Start Garrett Wilson or Carnell Tate? Week 7

Updated Oct 19, 10:06 PM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 8 answer posts Tuesday.

Start Garrett Wilson over Carnell Tate

Start

Garrett Wilson

WR · NYJ · vs MIA

Market projects: 16.4; recent weeks avg
MIA D vs WR: 23.2; 2nd fewest to WRs (2026)
Snap share: 89%; Through Week 6
Target share: 29%; Through Week 6

Sit

Carnell Tate

WR · TEN · vs CLE

Market projects: 11.1; recent weeks avg
CLE D vs WR: 36.0; 10th most to WRs (2026)
Snap share: 82%; Through Week 6
Target share: 27%; Through Week 6

Should I drop Carnell Tate for Garrett Wilson?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Garrett Wilson projects 162 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (16.2 a game over 10 games), Carnell Tate 105 (10.5 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Garrett Wilson over Carnell Tate.

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Our Week 7 call

Start Garrett Wilson over Carnell Tate in Week 7.

Market-based projections have Garrett Wilson at 16.4 points and Carnell Tate at 11.1, a gap of 5.3. No player market is posted for Garrett Wilson this week yet, so his 16.4 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 4 and 5 (16.7 and 16.0); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for Carnell Tate this week yet, so his 11.1 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 4 and 5 (11.8 and 10.4); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. Drafters take Garrett Wilson at ADP 27 and Carnell Tate at 81.

What the market projects

No Week 7 player market is posted for Garrett Wilson yet. His market-based projections were 16.7 and 16.0 points in Weeks 4 and 5, an average of 16.4, which stands in until his Week 7 market posts.

No Week 7 player market is posted for Carnell Tate yet. His market-based projections were 11.8 and 10.4 points in Weeks 4 and 5, an average of 11.1, which stands in until his Week 7 market posts.

That puts Garrett Wilson 5.3 points ahead of Carnell Tate on these projections.

Week 7 matchups

Garrett Wilson and NYJ host MIA on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

MIA allowed 23.2 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 5 games, the 2nd fewest in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 110 yards and 0.4 touchdowns a game against MIA.

Carnell Tate and TEN host CLE on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

CLE allowed 36.0 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 5 games, the 10th most in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 165 yards and 1.4 touchdowns a game against CLE.

By points allowed to the position, Carnell Tate has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Garrett Wilson is not on the injury report.

Carnell Tate is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 7

Through Week 6, Garrett Wilson played 89 percent of NYJ snaps, drew 29 percent of the targets, earned 37 percent of the air yards and had 9 percent of the red zone chances.

Garrett Wilson, Week 3 against DET: 62 of 66 snaps, 13 targets and 10 catches for 107 yards, 1 touchdown.

Garrett Wilson, Week 4 against CHI: 32 of 32 snaps, 4 targets and 3 catches for 27 yards.

Garrett Wilson, Week 5 against CLE: 65 of 70 snaps, 11 targets and 7 catches for 104 yards, 1 touchdown.

Garrett Wilson, Week 6 against NE: 6 targets and 4 catches for 44 yards.

Through Week 6, Carnell Tate played 82 percent of TEN snaps, drew 27 percent of the targets, earned 48 percent of the air yards and had 4 percent of the red zone chances.

Carnell Tate, Week 3 against NYG: 53 of 60 snaps, 9 targets and 6 catches for 58 yards.

Carnell Tate, Week 4 against BAL: 54 of 64 snaps, 12 targets and 9 catches for 145 yards.

Carnell Tate, Week 5 against HOU: 48 of 63 snaps, 5 targets and 1 catch for 6 yards.

Carnell Tate, Week 6 against IND: 7 targets and 6 catches for 70 yards, 1 touchdown.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Garrett Wilson played 7 games for NYJ and scored 99.5 PPR points, 14.2 a game, finishing WR62.

He caught 36 of 59 targets for 395 yards and 4 touchdowns, with 2 red zone targets and 291 air yards.

He was on the field for 89 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 7 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 7, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop Carnell Tate for Garrett Wilson?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Garrett Wilson projects 162 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (16.2 a game over 10 games), Carnell Tate 105 (10.5 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Garrett Wilson over Carnell Tate.
Should I drop Garrett Wilson for Carnell Tate?
No. Keep Garrett Wilson: he projects 162 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (16.2 a game over 10 games), Carnell Tate 105 (10.5 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Garrett Wilson over Carnell Tate.