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Start Nico Collins or Christian Watson? Week 9

Updated Nov 3, 3:36 PM ET.

Latest

  • : Christian Watson: Listed Questionable (Undisclosed) (Sleeper injury feed)
Start

WR · HOU · at LAC

Market projects
14.9
fantasy pts
LAC D vs WR
30.3
16th fewest to WRs (2026)
Upside
Moderate
56 of 100 at WR
Snap share
71%
Through Week 7
Target share
22%
Through Week 7
Sit

WR · GB · at NE · Questionable

Market projects
14.6
fantasy pts
NE D vs WR
33.8
10th most to WRs (2026)
Upside
Rising
70 of 100 at WR
Snap share
77%
Through Week 8
Target share
22%
Through Week 8

Should I drop Christian Watson for Nico Collins?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Nico Collins projects 139 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (15.4 a game over 9 games), Christian Watson 118 (14.8 a game over 8 games). For Week 9 the call starts Nico Collins over Christian Watson, 14.9 to 14.6 projected PPR points. Christian Watson is listed questionable.

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Our Week 9 call

Start Nico Collins over Christian Watson in Week 9.

Market-based projections have Nico Collins at 14.9 points and Christian Watson at 14.6, a gap of 0.3. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Drafters take Nico Collins at ADP 22 and Christian Watson at 58.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 14.9 fantasy points for Nico Collins, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The market-based projection for Nico Collins is 66 receiving yards, 5-6 receptions and 0-1 touchdowns (7, 7 and 7 market sources).

Player markets imply 14.6 fantasy points for Christian Watson, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The market-based projection for Christian Watson is 74 receiving yards, 4-5 receptions and 0-1 touchdowns (10, 8 and 8 market sources).

That puts Nico Collins 0.3 points ahead of Christian Watson on the market projections.

Week 9 matchups

Nico Collins and HOU visit LAC on Sunday at 4:05 PM ET.

LAC allowed 30.3 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 7 games, the 16th fewest in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 133 yards and 0.9 touchdowns a game against LAC.

Christian Watson and GB visit NE on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET.

NE allowed 33.8 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 8 games, the 10th most in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 152 yards and 1.1 touchdowns a game against NE.

By points allowed to the position, Christian Watson has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Nico Collins is not on the injury report.

Christian Watson is listed as questionable with a undisclosed injury.

Usage before Week 9

Through Week 7, Nico Collins played 71 percent of HOU snaps, drew 22 percent of the targets, earned 30 percent of the air yards and had 13 percent of the red zone chances.

Nico Collins, Week 4 against DAL: 38 of 55 snaps, 8 targets and 7 catches for 118 yards, 2 touchdowns.

Nico Collins, Week 5 against TEN: 47 of 66 snaps, 7 targets and 5 catches for 56 yards.

Nico Collins, Week 6 against JAX: 46 of 63 snaps, 1 carry for 5 yards, 5 targets and 3 catches for 74 yards.

Nico Collins, Week 7 against NYG: 41 of 61 snaps, 5 targets and 2 catches for 6 yards.

Through Week 8, Christian Watson played 77 percent of GB snaps, drew 22 percent of the targets, earned 31 percent of the air yards and had 8 percent of the red zone chances.

Christian Watson, Week 5 against CHI: 49 of 61 snaps, 8 targets and 6 catches for 143 yards, 2 touchdowns.

Christian Watson, Week 6 against DAL: 66 of 75 snaps, 8 targets and 3 catches for 64 yards.

Christian Watson, Week 7 against DET: 54 of 67 snaps, 8 targets and 5 catches for 57 yards.

Christian Watson, Week 8 against CAR: 34 of 69 snaps, 10 targets and 8 catches for 113 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Nico Collins played 15 games for HOU and scored 226.2 PPR points, 15.1 a game, finishing WR8.

He caught 71 of 120 targets for 1117 yards and 6 touchdowns, with 16 red zone targets and 793 air yards.

He was on the field for 77 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Christian Watson played 10 games for GB and scored 132.4 PPR points, 13.2 a game, finishing WR46.

He caught 35 of 55 targets for 611 yards and 6 touchdowns, with 6 red zone targets and 493 air yards.

He was on the field for 68 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 9 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 9, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Christian Watson for Nico Collins?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Nico Collins projects 139 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (15.4 a game over 9 games), Christian Watson 118 (14.8 a game over 8 games). For Week 9 the call starts Nico Collins over Christian Watson, 14.9 to 14.6 projected PPR points. Christian Watson is listed questionable.

  • Should I drop Nico Collins for Christian Watson?

    No. Keep Nico Collins: he projects 139 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (15.4 a game over 9 games), Christian Watson 118 (14.8 a game over 8 games). For Week 9 the call starts Nico Collins over Christian Watson, 14.9 to 14.6 projected PPR points. Christian Watson is listed questionable.

Should I drop Nico Collins?

Week 9 on the board

Elsewhere on the board