Week 9 against LV: 67 of 73 snaps, 17 of 25 passes for 232 yards, 2 touchdowns and 1 interception, 7 carries for 40 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Joe Burrow played 8 games for CIN and scored 139.5 PPR points, 17.4 a game, finishing QB29.

He completed 173 of 259 passes for 1809 yards, 17 touchdowns and 5 interceptions, and ran 14 times for 41 yards and 0 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 86 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Brock Purdy played 9 games for SF and scored 187.4 PPR points, 20.8 a game, finishing QB24.

He completed 197 of 284 passes for 2167 yards, 20 touchdowns and 10 interceptions, and ran 33 times for 147 yards and 3 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 98 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 10 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 10, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Joe Burrow for Brock Purdy?

    Not on these numbers alone. Joe Burrow projects 138 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (17.3 a game over 8 games) and Brock Purdy 143 (17.9 a game over 8 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 10 the call starts Joe Burrow over Brock Purdy, 23.5 to 19.4 projected PPR points.

  • Should I drop Brock Purdy for Joe Burrow?

    Not on these numbers alone. Brock Purdy projects 143 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (17.9 a game over 8 games) and Joe Burrow 138 (17.3 a game over 8 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 10 the call starts Joe Burrow over Brock Purdy, 23.5 to 19.4 projected PPR points.

Week 10 on the board

Elsewhere on the board