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Start Joe Burrow or C.J. Stroud? Week 10

Updated Nov 10, 1:36 PM ET.

Start Joe Burrow over C.J. Stroud

Start

Joe Burrow

QB · CIN · vs PIT

Market projects
23.5
fantasy pts
PIT D vs QB
12.9
3rd fewest to QBs (2026)
Upside
Rising
77 of 100 at QB
Snap share
99%
Through Week 9
Sit

C.J. Stroud

QB · HOU · at CLE

Market projects
17.4
recent weeks avg
CLE D vs QB
14.8
8th fewest to QBs (2026)
Upside
Moderate
53 of 100 at QB
Snap share
98%
Through Week 9

Should I drop C.J. Stroud for Joe Burrow?

Not on these numbers alone. C.J. Stroud projects 134 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (16.8 a game over 8 games) and Joe Burrow 138 (17.3 a game over 8 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 10 the call starts Joe Burrow over C.J. Stroud.

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Joe Burrow rookie cardsC.J. Stroud rookie cards

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Our Week 10 call

Start Joe Burrow over C.J. Stroud in Week 10.

Market-based projections have Joe Burrow at 23.5 points and C.J. Stroud at 17.4, a gap of 6.1. Joe Burrow's number is scaled up from a partial market: not every stat the position needs is posted yet, so the rest is estimated from what is. No player market is posted for C.J. Stroud this week yet, so his 17.4 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 7 and 9 (17.8 and 16.9); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. Drafters take Joe Burrow at ADP 55 and C.J. Stroud at 185.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 23.5 fantasy points for Joe Burrow, with 80 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Joe Burrow is 287 passing yards, 2-3 passing touchdowns and 0.1 rushing touchdowns (10, 11 and 11 market sources).

No Week 10 player market is posted for C.J. Stroud yet. His market-based projections were 17.8 and 16.9 points in Weeks 7 and 9, an average of 17.4, which stands in until his Week 10 market posts.

That puts Joe Burrow 6.1 points ahead of C.J. Stroud on these projections.

Week 10 matchups

Joe Burrow and CIN host PIT on Sunday at 8:20 PM ET.

PIT allowed 12.9 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 8 games, the 3rd fewest in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 242 yards and 0.9 touchdowns a game against PIT, with 0.9 interceptions a game.

C.J. Stroud and HOU visit CLE on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

CLE allowed 14.8 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 9 games, the 8th fewest in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 220 yards and 1.3 touchdowns a game against CLE, with 0.7 interceptions a game.

By points allowed to the position, C.J. Stroud has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Joe Burrow is not on the injury report.

C.J. Stroud is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 10

Through Week 9, Joe Burrow played 99 percent of CIN snaps, dropped back 321 times and threw an average of 7.5 air yards per attempt.

Joe Burrow, Week 5 against MIA: 65 of 65 snaps, 23 of 32 passes for 190 yards, 4 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 12 yards.

Joe Burrow, Week 7 against BAL: 50 of 53 snaps, 22 of 30 passes for 292 yards, 4 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 12 yards.

Joe Burrow, Week 8 against TEN: 74 of 74 snaps, 38 of 48 passes for 462 yards, 5 touchdowns and 3 interceptions, 3 carries for 10 yards.

Joe Burrow, Week 9 against ATL: 57 of 57 snaps, 24 of 29 passes for 271 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 8 yards.

Through Week 9, C.J. Stroud played 98 percent of HOU snaps, dropped back 304 times and threw an average of 9.7 air yards per attempt.

C.J. Stroud, Week 5 against TEN: 66 of 66 snaps, 26 of 34 passes for 261 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 4 carries for 7 yards.

C.J. Stroud, Week 6 against JAX: 63 of 63 snaps, 24 of 34 passes for 312 yards, 3 touchdowns and 1 interception, 1 carry for 5 yards.

C.J. Stroud, Week 7 against NYG: 61 of 61 snaps, 17 of 28 passes for 153 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 4 yards.

C.J. Stroud, Week 9 against LAC: 62 of 70 snaps, 21 of 35 passes for 384 yards, 5 touchdowns and 1 interception, 2 carries for 20 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Joe Burrow played 8 games for CIN and scored 139.5 PPR points, 17.4 a game, finishing QB29.

He completed 173 of 259 passes for 1809 yards, 17 touchdowns and 5 interceptions, and ran 14 times for 41 yards and 0 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 86 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, C.J. Stroud played 14 games for HOU and scored 216.5 PPR points, 15.5 a game, finishing QB21.

He completed 273 of 423 passes for 3041 yards, 19 touchdowns and 8 interceptions, and ran 48 times for 209 yards and 1 touchdown.

He was on the field for 93 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 10 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 10, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop C.J. Stroud for Joe Burrow?

    Not on these numbers alone. C.J. Stroud projects 134 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (16.8 a game over 8 games) and Joe Burrow 138 (17.3 a game over 8 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 10 the call starts Joe Burrow over C.J. Stroud.

  • Should I drop Joe Burrow for C.J. Stroud?

    Not on these numbers alone. Joe Burrow projects 138 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (17.3 a game over 8 games) and C.J. Stroud 134 (16.8 a game over 8 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 10 the call starts Joe Burrow over C.J. Stroud.

Week 10 on the board

Elsewhere on the board