Start Jaylen Waddle or Carnell Tate? Week 7

Updated Oct 20, 4:16 PM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 8 answer posts Tuesday.

Waddle projects lower, 11.9 to 12.2, and still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player: ADP 43 for Waddle, 81 for Tate.

Start

Jaylen Waddle

WR · DEN · at ARI · Questionable

Market projects: 11.9; recent weeks avg
ARI D vs WR: 34.9; 10th most to WRs (2026)
Upside: Moderate; 57 of 100 at WR
Snap share: 68%; Through Week 6
Target share: 22%; Through Week 6

Sit

Carnell Tate

WR · TEN · vs CLE

Market projects: 12.2; fantasy pts
CLE D vs WR: 33.5; 12th most to WRs (2026)
Upside: Moderate; 62 of 100 at WR
Snap share: 81%; Through Week 6
Target share: 27%; Through Week 6

Should I drop Carnell Tate for Jaylen Waddle?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Jaylen Waddle projects 123 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (12.3 a game over 10 games), Carnell Tate 105 (10.5 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Jaylen Waddle over Carnell Tate. Jaylen Waddle is listed questionable.

Parlae may earn a commission from price links.

Jaylen Waddle rookie cards Carnell Tate rookie cards

Make this call for your own roster

Sync your league and My Team sets this week's lineup for your actual roster, spot by spot. Free, no account.

Sync my league

Sleeper ESPN Yahoo

Or get it by email

Tuesday 8am ET: one email with what moved on the board and who is worth a claim.

Free. One a week, one tap to stop.

Our Week 7 call

Start Jaylen Waddle over Carnell Tate in Week 7.

Market-based projections have Jaylen Waddle at 11.9 points and Carnell Tate at 12.2, a gap of 0.3. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Jaylen Waddle still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player, ADP 43 against 81, and that outweighs a gap this size. No player market is posted for Jaylen Waddle this week yet, so his 11.9 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 4, 5 and 6 (12.5, 12.4 and 10.8); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 12.2 fantasy points for Carnell Tate, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The market-based projection for Carnell Tate is 59 receiving yards, 4-5 receptions and 0.3 touchdowns (4, 5 and 9 market sources).

No Week 7 player market is posted for Jaylen Waddle yet. His market-based projections were 12.5, 12.4 and 10.8 points in Weeks 4, 5 and 6, an average of 11.9, which stands in until his Week 7 market posts.

The market-based projection for Jaylen Waddle is 0-1 touchdowns (7 market sources).

That puts Carnell Tate 0.3 points ahead of Jaylen Waddle on these projections.

Week 7 matchups

Carnell Tate and TEN host CLE on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

CLE allowed 33.5 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 6 games, the 12th most in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 155 yards and 1.2 touchdowns a game against CLE.

Jaylen Waddle and DEN visit ARI on Sunday at 4:05 PM ET.

ARI allowed 34.9 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 6 games, the 10th most in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 153 yards and 1.7 touchdowns a game against ARI.

By points allowed to the position, Jaylen Waddle has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Carnell Tate is not on the injury report.

Jaylen Waddle is listed as questionable with a shoulder injury.

Usage before Week 7

Through Week 6, Carnell Tate played 81 percent of TEN snaps, drew 27 percent of the targets, earned 48 percent of the air yards and had 4 percent of the red zone chances.

Carnell Tate, Week 3 against NYG: 53 of 60 snaps, 9 targets and 6 catches for 58 yards.

Carnell Tate, Week 4 against BAL: 54 of 64 snaps, 12 targets and 9 catches for 145 yards.

Carnell Tate, Week 5 against HOU: 48 of 63 snaps, 5 targets and 1 catch for 6 yards.

Carnell Tate, Week 6 against IND: 34 of 46 snaps, 7 targets and 6 catches for 70 yards, 1 touchdown.

Through Week 6, Jaylen Waddle played 68 percent of DEN snaps, drew 22 percent of the targets, earned 38 percent of the air yards and had 7 percent of the red zone chances.

Jaylen Waddle, Week 3 against LAR: 49 of 67 snaps, 1 carry for 14 yards, 7 targets and 2 catches for 10 yards.

Jaylen Waddle, Week 4 against SF: 45 of 65 snaps, 6 targets and 5 catches for 35 yards, 1 touchdown.

Jaylen Waddle, Week 5 against LAC: 40 of 62 snaps, 1 carry for 9 yards, 5 targets and 2 catches for 19 yards.

Jaylen Waddle, Week 6 against SEA: 39 of 60 snaps, 7 targets and 4 catches for 24 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Jaylen Waddle played 16 games for MIA and scored 194.1 PPR points, 12.1 a game, finishing WR24.

He caught 64 of 100 targets for 910 yards and 6 touchdowns, with 11 red zone targets and 682 air yards.

He was on the field for 78 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 7 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 7, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop Carnell Tate for Jaylen Waddle?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Jaylen Waddle projects 123 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (12.3 a game over 10 games), Carnell Tate 105 (10.5 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Jaylen Waddle over Carnell Tate. Jaylen Waddle is listed questionable.
Should I drop Jaylen Waddle for Carnell Tate?
No. Keep Jaylen Waddle: he projects 123 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (12.3 a game over 10 games), Carnell Tate 105 (10.5 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Jaylen Waddle over Carnell Tate. Jaylen Waddle is listed questionable.