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Start Justin Jefferson or Chris Olave? Week 10

Updated Nov 10, 3:41 PM ET.

Start

WR · MIN · at GB

Market projects
16.8
recent weeks avg
GB D vs WR
34.8
8th most to WRs (2026)
Upside
Rising
82 of 100 at WR
Snap share
80%
Through Week 9
Target share
29%
Through Week 9
Sit

WR · NO · vs CAR

Market projects
15.5
recent weeks avg
CAR D vs WR
29.8
13th fewest to WRs (2026)
Upside
High
85 of 100 at WR
Snap share
81%
Through Week 9
Target share
28%
Through Week 9

Should I drop Justin Jefferson for Chris Olave?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Chris Olave projects 137 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (17.1 a game over 8 games), Justin Jefferson 124 (15.5 a game over 8 games). For Week 10 the call starts Justin Jefferson over Chris Olave. So make the move after his Week 10 game.

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Our Week 10 call

Start Justin Jefferson over Chris Olave in Week 10.

Market-based projections have Justin Jefferson at 16.8 points and Chris Olave at 15.5, a gap of 1.2. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. No player market is posted for Justin Jefferson this week yet, so his 16.8 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 7, 8 and 9 (15.8, 16.8 and 17.7); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for Chris Olave this week yet, so his 15.5 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 7 and 9 (15.4 and 15.7); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. Drafters take Justin Jefferson at ADP 14 and Chris Olave at 25.

What the market projects

No Week 10 player market is posted for Justin Jefferson yet. His market-based projections were 15.8, 16.8 and 17.7 points in Weeks 7, 8 and 9, an average of 16.8, which stands in until his Week 10 market posts.

No Week 10 player market is posted for Chris Olave yet. His market-based projections were 15.4 and 15.7 points in Weeks 7 and 9, an average of 15.5, which stands in until his Week 10 market posts.

The market-based projection for Chris Olave is 0-1 touchdowns (8 market sources).

That puts Justin Jefferson 1.2 points ahead of Chris Olave on these projections.

Week 10 matchups

Justin Jefferson and MIN visit GB on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

GB allowed 34.8 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 8 games, the 8th most in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 152 yards and 0.9 touchdowns a game against GB.

Chris Olave and NO host CAR on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

CAR allowed 29.8 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 7 games, the 13th fewest in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 144 yards and 0.6 touchdowns a game against CAR.

By points allowed to the position, Justin Jefferson has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Justin Jefferson is not on the injury report.

Chris Olave is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 10

Through Week 9, Justin Jefferson played 80 percent of MIN snaps, drew 29 percent of the targets, earned 33 percent of the air yards and had 19 percent of the red zone chances.

Justin Jefferson, Week 5 against NO: 63 of 71 snaps, 1 carry for -11 yards, 7 targets and 6 catches for 79 yards, 1 touchdown.

Justin Jefferson, Week 7 against IND: 55 of 59 snaps, 7 targets and 4 catches for 44 yards.

Justin Jefferson, Week 8 against DET: 51 of 53 snaps, 9 targets and 5 catches for 33 yards, 1 touchdown.

Justin Jefferson, Week 9 against BUF: 11 targets and 3 catches for 58 yards.

Through Week 9, Chris Olave played 81 percent of NO snaps, drew 28 percent of the targets, earned 47 percent of the air yards and had 10 percent of the red zone chances.

Chris Olave, Week 5 against MIN: 41 of 45 snaps, 6 targets and 4 catches for 46 yards.

Chris Olave, Week 6 against NYG: 42 of 72 snaps, 7 targets and 4 catches for 43 yards, 1 touchdown.

Chris Olave, Week 7 against PIT: 44 of 57 snaps, 10 targets and 6 catches for 56 yards.

Chris Olave, Week 9 against CLE: 64 of 75 snaps, 12 targets and 7 catches for 98 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Justin Jefferson played 17 games for MIN and scored 201.5 PPR points, 11.9 a game, finishing WR21.

He caught 84 of 141 targets for 1048 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 17 red zone targets and 597 air yards.

He was on the field for 95 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Chris Olave played 16 games for NO and scored 269.0 PPR points, 16.8 a game, finishing WR6.

He caught 100 of 156 targets for 1163 yards and 9 touchdowns, with 13 red zone targets and 874 air yards.

He was on the field for 84 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 10 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 10, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Justin Jefferson for Chris Olave?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Chris Olave projects 137 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (17.1 a game over 8 games), Justin Jefferson 124 (15.5 a game over 8 games). For Week 10 the call starts Justin Jefferson over Chris Olave. So make the move after his Week 10 game.

  • Should I drop Chris Olave for Justin Jefferson?

    No. Keep Chris Olave: he projects 137 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (17.1 a game over 8 games), Justin Jefferson 124 (15.5 a game over 8 games). For Week 10 the call starts Justin Jefferson over Chris Olave.

Week 10 on the board

Elsewhere on the board