Start Bucky Irving or Ollie Gordon II? Week 7

Updated Oct 21, 11:16 PM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 8 answer posts Tuesday.

Latest

Oct 21, 3:43 PM ET: Bucky Irving: Listed Questionable (Illness) (Sleeper injury feed)

Start Bucky Irving over Ollie Gordon II

Start

Bucky Irving

RB · TB · at CAR · Questionable

Market projects: 15.8; fantasy pts
CAR D vs RB: 25.7; 5th most to RBs (2026)
Upside: Moderate; 58 of 100 at RB
Snap share: 65%; Through Week 6
Target share: 11%; Through Week 6

Sit

Ollie Gordon II

RB · MIA · at NYJ

Market projects: 9.7; fantasy pts
NYJ D vs RB: 21.9; 14th most to RBs (2026)
Upside: High; 89 of 100 at RB

Should I drop Ollie Gordon II for Bucky Irving?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Bucky Irving projects 117 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (11.7 a game over 10 games), Ollie Gordon II 110 (10.0 a game over 11 games). For Week 7 the call starts Bucky Irving over Ollie Gordon II, 15.8 to 9.7 projected PPR points. Bucky Irving is listed questionable.

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Our Week 7 call

Start Bucky Irving over Ollie Gordon II in Week 7.

Market-based projections have Bucky Irving at 15.8 points and Ollie Gordon II at 9.7, a gap of 6.1. Bucky Irving's number is scaled up from a partial market: not every stat the position needs is posted yet, so the rest is estimated from what is. Market coverage on Bucky Irving is 70 percent of what his position needs, so the market side of this carries proportionally less weight.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 15.8 fantasy points for Bucky Irving, with 70 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Bucky Irving is 66 rushing yards and 0.6 touchdowns (13 and 12 market sources).

Player markets imply 9.7 fantasy points for Ollie Gordon II, with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Ollie Gordon II is 50 rushing yards, 8 receiving yards, 1-2 receptions and 0.4 touchdowns (12, 11, 9 and 11 market sources).

That puts Bucky Irving 6.1 points ahead of Ollie Gordon II on the market projections.

Week 7 matchups

Bucky Irving and TB visit CAR on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

CAR allowed 25.7 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 5 games, the 5th most in the league.

Running backs ran for 103 yards and 1.2 touchdowns a game against CAR and caught passes for 34 more yards.

Ollie Gordon II and MIA visit NYJ on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

NYJ allowed 21.9 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 6 games, the 14th most in the league.

Running backs ran for 106 yards and 0.7 touchdowns a game against NYJ and caught passes for 25 more yards.

By points allowed to the position, Bucky Irving has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Bucky Irving is listed as questionable with a illness injury.

Ollie Gordon II is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 7

Through Week 6, Bucky Irving played 65 percent of TB snaps, took 61 percent of the carries, drew 11 percent of the targets and had 38 percent of the red zone chances.

Bucky Irving, Week 3 against MIN: 36 of 69 snaps, 15 carries for 46 yards, 4 targets and 2 catches for 12 yards.

Bucky Irving, Week 4 against GB: 37 of 64 snaps, 16 carries for 61 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Bucky Irving, Week 5 against DAL: 39 of 72 snaps, 21 carries for 165 yards, 3 targets and 2 catches for 10 yards, 2 touchdowns.

Bucky Irving, Week 6 against PIT: 63 of 74 snaps, 19 carries for 46 yards, 3 targets and 2 catches for 3 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Bucky Irving played 10 games for TB and scored 138.5 PPR points, 13.9 a game, finishing RB34.

He ran 173 times for 588 yards and 1 touchdown, and caught 30 of 35 targets for 277 yards.

He was on the field for 62 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Ollie Gordon II played 17 games for MIA and scored 54.1 PPR points, 3.2 a game, finishing RB68.

He ran 70 times for 199 yards and 3 touchdowns, and caught 7 of 9 targets for 32 yards.

He was on the field for 22 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Ollie Gordon II, Week 18 of 2025 against NE: 9 carries for 9 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 2 yards, 2.1 PPR points.

Ollie Gordon II, Week 17 of 2025 against TB: 8 of 55 snaps, 0 carries for 0 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Ollie Gordon II, Week 16 of 2025 against CIN: 3 of 59 snaps, 1 carry for -1 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards, -0.1 PPR points.

Their other Week 7 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 7, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop Ollie Gordon II for Bucky Irving?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Bucky Irving projects 117 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (11.7 a game over 10 games), Ollie Gordon II 110 (10.0 a game over 11 games). For Week 7 the call starts Bucky Irving over Ollie Gordon II, 15.8 to 9.7 projected PPR points. Bucky Irving is listed questionable.
Should I drop Bucky Irving for Ollie Gordon II?
No. Keep Bucky Irving: he projects 117 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (11.7 a game over 10 games), Ollie Gordon II 110 (10.0 a game over 11 games). For Week 7 the call starts Bucky Irving over Ollie Gordon II, 15.8 to 9.7 projected PPR points. Bucky Irving is listed questionable.