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Start Derrick Henry or Corey Kiner? Week 10

Updated Nov 11, 8:41 PM ET.

Early kickoff: 9:30 AM ET in Munich, set your lineup before then.

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Start

RB · BAL · vs LAC

Market projects
14.8
fantasy pts
LAC D vs RB
22.5
11th most to RBs (2026)
Upside
Moderate
56 of 100 at RB
Snap share
55%
Through Week 9
Target share
6%
Through Week 9
Sit

RB · NE · at DET

Market projects
12.9
fantasy pts
DET D vs RB
18.2
4th fewest to RBs (2026)
Upside
Rising
75 of 100 at RB
Snap share
13%
Through Week 9
Target share
1%
Through Week 9

Should I drop Corey Kiner for Derrick Henry?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Derrick Henry projects 107 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (15.3 a game over 7 games), Corey Kiner 22 (3.2 a game over 7 games). For Week 10 the call starts Derrick Henry over Corey Kiner, 14.8 to 13.0 projected PPR points.

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Our Week 10 call

Start Derrick Henry over Corey Kiner in Week 10.

Market-based projections have Derrick Henry at 14.8 points and Corey Kiner at 12.9, a gap of 1.9. Corey Kiner's number is scaled up from a partial market: not every stat the position needs is posted yet, so the rest is estimated from what is.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 14.8 fantasy points for Derrick Henry, with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Derrick Henry is 78 rushing yards, 6 receiving yards, 1-2 receptions and 0.8 touchdowns (11, 10, 11 and 10 market sources).

Player markets imply 13.0 fantasy points for Corey Kiner, with 70 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Corey Kiner is 52 rushing yards and 0-1 touchdowns (13 and 14 market sources).

That puts Derrick Henry 1.9 points ahead of Corey Kiner on the market projections.

Week 10 matchups

Derrick Henry and BAL host LAC on Monday at 8:15 PM ET.

LAC allowed 22.5 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 8 games, the 11th most in the league.

Running backs ran for 106 yards and a touchdown a game against LAC and caught passes for 22 more yards.

Corey Kiner and NE visit DET on Sunday at 9:30 AM ET.

DET allowed 18.2 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 7 games, the 4th fewest in the league.

Running backs ran for 75 yards and 0.6 touchdowns a game against DET and caught passes for 24 more yards.

By points allowed to the position, Derrick Henry has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Derrick Henry is not on the injury report.

Corey Kiner is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 10

Through Week 9, Derrick Henry played 55 percent of BAL snaps, took 68 percent of the carries, drew 6 percent of the targets and had 51 percent of the red zone chances.

Derrick Henry, Week 6 against CLE: 33 of 57 snaps, 17 carries for 58 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 2 yards.

Derrick Henry, Week 7 against CIN: 34 of 67 snaps, 17 carries for 45 yards, 2 targets and 1 catch for 4 yards.

Derrick Henry, Week 8 against BUF: 23 of 51 snaps, 11 carries for 53 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 7 yards, 1 touchdown.

Derrick Henry, Week 9 against JAX: 28 of 56 snaps, 17 carries for 57 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Through Week 9, Corey Kiner played 13 percent of NE snaps, took 20 percent of the carries, drew 1 percent of the targets and had 14 percent of the red zone chances.

Corey Kiner, Week 6 against NYJ: 12 of 68 snaps, 11 carries for 57 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Corey Kiner, Week 7 against CHI: 6 of 54 snaps, 4 carries for 13 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Corey Kiner, Week 8 against MIA: 11 of 60 snaps, 7 carries for 38 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Corey Kiner, Week 9 against GB: 11 of 63 snaps, 8 carries for 55 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards, 1 touchdown.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Derrick Henry played 17 games for BAL and scored 279.5 PPR points, 16.4 a game, finishing RB8.

He ran 307 times for 1595 yards and 16 touchdowns, and caught 15 of 21 targets for 150 yards.

He was on the field for 54 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Corey Kiner played 4 games for ARI and scored 9.3 PPR points, 2.3 a game, finishing RB112.

He ran 12 times for 58 yards and 0 touchdowns, and caught 2 of 3 targets for 15 yards.

He was on the field for 7 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 10 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 10, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Corey Kiner for Derrick Henry?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Derrick Henry projects 107 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (15.3 a game over 7 games), Corey Kiner 22 (3.2 a game over 7 games). For Week 10 the call starts Derrick Henry over Corey Kiner, 14.8 to 13.0 projected PPR points.

  • Should I drop Derrick Henry for Corey Kiner?

    No. Keep Derrick Henry: he projects 107 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (15.3 a game over 7 games), Corey Kiner 22 (3.2 a game over 7 games). For Week 10 the call starts Derrick Henry over Corey Kiner, 14.8 to 13.0 projected PPR points.

Should I drop Derrick Henry?

Week 10 on the board

Elsewhere on the board