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Start Jaylin Noel or Christian Kirk? Week 7

Updated Oct 24, 7:11 PM ET.

Start Christian Kirk over Jaylin Noel

Start

Christian Kirk

WR · SF · at ATL

Market projects
6.7
fantasy pts
ATL D vs WR
37.0
6th most to WRs (2026)
Sit

Jaylin Noel

WR · HOU · vs NYG

Market projects
6.5
fantasy pts
NYG D vs WR
31.1
14th fewest to WRs (2026)
Upside
Moderate
62 of 100 at WR
Snap share
46%
Through Week 6
Target share
10%
Through Week 6

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Our Week 7 call

Start Christian Kirk over Jaylin Noel in Week 7.

Market-based projections have Christian Kirk at 6.7 points and Jaylin Noel at 6.5, a gap of 0.2. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 6.7 fantasy points for Christian Kirk, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The market-based projection for Christian Kirk is 27 receiving yards, 2-3 receptions and 0.2 touchdowns (11, 12 and 11 market sources).

Player markets imply 6.5 fantasy points for Jaylin Noel, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The market-based projection for Jaylin Noel is 27 receiving yards, 2-3 receptions and 0.2 touchdowns (13, 13 and 12 market sources).

That puts Christian Kirk 0.2 points ahead of Jaylin Noel on the market projections.

Week 7 matchups

Christian Kirk and SF visit ATL on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

ATL allowed 37.0 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 6 games, the 6th most in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 180 yards and 0.7 touchdowns a game against ATL.

Jaylin Noel and HOU host NYG on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

NYG allowed 31.1 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 6 games, the 14th fewest in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 132 yards and 1.2 touchdowns a game against NYG.

By points allowed to the position, Christian Kirk has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Christian Kirk is not on the injury report.

Jaylin Noel is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 7

Through Week 6, Jaylin Noel played 46 percent of HOU snaps, drew 10 percent of the targets, earned 11 percent of the air yards and had 6 percent of the red zone chances.

Jaylin Noel, Week 3 against IND: 14 of 54 snaps, 1 carry for 8 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 17 yards.

Jaylin Noel, Week 4 against DAL: 34 of 55 snaps, 1 carry for 4 yards, 3 targets and 3 catches for 85 yards.

Jaylin Noel, Week 5 against TEN: 30 of 66 snaps, 1 carry for 1 yards, 5 targets and 5 catches for 41 yards, 1 touchdown.

Jaylin Noel, Week 6 against JAX: 31 of 63 snaps, 4 targets and 4 catches for 107 yards, 1 touchdown.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Christian Kirk played 13 games for HOU and scored 57.9 PPR points, 4.5 a game, finishing WR100.

He caught 28 of 52 targets for 239 yards and 1 touchdown, with 6 red zone targets and 124 air yards.

He was on the field for 48 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Christian Kirk, Week 18 of 2025 against IND: 2 targets and 1 catch for -3 yards, 0.7 PPR points.

Christian Kirk, Week 17 of 2025 against LAC: 29 of 65 snaps, 5 targets and 2 catches for 1 yards, 2.1 PPR points.

Christian Kirk, Week 16 of 2025 against LV: 40 of 65 snaps, 5 targets and 3 catches for 37 yards, 6.7 PPR points.

In 2025, Jaylin Noel played 17 games for HOU and scored 68.4 PPR points, 4.0 a game, finishing WR91.

He caught 26 of 35 targets for 292 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 5 red zone targets and 193 air yards.

He was on the field for 27 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 7 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 7, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Week 7 on the board

Elsewhere on the board