Start Christian Watson or Jaylen Waddle? Week 7

Updated Oct 20, 3:51 PM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 8 answer posts Tuesday.

Start Christian Watson over Jaylen Waddle

Start

Christian Watson

WR · GB · at DET

Market projects: 15.3; fantasy pts
DET D vs WR: 41.0; 2nd most to WRs (2026)
Upside: High; 97 of 100 at WR
Snap share: 81%; Through Week 6
Target share: 22%; Through Week 6

Sit

Jaylen Waddle

WR · DEN · at ARI · Questionable

Market projects: 11.9; recent weeks avg
ARI D vs WR: 34.9; 10th most to WRs (2026)
Upside: Moderate; 57 of 100 at WR
Snap share: 68%; Through Week 6
Target share: 22%; Through Week 6

Should I drop Jaylen Waddle for Christian Watson?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Christian Watson projects 143 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (14.3 a game over 10 games), Jaylen Waddle 123 (12.3 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Christian Watson over Jaylen Waddle. Jaylen Waddle is listed questionable.

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Our Week 7 call

Start Christian Watson over Jaylen Waddle in Week 7.

Market-based projections have Christian Watson at 15.3 points and Jaylen Waddle at 11.9, a gap of 3.4. No player market is posted for Jaylen Waddle this week yet, so his 11.9 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 4, 5 and 6 (12.5, 12.4 and 10.8); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. Drafters take Christian Watson at ADP 58 and Jaylen Waddle at 43.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 15.3 fantasy points for Christian Watson, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The market-based projection for Christian Watson is 75 receiving yards, 4-5 receptions and 0.6 touchdowns (11, 9 and 12 market sources).

No Week 7 player market is posted for Jaylen Waddle yet. His market-based projections were 12.5, 12.4 and 10.8 points in Weeks 4, 5 and 6, an average of 11.9, which stands in until his Week 7 market posts.

The market-based projection for Jaylen Waddle is 0-1 touchdowns (7 market sources).

That puts Christian Watson 3.4 points ahead of Jaylen Waddle on these projections.

Week 7 matchups

Christian Watson and GB visit DET on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET.

DET allowed 41.0 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 5 games, the 2nd most in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 195 yards and a touchdown a game against DET.

Jaylen Waddle and DEN visit ARI on Sunday at 4:05 PM ET.

ARI allowed 34.9 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 6 games, the 10th most in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 153 yards and 1.7 touchdowns a game against ARI.

By points allowed to the position, Christian Watson has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Christian Watson is not on the injury report.

Jaylen Waddle is listed as questionable with a shoulder injury.

Usage before Week 7

Through Week 6, Christian Watson played 81 percent of GB snaps, drew 22 percent of the targets, earned 33 percent of the air yards and had 11 percent of the red zone chances.

Christian Watson, Week 3 against ATL: 53 of 66 snaps, 10 targets and 7 catches for 96 yards, 1 touchdown.

Christian Watson, Week 4 against TB: 41 of 60 snaps, 3 targets and 3 catches for 47 yards.

Christian Watson, Week 5 against CHI: 49 of 61 snaps, 8 targets and 6 catches for 143 yards, 2 touchdowns.

Christian Watson, Week 6 against DAL: 66 of 75 snaps, 8 targets and 3 catches for 64 yards.

Through Week 6, Jaylen Waddle played 68 percent of DEN snaps, drew 22 percent of the targets, earned 38 percent of the air yards and had 7 percent of the red zone chances.

Jaylen Waddle, Week 3 against LAR: 49 of 67 snaps, 1 carry for 14 yards, 7 targets and 2 catches for 10 yards.

Jaylen Waddle, Week 4 against SF: 45 of 65 snaps, 6 targets and 5 catches for 35 yards, 1 touchdown.

Jaylen Waddle, Week 5 against LAC: 40 of 62 snaps, 1 carry for 9 yards, 5 targets and 2 catches for 19 yards.

Jaylen Waddle, Week 6 against SEA: 39 of 60 snaps, 7 targets and 4 catches for 24 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Christian Watson played 10 games for GB and scored 132.4 PPR points, 13.2 a game, finishing WR46.

He caught 35 of 55 targets for 611 yards and 6 touchdowns, with 6 red zone targets and 493 air yards.

He was on the field for 68 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Jaylen Waddle played 16 games for MIA and scored 194.1 PPR points, 12.1 a game, finishing WR24.

He caught 64 of 100 targets for 910 yards and 6 touchdowns, with 11 red zone targets and 682 air yards.

He was on the field for 78 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 7 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 7, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop Jaylen Waddle for Christian Watson?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Christian Watson projects 143 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (14.3 a game over 10 games), Jaylen Waddle 123 (12.3 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Christian Watson over Jaylen Waddle. Jaylen Waddle is listed questionable.
Should I drop Christian Watson for Jaylen Waddle?
No. Keep Christian Watson: he projects 143 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (14.3 a game over 10 games), Jaylen Waddle 123 (12.3 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Christian Watson over Jaylen Waddle. Jaylen Waddle is listed questionable.